RU848789 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 On 1/16/2020 at 11:10 PM, SnoSki14 said: A true win this season. Hopefully it doesn't get washed away though. Expand It all depends, obviously, but if one gets 2" of snow and 0.3" of sleet, then that's about 0.3" frozen LE and if the amount of rain that then falls is <0.3", most of the rain would be absorbed, making for a fairly dense mass of slush - in areas to the NW where it will likely go below 32F later at night, it could make for some cement. Shouldn't happen along the 95 corridor and SE of there, as temps don't look to fall back below 32F until Sunday night. Still, I just want to see some white stuff for more than a few hours, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 On 1/16/2020 at 11:22 PM, RU848789 said: It all depends, obviously, but if one gets 2" of snow and 0.3" of sleet, then that's about 0.3" frozen LE and if the amount of rain that then falls is <0.3", most of the rain would be absorbed, making for a fairly dense mass of slush - in areas to the NW where it will likely go below 32F later at night, it could make for some cement. Shouldn't happen along the 95 corridor and SE of there, as temps don't look to fall back below 32F until Sunday night. Still, I just want to see some white stuff for more than a few hours, lol. Expand Hope that happens for you folk down below. We actually had a couting of snow this afternoon which has all non paved surfaces white. Temp is 30, so it's not going to melt. Maybe evaporate with the wind? Hopefully we could eek out 4" Saturday, which would put me at 20" for the season thus far. Rumors of a possible more significant storm next weekend to close out January? My gut tells me we will get to our average annual snow fall, at least for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 On 1/16/2020 at 11:22 PM, RU848789 said: It all depends, obviously, but if one gets 2" of snow and 0.3" of sleet, then that's about 0.3" frozen LE and if the amount of rain that then falls is <0.3", most of the rain would be absorbed, making for a fairly dense mass of slush - in areas to the NW where it will likely go below 32F later at night, it could make for some cement. Shouldn't happen along the 95 corridor and SE of there, as temps don't look to fall back below 32F until Sunday night. Still, I just want to see some white stuff for more than a few hours, lol. Expand Hope that happens for you folk down below. We actually had a coating of snow this afternoon which has all non paved surfaces white. Temp is 30, so it's not going to melt. Maybe evaporate with the wind? Hopefully we could eek out 4" Saturday, which would put me at 20" for the season thus far. Rumors of a possible more significant storm next weekend to close out January? My gut tells me we will get to our average annual snow fall, at least for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 13 pages for 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:22 AM, forkyfork said: 13 pages for 1-2" Expand Obviously you did not evaluate the 18z nam & 12z icon & Canadian. Some lucky neighbors may get drilled with 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:36 AM, Animal said: Obviously you did not evaluate the 18z nam & 12z icon & Canadian. Some lucky neighbors may get drilled with 3 inches. Expand It could be, don’t forget, weekend rule in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:41 AM, hudsonvalley21 said: It could be, don’t forget, weekend rule in effect. Expand its more exciting during the work week...…….last big storm on weekend was Jan 23, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:22 AM, forkyfork said: 13 pages for 1-2" Expand something better to talk about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 1:13 AM, Brian5671 said: something better to talk about? Expand The climate change thread is a "hoot". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:22 AM, forkyfork said: 13 pages for 1-2" Expand That would almost double the total snowfall the city has seen all winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 NAM looks good, also seems to be showing signs of secondary development if I'm viewing it correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:17 AM, HVSnowLover said: NAM looks good, also seems to be showing signs of secondary development if I'm viewing it correctly Expand Looks good for 2-4 I’ll take that and run fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:21 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Looks good for 2-4 I’ll take that and run fast Expand 3-5 away from the city. impressive run compared to the previous duds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:17 AM, HVSnowLover said: NAM looks good, also seems to be showing signs of secondary development if I'm viewing it correctly Expand Looks good for everyone NYC hovers around 33 for the whole storm. Starts out at 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:21 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Looks good for 2-4 I’ll take that and run fast Expand A bit more juiced (which is a known NAM Bias) but yes I would take this run and run with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:24 AM, Animal said: Nam’d Expand Also it’s basically all snow for everybody stays very cold throughout the whole storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:25 AM, Snow88 said: Looks good for everyone NYC hovers around 33 for the whole team. Starts out at 30. Expand The trends today have been positive in starting the city below freezing at the beginning of the storm, this would really help with accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:29 AM, HVSnowLover said: The trends today have been positive in starting the city below freezing at the beginning of the storm, this would really help with accumulation Expand Dry cold ground, instant accumulations especially if it comes in like a wall like the Nam is depicting. Also we get into the deform band at the end when it’s trying to sleet and rain up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Nam 3k is all snow from Staten Island and north no rain what so ever! Very nice event. 3-5 for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 RGEM warm for the coast at hour 48, looks like it would be a good run NW of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 2:44 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Nam 3k is all snow from Staten Island and north no rain what so ever! Very nice event. 3-5 for the city Expand Looks good =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 18z euro snow map is in New England thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 GFS is basically an all snow event from the city and points NW, qpf is still low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 The NAM kind of has one main wave while the GFS seems to show two distinct bands one to the south up to about the city and one well north of the city. The RGEM has heavier precip over the city and LHV but its warm for the city So theres still some minor discrepancies to sort out when trying to predict totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 I think 2 - 5 for the entire metro area - covering underperforming and overperforming - high bust potential in certain areas to be determined as of tonight here is GFS looks weird with the totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Euro comes in a bit snowier than today's 12Z, like most of the other 0Z models. Nice. Might actually get 2-3" out of this in the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 On 1/17/2020 at 12:22 AM, forkyfork said: 13 pages for 1-2" Expand 13:1 ratio is pretty decent on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 2-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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