michsnowfreak Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Actually looks ok here in Southern Michigan. Looks like quite a thump of heavy snow before turning to rain, but a lot of the precip falls as snow. If anything id say trends are better today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z CMC. Tainted with mixed precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 12z CMC. Tainted with mixed precip Through 96 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 Should be some decent sampling by tonight's 00z runs. So take it fwiw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 19 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Actually looks ok here in Southern Michigan. Looks like quite a thump of heavy snow before turning to rain, but a lot of the precip falls as snow. If anything id say trends are better today. Garbage storm not worth wasting time on 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Pretty robust low level jet and it has a significant orthogonal component to the isotherms. So basically, do not be surprised if the precip type transition zones get north quicker than the models. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said: I know everyone is shocked, but this one is trending crappier for about everyone. 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Actually looks ok here in Southern Michigan. Looks like quite a thump of heavy snow before turning to rain, but a lot of the precip falls as snow. If anything id say trends are better today. Seems that way, doesn't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z euro 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I'd go a tenth or two of ice accretion around here. The thermal profiles will be in a period of rapid transition and becoming more marginal, plus steadier rates at times won't accrete as well so have a hard time seeing more than that at least for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 ride the euro.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Looks like a mess if any of that ice materializes. I'm keeping my eye on the lake-effect potential IMBY as this system pulls away. Lake-effect: The last hope I have for a decent winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Some positive trends today. Let's keep them going! 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I see my local office is getting ready to let the public down again haha. Hard to believe that graphic isn’t from a previous system - because I see no models showing what they’re predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: I see my local office is getting ready to let the public down again haha. Hard to believe that graphic isn’t from a previous system - because I see no models showing what they’re predicting. It's kind of an odd graphic, it's just talking about the chance of 6" or more of snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 APX going way more conservative/general with its graphics package, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 11 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: APX going way more conservative/general with its graphics package, Dtx going surprisingly not conservative like they usually do, calling for 4-7" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 18z NAM came in favorable for DTX and GRR. Hot mess for LOT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I think some of the models are having issues figuring out the saturation. Hence the odd looking strips/blotches of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Alex ran the nam. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 On the nose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 LOT will continue to pay for Halloween storm till around St. Patricks Day. There's nothing quite as useless as Halloween and Easter snow 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 22 minutes ago, Cary67 said: LOT will continue to pay for Halloween storm till around St. Patricks Day. There's nothing quite as useless as Halloween and Easter snow You can say that about any snow then. We track it, it falls/accumulates, then it melts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: You can say that about any snow then. We track it, it falls/accumulates, then it melts. Very zen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Harry Perry said: I see my local office is getting ready to let the public down again haha. Hard to believe that graphic isn’t from a previous system - because I see no models showing what they’re predicting. It's our office, duh! Things rarely make sense. If they go conservative, we get nailed. If they go bullish, we get squat. Basically, it reveals where they think things may be worth a "watch". Up their way ofc. The 2-part nature down our way will guarantee they're thinking no headline incoming for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 minute ago, ILSNOW said: Since when is the NAM bullish on the southern edge? Thought that was running N and warm along with the GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 21 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: You can say that about any snow then. We track it, it falls/accumulates, then it melts. Not referring so much to the tracking of it meteorologically but in recreational use and shelf life. Surely snow falling Dec-Jan has a better chance of sticking around than in May. You know those picturesque winter landscapes Beavis dreams of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 26 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Not referring so much to the tracking of it meteorologically but in recreational use and shelf life. Surely snow falling Dec-Jan has a better chance of sticking around than in May. You know those picturesque winter landscapes Beavis dreams of. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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