Baum Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: what a disaster of a system forecast wise...will the public even take seriously the next event thanks to media and social media hype from this one 1) Snow totals busted..(deform band may save the day in a few places) 2) No widespread Massive ice 3) no 3-5 inches of rain up north 4) No overnight Tornado outbreak over the south from discrete cells ahead of the line (just spin ups within the line) right on track in mby. If I get 3" in the back end. Went as planned. Actually, surprised went to frozen so quickly..albiet light. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 -FZDZ in downtown Waukesha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Currently 52F and raining steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 With wave 2 going weak and east, it appears my snow total from this dud will be a measly 1". 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Ice pellets and light rain here... been sitting at 32°/33° for the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Lake Michigan an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 2 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: The backside better be rocking or everyone is going to embarrassingly bust. (Poor WI crew, from a 20” big dog to advisory levels in a couple models runs hours before onset) WSW downgraded to WWA for Dane. This system has confirmed for me that models are pointless. I quit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 well we have now switched from sleet to freezing rain - finally. I didnt actually think we would get FZRA because it went right to sleet and the low is going well south of here. Not a lot of icing going on though, temp is 31.6. Hopefully we can keep the FZRA while temp lowers a bit more. I am still hoping for .5" if ice...but not expecting it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 17 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: With wave 2 going weak and east, it appears my snow total from this dud will be a measly 1". I know how you feel and it's the worst when just 2 days ago you were in the sweet spot. Onto the next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Storm gets an F 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 It's undeniable that the GFS won this storm. It has been showing the southern solution for days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Temp is already down to 33 here. Probably going to be a painfully slow drop until well later though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Temp has dropped 12F in the last 20 minutes at YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 On 1/8/2020 at 6:28 PM, Hoosier said: Ok, I searched January for 2" precip, 1.0" snow storm combos in Chicago history. I know, low bar on the snow amount lol. But even setting a measly threshold of 1" snow, it's rare... like really rare. We'll throw this one on the list even though it started on New Years Eve... 12/31/1890 to 1/2/1891: 2.03" precip, 3.0" snow and... 1/26/1967 to 1/27/1967: 2.40" precip, 23.0" snow So I'm not sure what to think. Either something pretty unusual is on the verge of happening or the 2" precip amount or 1" snow amount will get derailed. Guess we'll find out in a few days. Looks like it will be the 2" precip that fails. Only 1.15" at ORD so far for the 10th-11th and not going to get enough precip later to get to 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 This is the latest HRRR for wave 2. Yikes! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 well at least we're one day closer to some more mild temps the first half of next week. Kind of taking a liking to this Mid Atlantic winter climo. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Wind is really whipping around, at least feels like a storm out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 30 minutes ago, ChiTownStorm11 said: It's undeniable that the GFS won this storm. It has been showing the southern solution for days. It sure seems like the early GFS ideas of a more SE/weaker track is going to win out. It would appear that my "Euro is king" call, along with the NW trend, was premature. Overall, models were pretty disappointing for this storm. Feel bad for the NWS offices that will take the brunt of the criticism from the less meteorologically educated public. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, King James said: Wind is really whipping around, at least feels like a storm out there Yeah. Large/thick branch that probably could've killed somebody fell down the street here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 10 minutes ago, UMB WX said: well at least we're one day closer to some more mild temps the first half of next week. Kind of taking a liking to this Mid Atlantic winter climo. Net year begins real mid-atlantic climo for me....moving the Raleigh NC area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, DaveNay said: Net year begins real mid-atlantic climo for me....moving the Raleigh NC area. Did Raleigh move out of the Southeast? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 TWC struggling to find any weather in the Chicago area.....channel 5 had stormranger fired up last night 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just now, Snownado said: Did Raleigh move out of the Southeast? IMO it's more mid-atlantic climo than southern climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Call looking $$$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Call looking $$$ You're gonna bust nicely in the snow dept. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, DaveNay said: IMO it's more mid-atlantic climo than southern climo Short jaunt to the armpit of winter weenie land, Richmond, VA. Not sure I could handle the SE but NC has a lot to offer outdoors. I hope you enjoy your new home. We'll miss ya. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I busted well under with my 1.9” rain call. The 1” of snow looks to bust low, but not too low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 All indications are for a period of mod-hvy snow later, but questions about how long mixing hangs on and temps hanging around 32 for part of the snow (thanks to marine influence) make me hesitant to go above 2-3". If both of the above factors break favorably, then could get a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 This really isn’t that shocking. Huge severe outbreak in the South robbed this thing of a lot of its moisture. I posted a few days ago about how it may rob the cold side of the storm and sure enough that’s what’s happening 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, nwohweather said: This really isn’t that shocking. Huge severe outbreak in the South robbed this thing of a lot of its moisture. I posted a few days ago about how it may rob the cold side of the storm and sure enough that’s what’s happening That's not whats happening so far. The arc of rain has been more progressive, instead of training. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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