Jackstraw Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: From a snow perspective, I just want to see at least a brief period of rippage before the sun sets later Saturday. Would love a warning criteria snow event, but that isn't in the cards with this 1-2 punch system. If we can get an inch or two of sleet, and then add an inch or two of snow then that would make it look pretty wintry to be sure. I'd gladly shovel this QPF down here your way so something constructive could be done with it instead of making frozen adobe lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 24 minutes ago, mimillman said: This was unsurprising from the start with the lack of a decent airmass and WAA on steroids Story of this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 if that band gets hung up over IND the next 36 hours the crest on the Wabash may be interesting..03z RAP hinting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Honestly worried that if this minor south trend continues places around here could get caught in ice unexpectedly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: if that band gets hung up over IND the next 36 hours the crest on the Wabash may be interesting..03z RAP hinting Been watching that too. A lot of it's tributaries have already gotten over an inch in the last 4-6 hours and the fire hose in SW MO is still pumping impulses NE. Ive got over an inch in my tippy bucket already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 NMM not siding with the ARWs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: NMM not siding with the ARWs. NMM can go burn in hell (Just kidding lol) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 12 minutes ago, Hoosier said: NMM not siding with the ARWs. 16 consecutive hours of sleet here with that lol. Hawkeye buried in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Hey guys guess what's at least a tiny bit South? Here's a hint: it starts with "E" and ends with "O" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z euro with a sizable south jump. Several inches of snow into the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 ^ The caveat being that it's now like a third of the strength 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Weaker and wimps out pretty significantly on precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 Yeah Alek won’t approve....pretty good size bump east this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Sig difference for sure. Notably weaker sfc low vs 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Jeez, models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Recent/seasonal trend trying to get the last laugh. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Watch, tomorrow's trend will be last minute explosive strengthening while keeping the southern track. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I guess it wouldn't be as exciting if we didn't have all this model madness up until 6hrs before the onset of the storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 How much for, Howell? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I think part of the wave dipped offshore for 00z. Might explain some of the model funkiness. Or maybe not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 UKMET came out late tonight, looks like with a fairly similar track and getting northern Illinois into the deformation precip Saturday PM. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: NMM not siding with the ARWs. FWIW it still is a good chunk south of its 12Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Big time Lakeshore Hazard Message National Weather Service Chicago IL 938 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020 ILZ006-014-INZ001-002-101145- /O.CON.KLOT.LS.W.0001.200111T0600Z-200112T1200Z/ Lake IL-Cook-Lake IN-Porter- 938 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2020 ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Significant lakeshore flooding is expected. Strong north to northeast winds gusting up to 40 to 50 mph will build waves to 12 to 18 feet with occasional waves up to 23 feet. * WHERE...The shoreline areas of Cook and Lake Counties in Illinois and Lake and Porter Counties in Indiana. * WHEN...Late Friday night through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...The winds and large battering waves combined with near record high lake levels could exacerbate already significant beach and shoreline erosion sustained in the past several months. Vulnerable structures along the shore may be heavily damaged. In addition, flood prone paths and roads along the lake will be susceptible to lengthy closures due to the expected long duration of high winds and waves. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Lakeshore Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or imminent along the lake. Residents on or near the shore in the warned area should be alert for rising water...and take appropriate action to protect life and property. && $$ - Izzi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Had a break in the glacier water but radar says look out. I always take model QPF with a couple grains of salt but radar trends are concerning. Especially when the local NWS says the biblical rain is still 24 hrs away. Need this to shift north or south, don't care. When I start pooling water this fast on my property it's never good. Even last June it took 120hrs to get 6 inches. If we get another 4-5 as forecasted Fri. and Sat. this may be the worst I've seen it since moving here 7 years ago, at least locally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Something I never do but I guarantee this frontal position is too far north around the southern tip of Lake Michigan. Don't see it happening with the chilly lake and precip and main surface low so far away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Euro shitting the bed is lol Back end 1-3 looking more likely here now, gonna be another 6z jobber tho Kinda sad to watch another potential 20+ big dog evaporate even if it wasn't for me 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 4 hours ago, Thundersnow12 said: Yeah Alek won’t approve....pretty good size bump east this run. Looking a bit busty Initial waa precip was always rain and that ice was a mirage but the slp trending weak east and us getting consolation defo snows albeit weak I didn't see coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Euro shitting the bed is lol Back end 1-3 looking more likely here now, gonna be another 6z jobber tho Kinda sad to watch another potential 20+ big dog evaporate even if it wasn't for me The Euro has been doing this quite frequently for the past two seasons. Amps systems too far NW. And then weakens and shears them a to the south east as they approach. Rep is overblown. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, Baum said: The Euro has been doing this quite frequently for the past two seasons. Amps systems too far NW. And then weakens and shears them a to the south east as they approach. Rep is overblown. It sure feels that way, reflexive distaste of the seasonal trends line of thinking at this point in the game but I'm def itching for the days when things would actually wrap up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Don’t tell me I’m waking up to an A-L-E-K bust 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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