Malacka11 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 I am calling on my nationalist German pride. The ICON will prevail. Death to the doubters. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 3 hours ago, Natester said: Cyclone77 gets wrecked by ice. At least it isn't me, although might have a close call with ice for a brief time on Saturday. Gee, thanks lol The amount of QPF being generated on many of the models is extremely impressive for Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: That would be ugly. The latest Canadian model is calling for heavy freezing rain in YYZ (Toronto) on Sunday morning. The GFS gives us even more ice pellets and freezing rain. Will be an interesting storm, for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 18z euro is a small blip/bump NW. Chi metro buried in ice 16-20” snow swath across eastern IA/DBQ/southwest WI. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Thundersnow12 said: 18z euro is a small blip/bump NW. Chi metro buried in ice 16-20” snow swath across eastern IA/DBQ/southwest WI. Freezing rain accumulation map please? If you have it, that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Ok, I searched January for 2" precip, 1.0" snow storm combos in Chicago history. I know, low bar on the snow amount lol. But even setting a measly threshold of 1" snow, it's rare... like really rare. We'll throw this one on the list even though it started on New Years Eve... 12/31/1890 to 1/2/1891: 2.03" precip, 3.0" snow and... 1/26/1967 to 1/27/1967: 2.40" precip, 23.0" snow So I'm not sure what to think. Either something pretty unusual is on the verge of happening or the 2" precip amount or 1" snow amount will get derailed. Guess we'll find out in a few days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 6 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: 18z euro is a small blip/bump NW. Chi metro buried in ice 16-20” snow swath across eastern IA/DBQ/southwest WI. Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Ok, I searched January for 2" precip, 1.0" snow storm combos in Chicago history. I know, low bar on the snow amount lol. But even setting a measly threshold of 1" snow, it's rare... like really rare. We'll throw this one on the list even though it started on New Years Eve... 12/31/1890 to 1/2/1891: 2.03" precip, 3.0" snow and... 1/26/1967 to 1/27/1967: 2.40" precip, 23.0" snow So I'm not sure what to think. Either something pretty unusual is on the verge of happening or the 2" precip amount or 1" snow amount will get derailed. Guess we'll find out in a few days. When we're shoveling through the feet of snow on Sunday morning, remember this moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Rainer Easy call. Heavy Rain. Short time ice transition. Back end thump of snow. 2-4" immediate W and N 'burbs. Your ground may whiten slightly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 12 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: 18z euro is a small blip/bump NW. Chi metro buried in ice 16-20” snow swath across eastern IA/DBQ/southwest WI. How's the speed compared to 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baum said: Easy call. Heavy Rain. Short time ice transition. Back end thump of snow. 2-4" immediate W and N 'burbs. Your ground may whiten slightly. Agree, except I’d say 1-2” burbs. Cold rain, best track. Fitting for this winter, no way around it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, Baum said: Easy call. Heavy Rain. Short time ice transition. Back end thump of snow. 2-4" immediate W and N 'burbs. Your ground may whiten slightly. P solid call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 It's crunch time for the models, as they start to incorporate some sampling. Let the melt downs ensue from all these clown icing maps and snow totals. Rain looks a lock IMBY with something of a transition on the back side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Interesting that the op GFS is the extreme with regards to temperature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 For LOT cwa, I think there will be a band of >0.25" ice accrual. Could be significantly more but hard to say. Certainly discounting the apocalyptic ice maps given the negative factors that have been mentioned. Where it ends up is the question. If the GFS starts trending the other way then it would put it through the heart of the metro or perhaps into the southern metro. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Around here the euro is showing heavy rain with temps in the upper 20s. That would be wild and destructive. One part of me would like to see that but the other part doesn’t want to deal with the consequences. I would rather it just snow. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 Alek gonna ride his call till he’s jeb walking through 6-8” from the defo band 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 16 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Alek gonna ride his call till he’s jeb walking through 6-8” from the defo band Total kielbasa post 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Plumes now with a clown run at ORD, decent advisory hit camp but lots of clunkers too, not an unexpected spread given globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 00z HRRR is pretty bullish with the eastward progress of the front and cold air seeping in behind. Use with caution that far out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: 00z HRRR is pretty bullish with the eastward progress of the front and cold air seeping in behind. Use with caution that far out though. Does that push the moisture more SE or just make the wintry aspect larger/worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 21 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Plumes now with a clown run at ORD, decent advisory hit camp but lots of clunkers too, not an unexpected spread given globals Doesn’t look great to me unless you’re looking for 3” of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 6 minutes ago, LansingWeather said: Does that push the moisture more SE or just make the wintry aspect larger/worse? Moisture outpaces the subfreezing airmass up to that point. It would have ramifications for exactly where the zone sets up later Fri into Sat... IF it's right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 00z NAM digging for gold in the southwest a little less than 18z. If trends continue through the run then perhaps a result sort of in between 12z and 18z, but a lot more left to come in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Please don't bake me... Genuine question. How much of an impact can the placement of the high pressure to the northwest have on this system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 0z NAM back to what it was in the 12z run, in other words, back to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, Natester said: 0z NAM back to what it was in the 12z run, in other words, back to reality. There is still a pretty decent difference between the 12z and 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 One thing that hasn't changed is the narrow corridor from MO through SE Iowa into NW Illinois of extreme icing, although much of that is likely runoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 back to crazy freezing rain totals again (has to be way overdone) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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