Snowstorms Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Yeah, but they are kind of inferior. Just saying. If I had to bet on whether the Euro would shift north or south of the 12z on future runs, I'd probably lean south. I'll admit some seasonal bias could be affecting my thoughts as well. History tells us its usually rare for a storm to come back south again after all models shift NW simultaneously lol. But as mentioned before, there's still a lot of room for error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Noticed a new Meteorologist (or new to me) on NBC 5 in Chicago during the 11 am newscast did a good job today of saying "anything was possible" but good chance of some type of significant precip in the Chicago area this weekend. Waiting for the media hype machine to pick up on this tonight. I just want 3 inches of snow to go sledding with my daughter. That is it. Simple ask of the weather gods. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 11 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: There is our system. Hard to believe we won't see some waffling as models aren't going to handle some low amp streamer wave running through the GOM between tonight and tomorrow all that well. I know some in here love the hail mary day 6 calls but..... That big “S” shape on H5 in the western PAC is the storm saying “Sucks to be you.” Or it could stand for “snow.” Either one is feasible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, mimillman said: That big “S” shape on H5 in the western PAC is the storm saying “Sucks to be you.” Or it could stand for “snow.” Either one is feasible. Must be puffing the magic dragon with Alek on your guys lunch break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Impressive look aloft 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Thundersnow12 said: Must be puffing the magic dragon with Alek on your guys lunch break Not a bad idea 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, Snowstorms said: History tells us its usually rare for a storm to come back south again after all models shift NW simultaneously lol. But as mentioned before, there's still a lot of room for error. Well and to be clear, I would count a somewhat modest shift from ORD to Gary as a south shift even though it wouldn't have a whole lot of sensible wx impact unless you are near one of the precip type transition zones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, Snowstorms said: History tells us its usually rare for a storm to come back south again after all models shift NW simultaneously lol. But as mentioned before, there's still a lot of room for error. false. last winter was notorious for south fades, and even the pre christmas Indy runner(couldn't resist) did just that model wise. And i believe the idolized Euro model did so. That said, every storm is different. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 One thing that puts a hold on that for me is the positive NAO/AO. To me, that would lend more credence to the storm cutting more NW, like it currently is, opposed to sliding south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 43 minutes ago, madwx said: congrats MSN. Euro really deepens the main low this run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 I'll take this and run. 12z EPS mean track and 6hr QPF 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: I'll take this and run. 12z EPS mean track and 6hr QPF 50/50 split among members...Either NW/amped or SE/meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 50/50 split among members...Either NW/amped or SE/meh. How many are northwest of the op run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: How many are northwest of the op run? A handful of them were NW of the OP. Two actually run along IL/IA border. (One of which really bombs into the 970's). Then there are a ton very close/hair east of the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 8 minutes ago, Hoosier said: How many are northwest of the op run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Well and to be clear, I would count a somewhat modest shift from ORD to Gary as a south shift even though it wouldn't have a whole lot of sensible wx impact unless you are near one of the precip type transition zones. That might make a difference in my area possibly. Shifting to more snow less ice maybe..or more likely dry slotted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, snowlover2 said: ..guess it's time to pull the skis off, and put the pontoons back on. I swear this winter wants to suck worse than 11-12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 this is def one of those storms where we are gonna see some extreme amped nw nam runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, A-L-E-K said: this is def one of those storms where we are gonna see some extreme amped nw nam runs 18z gonna be one of them. It has been steppin' NW each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Going neg. tilt over AMA. We are so donzo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Going neg. tilt over AMA. We are so donzo glad you're coming around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 C'mon, guys. Another 50 mile shift NW on the Euro and I'll be in the 60's on Saturday. We can do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1002mb over STL at the end of the run, likely to make a beeline towards BMI. Rainer fo sho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 This is going to be a 11/30-12/1/06 repeat just centered further west/NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, sbnwx85 said: C'mon, guys. Another 50 mile shift NW on the Euro and I'll be in the 60's on Saturday. We can do it. legit shorts weather for the OH peeps 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 So early, this will be fun to watch over the next 3 days. Emotions run high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Keep moving northwest, I want the warm sector and thunder. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Keep moving northwest, I want the warm sector and thunder. Man I'm sick of the heat, I want the freezing rain or snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The model comparison you've all been waiting for. The 18z NAM at 84 hours vs the 12z Euro at 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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