Stebo Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: duh tone serious: this looks like a rainer tho, antecedent airmass is trash and the western trough is gonna crank heights. madison special incoming. The air mass is the cold air pressing in not the prefrontal airmass which is why there is a lot of ice being shown especially with the multiple piece setup it is showing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: duh tone serious: this looks like a rainer tho, antecedent airmass is trash and the western trough is gonna crank heights. madison special incoming. ALEK storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Could we do ice lakeside? Near shore temps are about 33-37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Obv not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 #1 analog is super Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 My only fear (something which has been addressed already) is that things are lining up too well early on... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 12 and 18z runs of the GFS have me thinking of Feb. and March for this weekend. 60 degrees initially here in central IN with heavy rain from here south to the Ohio river and ice and snow to the north and west. I usually don't start thinking of ice storms till Feb.. Gonna be an interesting storm to watch develop this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 7 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Obv not I don't know, I think those water temps might be cold enough to get ice to the lake but this is assuming the ice band ends up somewhere in the metro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I'm ready for disappointment. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, ChiTownStorm11 said: I'm ready for disappointment. But at least it will be nice to have something to be disappointing over. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 44 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said: The 18z was remarkably similar to the 12z; the line of ice hits the same counties. However, the amounts are slightly depressed. Agreed. Weird, it's almost like it mimicked part of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 56 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I don't know, I think those water temps might be cold enough to get ice to the lake but this is assuming the ice band ends up somewhere in the metro. Ice lakeside is so so hard to do, and the one time it did happen was a much different setup, I'd say toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Upper jet support anyone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Not gonna lie, that's nice...for daddylonglegs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Hooray, a storm thread! Hopefully me bashing this storm last night jinxed it in a good way lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Alek, you have support from the GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 U got me and joe calling rainer, practically a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: U got me and joe calling rainer, practically a lock Lol’d at this one 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 U know those are ugly and we're right. It's been so boring we forgot what a snowstorm looks like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Wait, Chi storm is going with rainer? I couldn't tell because he mentioned what the seasonal trends have been which would imply weaker/suppressed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 True, he's always hedging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 It's been a couple years since we've had a proper storm. Therefore, trends would favour a weaker storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Alek is like the physical embodiment of those quiet, nagging doubts. I used to disapprove, but I've come to realize that it's refreshing to be forced to face your fears. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I haven't committed to anything...yet. Recent trends the past few weeks suggest weaker/strung out/not phased has been the rule, as Hoosier said above. However, we are about to transition into the new pattern though...so maybe that changes...or not? At the same time, a deep/slow trough with no blocking (+AO/NAO) says well NW/stronger is in play too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Trends are for cowards 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I'm just surprised to see the GFS, Euro, and Canadian showing something similar. It's unusual to see the models jump on the same bandwagon this season. It gives me hope for this one, but I'm also ready to get hurt again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I’m gone this weekend, leaving Friday, just before the storm. So Chicago bound to get crushed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Counterpoint, this is our moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Snowstorms said: It's been a couple years since we've had a proper storm. Therefore, trends would favour a weaker storm lol. https://www.weather.gov/lot/21Nov2015snowfall This was the last time I was in a 6"+ storm. I was royally screwed in November 2018 when I left for Champaign one day before that storm since classes were starting. I've seen warning-level accums miss to the north, south, east, and west. In general though winters at 40 degrees north in the Midwest just !@$%#ing suck. IMO, it's the worst climate in all of North America. 30s-40s and rain for four months of the year but you still get blasted with Arctic air and maybe a 1-3" clipper if you're lucky before it melts away a few days later. I start work in a few weeks so I bet winter will blow its load as soon as I start commuting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 18z EPS (ECMWF Ensemble) Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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