Bob's Burgers Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Some strong low-level rotation is ongoing with a storm in NE OK right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMT417 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, BrandonC_TX said: Some strong low-level rotation is ongoing with a storm in NE OK right now. That storm is almost stationary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Meanwhile radar returns are increasing over and near the DFW Metroplex, primarily Denton County at this time. These particular areas of development seem primed to become more of a severe thunderstorm threat as they move further north. In terms of a DFW-area severe storm threat, I'm continuing to watch for potential development south or southwest of the DFW area, though, and (fortunately) there is nothing in that area yet. The rotation has also weakened on that NE OK storm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eagle-96 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 New SPC meso discussion calling for watch likely(95%) right smack over DFW. Thinking SC storms initiate around 1-2 CST. Everything still elevated around Fort Worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 The sun has been peaking out here in SELA a bit, looking at satellite there seem to be spotty breaks all over Louisiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 RAP is projecting around 200 J of 3km CAPE around the DFW area later on with as much as 2000 J of MLCAPE. Anything discrete is quickly going to become tornadic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 DFW area 0-3 helicity around 300 with excellent lapse rates as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryHavoc Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Strong rotation showing up near Joplin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 most storms so far have that "grungy" look not rooted at the surface ....as SPC noted this is likely the result a inversion the showers that keep redeveloping in streaks and moving over the metroplex may help this continue for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CryHavoc Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Cell to the NW of Joplin looks like it's about to produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 minute ago, CryHavoc said: Cell to the NW of Joplin looks like it's about to produce. Rotation isn't overly tight or strong, could certainly produce though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Severe-warned storm coming into Muskogee seems to be developing a fairly-pronounced hook echo with a velocity couplet. EDIT: and now it is tornado-warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMT417 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Just now, BrandonC_TX said: Severe-warned storm coming into Muskogee seems to be developing a fairly-pronounced hook echo. Yeah it is TOR now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 That's a nice looking couplet/inflow notch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 TOR now issued near Muskogee, OK. Tighter rotation on radar, too.Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Some interesting CC returns over Muskogee right around where the rotation is. Like right over the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Crowder, OK cell has my attention at the moment, moreso than the Muskogee one. Rotation looks tighter on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Some of the more active updrafts seem to be "drilling down" through the inversion. IIRC there's a case study of that from an upper Midwest outbreak several years ago where conditions were otherwise quite favorable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Tornado watch now out for north-central Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 18Z HRRR continues to develop many discrete storms ahead of a line. and races that across AR and N LA area..from 03z to 09z almost too many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will (little rock) Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: 18Z HRRR continues to develop many discrete storms ahead of a line. and races that across AR area..from 03z to 09z almost too many I've noticed that on the last several runs. Quite a few of them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, Drz1111 said: Some of the more active updrafts seem to be "drilling down" through the inversion. IIRC there's a case study of that from an upper Midwest outbreak several years ago where conditions were otherwise quite favorable I remember one time several years ago there was a situation where storms to the west of DFW acted to remove a capping inversion over DFW due to rain-cooled air falling out of the storm anvils, and then storms rapidly went up over the Metroplex. So I could completely see how rain-cooled air aloft could remove an inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob's Burgers Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 First real couplet of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob's Burgers Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Pretty impressive available streamwise vorticity ingested by this storm using local sfc obs, fort smith radar, and nws calculated storm motion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 It's shaping up to be a pretty big day tomorrow too from LA to the FL Panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 For the DFW area I would be more concerned if I saw stronger radar returns trying to form in the circled area below. Also any right-movers developing out of that area of heavy precipitation to the west could be a risk for the western Metroplex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 18z sounding. This is pretty ridiculous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 150 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020 OKC021-041-097-102015- /O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200110T2015Z/ DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-CHEROKEE OK- 150 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN MAYES AND NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES... AT 149 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF PEGGS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A BRIEF TORNADO OCCURRED NEAR LOST CITY AROUND 140 PM. perhaps today's first tornado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Sun peaking out in the UTD area. Gonna ride the storms out here since I have a 2nd floor apartment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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