dryslot Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 This is going to tuck a little NW of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Winter's last hurrah? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I don't see a lot of change with the lead s/w, but there is definitely more phasing with the trailing one. Looks like it's trying to curl it back westward. The NAM does NAM things though. Gotta see some trends on the non arena league models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Not sure it’ll be enough.... but some improvement anyway.... definitely looked like it was going to be a lot better at 45 and now at 51 it looks just a bit better than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Fast flow happens, we have been blessed with lots of transient blocking, not this time. Hopefully the fast flow scoots that Northern stream out of screwing up our southern stream. Still a day or so away from seeing what happens. Premature thread killing jinx strikes again.lol The rest or baseline state is faster now than it has been in the past due to climate change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 A step in the right direction but we need more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Still barely a graze, but it did look better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 10 minutes ago, kdxken said: As interesting as watching paint dry. Actually a little less... Bob, no disrespect or slight intended. It's just that the gyrations over a possible inch of snow have become well..cumbersome. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NjNn4bbbgSw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 Nice kink in the 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Yeah... ultimately it’s still not good. i guess the point is... tiny improvements aren’t going to get it done at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Given the look at 51 it’s comical how it still manages to only graze the cape. What a kick in the nads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Better ridging out west too. Really helps that trailing s/w dive in behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Better ridging out west too. Really helps that trailing s/w dive in behind it. Yeah, there were a lot of subtle changes upstream and downstream that led to the closer track. See if it holds and continues moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Not that it means much but the NAM got schooled tonight down here. We probably see a 3-4 hour period of light snow 06-09z and the NAM til this run wanted no part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Better ridging out west too. Really helps that trailing s/w dive in behind it. Heights ahead were better as well off the coast, So there were several improvements even if they were incremental. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 The rpm won’t disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I thought the most noteworthy improvement was with the western ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: I don't see a lot of change with the lead s/w, but there is definitely more phasing with the trailing one. Looks like it's trying to curl it back westward. The NAM does NAM things though. Gotta see some trends on the non arena league models. Yeah the shitstreak is still killing us but we managed to bully it a little more this run with a better injection of energy into the main shortwave. We'd probably get some exponential improvement if we could lift that thing out of the way even just an couple hours earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 That trailing s/w was ever so close to making this a better solution. Speed that up by 6hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That trailing s/w was ever so close to making this a better solution. Speed that up by 6hrs. Bob, that is more likely than moving that shortwave out of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Like Will said, anyone that doesn't agree with your horseshit is a denier. my horseshit… lol I’m bringing it to people’s attention that there are mounting number of scientifically vetted and peer reviewed papers about the subject matter end you seem to think I’m making this up? OK you can take away what you want or need to perceive but this is not me - you’re blaming the messenger. I never said anything about snow? Making sure people are aware of that I was talking about specifically the HC causing compression in the winter months which is speeding up the flow and that’s not really controvertible. Leave it at that As far as the storm ... the models are going to show what they show at an instant or a snapshot it’s not necessarily gonna be readily evident that they’re being stressed by speed. But clue as to the presence of speed surplus is incredible number of wind flags exceeding 100 kts in the H5 level and all these jet velocity above ...empirical set. But the other thing is that synoptically the wave lengths are being stretched long 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Not that it means much but the NAM got schooled tonight down here. We probably see a 3-4 hour period of light snow 06-09z and the NAM til this run wanted no part of it. Actually soundings I saw from the NAM looked like just that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 RPM caveats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 19 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice kink in the 500mb Always good to see when you get Kinky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: RPM caveats What is that 1-2? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I don’t think I’ve ever seen scooter post a clown map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Ahh poop. Legend got cut out. Blue is 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Always good to see when you get Kinky Zero expectations on this one. Just trying show others what to look for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: my horseshit… lol I’m bringing it to people’s attention that there are mounting number of scientifically vetted and peer reviewed papers about the subject matter end you seem to think I’m making this up? OK you can take away what you want or need to perceive but this is not me - you’re blaming the messenger. I never said anything about snow? Making sure people are aware of that I was talking about specifically the HC causing compression in the winter months which is speeding up the flow and that’s not really controvertible. Leave it at that As far as the storm ... the models are going to show what they show at an instant or a snapshot it’s not necessarily gonna be readily evident that they’re being stressed by speed. But clue as to the presence of speed surplus is incredible number of wind flags exceeding 100 kts in the H5 level and all these jet velocity above ...empirical set. But the other thing is that synoptically the wave lengths are being stretched long You called me parenthetically a denier. Your psycho babble mixed with science is what we all call horseshit Tip. Your melt earlier today was an all timer. Hard to take anyone serious after reading that. Lol. Fast flow for a decade in the midst of a decade of slow moving bombs in all seasons. Personally I have seen more slow movers this past decade than my previous 5. Could you link me to these papers you so often quote and then I can judge their relevance to Wednesday's fast mover and whether or not a similar setup in the pre industrial era would have given the same result. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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