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Jan 8th, 2020 Coastal - little critter


Baroclinic Zone
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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You guys make quick hap-hazard posts about “storms on” or “storms off.” All we said was to give it time. 

Yeah it's hilarious. We say wait at 96 hours out and then we get a bunch of snarky shit for it. You'd think some people would learn not to lock in solutions at that timeframe after being on here for a while. 

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it's hilarious. We say wait at 96 hours out and then we get a bunch of snarky shit for it. You'd think some people would learn not to lock in solutions at that timeframe after being on here for a while. 

Weenies. I think each event this winter changed significantly at 96 hrs out. As most do anyways lol.

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6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Good to have you back.

Water Vapor shows a strong northern branch jet push.  There is a strong jet forcing behind the lead northern stream shortwave disturbance.  This might be pushing our northern stream lead systems ahead before it has impacts on the 7/8th storm.

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7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

When Mets become weenies and weenies become Mets? Just kidding.  Let's see what Tuesday brings. Only a 2 day wet torch on the Euro but that's gonna hurt in ski country 

It'll be rough, especially after a nice week of snow showers.  A couple good rounds that might bring 4-8" to the ski areas this week just in time for the torch to come next weekend.

Just gonna be one of those winters.

ecmwf-deterministic-neng-total_snow_10to1-8571200.thumb.png.7c998ab7f7ffdf765cf57d5d8cd14604.png

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7 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

Have to admit the model volatility has been relatively high lately. Weenie emotions being strained to the max.

These last two threats (yesterdays) and Tuesday? have been faux threats with higher than normal potential to turn to crap. It's a garbage thread the needle set up with this flow. GO progressive and weaker and you'll be more likely correct.

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that is so close on guidance though. Just a tweak here and there would bring mid level magic at least into ern areas. Stupid moose fart s/w.

Scott I am seeing signs on water vapor imagery that the models might be representing the northern stream surge seen over the Northern Plains and Great Lakes.  Huge push northeast.

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