ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Unless this takes a hard right that's a nice little thumper South coast def needs to watch these bands as they start to come north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Unless this takes a hard right that's a nice little thumper It'll take a hard right at exit 13 on I-395. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 We'll see what that developing band does....none of the models had it there at 21z...you only see it closer to 00z. Doesn't necessarily mean it's a meaningful forecast bust in progress, but if we see that thing continue to lift north without weakening and threaten the south coast near 00z, then it's probably meaningful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 BOX final map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Maryanne...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maryanne...... Marion. Marion Ravenwood. Learn somethings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, 8611Blizz said: That little bit of snow above the U.P. is that the shit streak or is that somewhere else in the bowl? Looks like LES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Holy jeez...the GFS has an epic CCB just offshore on the 18z run. Actually gets ACK/MVY and maybe even CHH. Man, if that was literally like 20 miles NW, that would destroy the south coast. That could be a painful radar for those peeps....maybe see lightning flashes on the southern horizon? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Marion. Marion Ravenwood. Learn somethings. Is that how you spell it, had no idea. Thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Let's hope it's off by 20-30 miles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Holy jeez...the GFS has an epic CCB just offshore on the 18z run. Actually gets ACK/MVY and maybe even CHH. Man, if that was literally like 20 miles NW, that would destroy the south coast. That could be a painful radar for those peeps....maybe see lightning flashes on the southern horizon? Will, I think this might end up 20 miles to the west, look at the pressure falls off the DE and NJ coastlines, they are not out in the ocean, they are just offshore. This suggests there is a westward pull on the surface low track from the upper level energy diving into the trough. We could see an explosion of development as lightning has exploded along the cold front of the secondary low over the warm western Atlantic Ocean waters. Upper-level support is diving towards the DE coastline and once this impinges on the low it will bomb out. We could see huge upswing in amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Will, I think this might end up 20 miles to the west, look at the pressure falls off the DE and NJ coastlines, they are not out in the ocean, they are just offshore. This suggests there is a westward pull on the surface low track from the upper level energy diving into the trough. We could see an explosion of development as lightning has exploded along the cold front of the secondary low over the warm western Atlantic Ocean waters. Upper-level support is diving towards the DE coastline and once this impinges on the low it will bomb out. We could see huge upswing in amounts. Pressure falls aren't going to be that useful here....the low tracks over the benchmark basically....usually that isa great track for us but we're barely getting the precip past PYM on this one. I'd just look at the radar ad water vapor probably over the next 3-5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Man that is a CCB. Jesus H. Why can’t we get that. (Said in best Bob Lobel impression) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man that is a CCB. Jesus H. Why can’t we get that. (Said in best Bob Lobel impression) 21z RAP is excruciating too....has 2" per hour stuff clipping MVY around 05z-06z...doesn't have to be a big error there for it to get onshore. Maybe our south coast posters can get a surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I give you guys a ton of credit for truly enjoying the weather and pulling for others outside of YBY. Kudos 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Our storm is coming in hot!! I think it ends up 20 miles west with the heaviest banding. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z RAP is excruciating too....has 2" per hour stuff clipping MVY around 05z-06z...doesn't have to be a big error there for it to get onshore. Maybe our south coast posters can get a surprise. May have to take the ferry to relatives in Aquinnah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Any snow in Fairfield CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 13 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Our storm is coming in hot!! I think it ends up 20 miles west with the heaviest banding. You should be made to change your handle to USCAPEWEENIE for a minimum of 2 years 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: You should be made to change your handle to USCAPEWEENIE for a minimum of 2 years He showed so much restraint earlier too... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: May have to take the ferry to relatives in Aquinnah. Casino open there yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Casino open there yet? Haha not yet I don’t think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I think we could see a few surprises. busting those #'s low seems harder to do, than high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Nice fronto band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 50 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Our storm is coming in hot!! I think it ends up 20 miles west with the heaviest banding. 12-18”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 12-18”? You might not anticipate those amounts given the rapid movement of the low, but if we get that band of 6 hours of 2-3" an hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: You might not anticipate those amounts given the rapid movement of the low, but if we get that band of 6 hours of 2-3" an hour. Good lucky, Jimmy. Hope you stack it to your knickers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Good lucky, Jimmy. Hope you stack it to your knickers. You should get a nice thump soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You should get a nice thump soon Hope springs eternal. Good luck out your way, Steve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 If I didn’t know any better I’d think that band from Long Island on East is going to come up and hot RI SE Mass and maybe even eastern Conn pretty hard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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