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Jan 8th, 2020 Coastal - little critter


Baroclinic Zone
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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Some threats deserve threads at d4. Depends on the setup. SE MA has legit shot in this one so I'm okay with a thread. When this was being discussed in the pattern thread it was incessant whining. At least if people aren't interested in this threat they can choose to stay out of the thread. 

Like.  MPM extra whiny today

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14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I honestly don’t see how this doesn’t do the normal n trend we see on coastals the last 36-48. These always throw a nice snow shield well west with 2–4 or 3-6. Not really any reason why this one doesn

The recent events have had the GFS as the 'north model', and it corrected itself south a little while the others that were south corrected northward (even more so, iirc). If that would hold true with this event, iat would be ugly.  That said,  the CMC has some appear fwiw.

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

The moosefart shortwave is going to get us on the 12z euro....the main shortwave for the storm is actually deeper this run and digging better, but that streak up in VT and S Quebec is worse

maybe the trend of a better shortwave could offset that northern stream lead shortwave.

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Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

maybe the trend of a better shortwave could offset that northern stream lead shortwave.

It would need to be way better than it is....that lead shortwave is a huge problem when it is hanging back like it is on this run.

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The moosefart shortwave is going to get us on the 12z euro....the main shortwave for the storm is actually deeper this run and digging better, but that streak up in VT and S Quebec is worse

My guess is guidance is figuring that feature out now since most are responding in a negative way. 
 

That’s here to stay, is my guess.

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