CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Didn't you punt this 2 days ago? That was when we told him that life is too valuable. Don’t do it. Give it a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I’m wondering if we wake up to WSW’s Regionwide in SNE 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I think the odds have increased for at least an inch in your area. Satellite trends show us this is a more amplified pattern then the models shown. 18z euro says 1-2 or so here. I’m hoping I can get the western edge of the good stuff. Hopefully you get an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 I dub this the “grump storm” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I think the odds have increased for at least an inch in your area. Satellite trends show us this is a more amplified pattern then the models shown. Have you accurately overlayed the model forecasts on the satellite while also determining where the vortmax is? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 18z euro says 1-2 or so here. I’m hoping I can get the western edge of the good stuff. Hopefully you get an advisory. I am going with 2-4" from canal to HYA and more than 4" from HYA eastward right now, 1-2" west of the Canal to Eastern CT. I think the 00z cycle will pick up on the more amplified pattern, that main shortwave over IA and MO is showing a more southward punch with a more northward punch up the coast, our 250mb jet develops over 150 knots of a streak over New England as the pattern amplifies ahead of the storm, the jet lifts north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 i'm running with the wettest sref member Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Have you accurately overlayed the model forecasts on the satellite while also determining where the vortmax is? How would I accomplish this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, forkyfork said: i'm running with the wettest sref member Can always adjust up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i'm running with the wettest sref member Arw are all wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Arw are all wet They always are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: They always are i dont know how many members there are but the ARW on TT is dry as a bone misses way SE and barely scrapes the islands with some flurries. The ARW2 is wet on the other hand, on that site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: i dont know how many members there are but the ARW on TT is dry as a bone misses way SE and barely scrapes the islands with some flurries. The ARW2 is wet on the other hand, on that site. ARW2 iirc is the higher skilled out of the ARW and NMM. Doesn’t mean it has to be right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: i dont know how many members there are but the ARW on TT is dry as a bone misses way SE and barely scrapes the islands with some flurries. The ARW2 is wet on the other hand, on that site. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallsref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Hate to even say this but that was a pretty big bump NW on the 21z SREF 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hate to even say this but that was a pretty big bump NW on the 21z SREF Lol you got the weenies tonight for that one! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Weenie him up^ lol RPM coming in now, looks healthier so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hate to even say this but that was a pretty big bump NW on the 21z SREF Seeing close to 0.30” QPF down here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Seeing close to 0.30” QPF down here. Its kind of like the Ukie/Euro, SREF/NAM they follow ea other at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Toss em toss em toss em Or don’t. I do think it will tick a little Nw to give Cape, Plymouth Cty, parts of Norfolk Cty etc some love. Maybe some flurries out this way but I’m expecting cirrus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 There will be WSW from Windham county East and south tomorrow with advisories south of pike southwest of ORH 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There will be WSW from Windham county East and south tomorrow with advisories south of pike southwest of ORH I'd be willing to bet actual real money that, that will not happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: I'd be willing to bet actual real money that, that will not happen. There needs to be a new emoji for ridiculous posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 HRRR is coming in hot 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'd be willing to bet actual real money that, that will not happen. 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: There needs to be a new emoji for ridiculous posts Lol...both these posts are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 00z rpm looks a bit NW again through 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: There needs to be a new emoji for ridiculous posts Or an automatic double donger, supersized. Like the software knows before you hit ‘submit’ on how weeniesh your post will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 RPM really trying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Nam going to try Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The NAM through 15 looks slightly better already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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