CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 In RPM we trust? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, tamarack said: That ukie run started at 8 this morning, so includes whatever was progged from the current little duster. Nada at home for snow today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll be tracking it closely tonight Staying up for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: In RPM we trust? There's one amped HREF member and about 1/3 of the SREF members that have a similar soln. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Gets snow into se mass this run... not much... but better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 When this hits the the Gulf Stream look out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 3K is looking better again early on..we'll see if it translates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: When this hits the the Gulf Stream look out Lol you being facetious/sarcastic, or are you really thinking that cuz it is a potent SW. There could still be some surprises with this, I know it's probably unlikely but we've seen this movie before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Sarcastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3k looks solid for SE areas. Let’s keep the trend going. Edit: Though useless the extended HRRR has snow through all of CT at the end of its run. Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 HRRR keeps getting better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Looking for minor trends with this storm is like watching the Patriots trying to mount a comeback down 14-13 in the 2nd half. Frustrating, and most likely futile. But hey. I'll take an inch or two in this pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: HRRR keeps getting better. The 19z run has zero snow for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: HRRR keeps getting better. Still wayyy out of range..unless you're referring to early developments that could translate downstream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Congrats DC It's a shame how the storm looks good coming up and then all of a sudden it shunts east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Still wayyy out of range..unless you're referring to early developments that could translate downstream Not sure if he is comparing it to 12z? But every six hours it goes out to hour 33. So 18z is the most recent extended range HRRR. It also keep DC in the 40s and rain so I would take it with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Still wayyy out of range..unless you're referring to early developments that could translate downstream Yes that is the answer. Man, you guys are unbelievable. Look if you think isn't going to impact you, why are you in this thread, there are other discussions for those of you not interested. However, this greatly impacts my area and any adjustments either way can lead to a higher or lower impact. This storm is in an explosive environment, the system could explode upon hitting the Gulf Stream boundary and as it feels the trailing energy from the GRT Lakes dive into the southern branch trough. We have a few ideas that suggests a benchmark track of a sub 990mb low is indeed still on the table, and this would bring the foot plus band onto the Cape and Islands. It is right now 50 miles east of me. That correction can happen in less than 42 hours. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Not sure if he is comparing it to 12z? But every six hours it goes out to hour 33. So 18z is the most recent extended range HRRR. It also keep DC in the 40s and rain so I would take it with a grain of salt. I was looking at the 19z run and when it was ending, it had the low down to 1011mb over VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3k really close to hitting the Cape and adjacent SE MA hard with the intense CCB....no dice verbatim though. Just some light snow with like 1-2 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 3k really close to hitting the Cape and adjacent SE MA hard with the intense CCB....no dice verbatim though. Just some light snow with like 1-2 inches. It brings over .25-.50" of QPF to the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Congrats DC It's a shame how the storm looks good coming up and then all of a sudden it shunts east. Trust me. They ain’t getting much either. BL issues down there. The NAM has been the only run that’s shown anything crazy and the snow maps are overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 There are two dominant areas of potential circulations present right now in the overall envelope. One over NW LA and the other is developing over central TX, just west of Abilene. The one further west is in response to a digging disturbance at 700-850mb level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Yeah that wall is awfully close down there. Certainly something to watch since it looks like the western edge will definitely have some moderate to heavy precip there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 like being ghosted by a someone you love - just can't let it go... hard. miracles can happen tho, no discounting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 18z Reggie ticked NW too....but man, these are excruciating moves. For far SE places like PYM/Cape and S RI....a couple more of these small ticks would actually get it done for perhaps advisory snows. For the rest of us, we'll need something more substantial...and SE MA will need it too if they want something closer to warning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I hereby petition all Hrrr posts to be banned from the board at inappropriate time frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I envision curtains of snow to my SE like the March 2015 Bruce Willis event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Cranberry bogs on the look out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 James you own a shovel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now