tamarack Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even throws 1-3” for CT That ukie run started at 8 this morning, so includes whatever was progged from the current little duster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I think the .25" I got today will trump whatever makes it this far west . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Our parent surface low has developed over the border between Louisiana and Arkansas, low level cumulus is developing from moist south to southeast flow behind the departing surface high over the central GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 It looks like the Euro ens are better than the operational looks like 1 to 2 in average snowfall from Long Island through Eastern Connecticut Rhode Island Southeast Mass I don't have the breakdown wonder if there's a few nice Solutions in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I think the .25" I got today will trump whatever makes it this far west . Looks like 1-2" with the clipper tonight, Maybe 1" or less on weds with the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Big northwest shift tonight at 0z 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Big northwest shift tonight at 0z I agree Anthony and not for reasons such as just being a weenie. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I agree Anthony and not for reasons such as just being a weenie. It's not that far away H5 doesnt look bad at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 HRRR 12z model was off by 3 hours in development of the surface low down to 1018mb over northern LA and southern AR border, it was there at 19z the model as of the 12z run had it there at 22z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's not that far away H5 doesnt look bad at all I'll be tracking it closely tonight 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's not that far away H5 doesnt look bad at all It doesn’t snow at H5. The problem really is there is very little precip on the western side of the low. That’s why it’s got to be pretty much on top of us for anything substantial 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: HRRR 12z model was off by 3 hours in development of the surface low down to 1018mb over northern LA and southern AR border, it was there at 19z the model as of the 12z run had it there at 22z tonight. Happy wishcasting for this one LOL it's not coming West. When that happens, it probably happens once every maybe 10 years. At this point, with the set-up, with everything else around it, it's going to do what it's going to do. It's not making any big changes at this point. Not being negative, just stating the truth. However, if you're right, I'll eat 10 crows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 18z RPM is going to come NW again...we'll see if this can at least be an advisory event for SE areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 18z NAM looks like it’s digging our shortwave some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I’m not thinking much for you and I. Might be for those who’ve missed out in December. They sure didn't miss out on much. We might be in no man's land this winter. It happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z RPM is going to come NW again...we'll see if this can at least be an advisory event for SE areas. Leaning toward a Cape scrape imo... Just my thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 28 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It's not that far away H5 doesnt look bad at all You and Jimmy should have a podcast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 It just dawned on me that the fact Will is active in this thread today means this must have potential. IT is modeled to be a strong shortwave and if we could have a tad more ridging out west and a bit more ridging (especially) allowed to build in just in front of this then it could be an interesting 6 hours for SE/E folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 yeah, this looks like a tick NW, defintely important for folks on the cape and SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Silly comment. What's your expectation? Nobody was out or in Bob, it's a transitioning situation for everybody. The Ukie was 1-3 here...I wouldn't call that being out. Everybody could be out if it goes east. Or everyone could be in if it hugs more/gets pulled west at the last minute. I'm certainly not expecting much if anything...but it's not a complete done deal just yet? Up until today I had none. As of now I see 2-4” potential down in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: yeah, this looks like a tick NW, defintely important for folks on the cape and SE MA Every 5 mile tick counts for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Shit streak going to screw us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 NAM is def better than 12z...but keep in mindthe 12z NAM might have been the worst run of any of the 12z models...it didn't even get the Cape (talking 12km, not the 3km) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Shit streak going to screw us. If that was like 100 miles north, this would probably be a quick-hitting 4-8/6-10 system...it's a pretty nice shortwave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Every time that s/w looks better, the parting s/w continues to be stubborn. We need that gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: If that was like 100 miles north, this would probably be a quick-hitting 4-8/6-10 system...it's a pretty nice shortwave. I know it. Gah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 In the end, Its probably no better then 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Every time that s/w looks better, the parting s/w continues to be stubborn. We need that gone. That turds a given. We focus upstream now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Whiffy on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That turds a given. We focus upstream now I don't think it matters now. It’s so stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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