Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's now that trailing s/w diving out of GL. It kicks this storm east before it has chance to drop in behind and phase. That piece looks to be coming onshore in BC now. Here's what I am talking about. It's that piece up in BC that is kicking our storm off to the east at the last moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 We are in a what can go wrong will go wrong state. Jan 21st can’t come soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We are in a what can go wrong will go wrong state. Jan 21st can’t come soon enough. Thought it was January 18th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We are in a what can go wrong will go wrong state. Jan 21st can’t come soon enough. You drank the 1/20 kool aid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We are in a what can go wrong will go wrong state. Jan 21st can’t come soon enough. Except the PNA is still off the wall negative at that point, and when Juden Cohen tweets that he does not expect any real cold into eastern North America especially on the SNE side anytime soon, your ears need to be open to that probability that the pattern that you get now is the overall pattern of the winter and may never change until it is already over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Ogmios said: Except the PNA is still off the wall negative at that point, and when Juden Cohen tweets that he does not expect any real cold into eastern North America especially on the SNE side anytime soon, your ears need to be open to that probability that the pattern that you get now is the overall pattern of the winter and may never change until it is already over. Possibly, and then if we get in a colder/snowy pattern, Judah will change his tune and say "as predicted" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, 512high said: Possibly, and then if we get in a colder/snowy pattern, Judah will change his tune and say "as predicted" So he would just ignore his ignorance and pretend it never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, 512high said: Possibly, and then if we get in a colder/snowy pattern, Judah will change his tune and say "as predicted" The words coming out of his mouth are the words of any GFS product. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ogmios said: So he would just ignore his ignorance and pretend it never happened. pretty much.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 CMC grazes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Cape scrape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 13 minutes ago, Ogmios said: Except the PNA is still off the wall negative at that point, and when Juden Cohen tweets that he does not expect any real cold into eastern North America especially on the SNE side anytime soon, your ears need to be open to that probability that the pattern that you get now is the overall pattern of the winter and may never change until it is already over. So that means back half of winter will be awesome. Fade Judah, always. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 No model is really showing a good hit down here. I'd say 1-3" is the upside but leaning towards 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: You drank the 1/20 kool aid I said the 21st. It’s a slightly sweeter kool aid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 8 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: No model is really showing a good hit down here. I'd say 1-3" is the upside but leaning towards 1" I could see this as where like 5-10 miles from the coast end up getting a few inches and the rest of us just barely miss I don’t think we have time left to see the movement we need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 7 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: No model is really showing a good hit down here. I'd say 1-3" is the upside but leaning towards 1" Amazing to see a storm traverse across the BM and pretty much no on sees anything out of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Amazing to see a storm traverse across the BM and pretty much no on sees anything out of it. Crappy winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Crappy winter Not yet here. Give it till the end of the month and ask me again. I'm at 40% of my seasonal average currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Not yet here. Give it till the end of the month and ask me again. I'm at 40% of my seasonal average currently. Right and doesn’t take much to get us N or AN but tying how well a season behaves to snowfall is not ideal imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Crappy winter Worse analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Right and doesn’t take much to get us N or AN but tying how well a season behaves to snowfall is not ideal imo. It depends. I think most of us in eastern areas considered 2014-15 A+ due to 80-100 inches in a 30 day period. This despite flirting with futility at this point in the season. Had we received half that amount most of us would still grade it A-/B+. Tying the grade to constancy of winter means 98% are flawed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 What the heck was the ukie drinking today. That's a nice hit from Long Island into Eastern Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2020 Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 4 minutes ago, binbisso said: What the heck was the ukie drinking today. That's a nice hit from Long Island into Eastern Mass Yep. That would git er done. Advisory levels in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yep. That would git er done. Advisory levels in SE MA. That’s the best run we’ve seen since 00z yesterday. Nice high end advisory here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Hopefully the euro follows suit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Even throws 1-3” for CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even throws 1-3” for CT And up here too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 8 minutes ago, rnaude241 said: Hopefully the euro follows suit And even if it does....would you believe it? That model(along with everything else) has really struggled this season... I mean it could do the old headfake at 12z, and then flip back to a miss at 18z/0z. It does that alot now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 15Z RPM held its course. Throws snow all the way back to the hudson. Low goes inside in the BM. Around 2" for much of the state and E/SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: 15Z RPM held its course. Throws snow all the way back to the hudson. Low goes inside in the BM. Around 2" for much of the state and E/SE MA Only 2” here? Figured I’d it’s throwing snow back to NY we’d have done better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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