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Jan 8th, 2020 Coastal - little critter


Baroclinic Zone
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  On 1/5/2020 at 4:05 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Some threats deserve threads at d4. Depends on the setup. SE MA has legit shot in this one so I'm okay with a thread. When this was being discussed in the pattern thread it was incessant whining. At least if people aren't interested in this threat they can choose to stay out of the thread. 

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Like.  MPM extra whiny today

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  On 1/5/2020 at 4:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I honestly don’t see how this doesn’t do the normal n trend we see on coastals the last 36-48. These always throw a nice snow shield well west with 2–4 or 3-6. Not really any reason why this one doesn

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The recent events have had the GFS as the 'north model', and it corrected itself south a little while the others that were south corrected northward (even more so, iirc). If that would hold true with this event, iat would be ugly.  That said,  the CMC has some appear fwiw.

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  On 1/5/2020 at 6:00 PM, ORH_wxman said:

The moosefart shortwave is going to get us on the 12z euro....the main shortwave for the storm is actually deeper this run and digging better, but that streak up in VT and S Quebec is worse

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maybe the trend of a better shortwave could offset that northern stream lead shortwave.

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  On 1/5/2020 at 6:00 PM, ORH_wxman said:

The moosefart shortwave is going to get us on the 12z euro....the main shortwave for the storm is actually deeper this run and digging better, but that streak up in VT and S Quebec is worse

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My guess is guidance is figuring that feature out now since most are responding in a negative way. 
 

That’s here to stay, is my guess.

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