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Tuesday 1/7/20 Disco snow event


MountainGeek
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12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

ecmwf-deterministic-md-snow_1hr_10to1-15

Showed up on the last EURO run too but there could be some snow showers on Wednesday too, verbatim. Snow on snow ;)

So happy this one looks to lay the hammer from Cho up through the rest of the subforum. I'll give everyone a sneak preview of the (hopefull) rippage from northern Cho tomorrow

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

I’m still nervous about being fringed 

I hope not.  As much as I stress about my snow I stress about your snow.  You didn’t move there to be fringed.  Yeah it’s pretty there...pretty shmitty it’s all about the climo.  Let’s do this!  

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2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

I know a lot of people think the HRRR is trash but I’m waiting for it to trend in a good direction, particularly temperature wise and it’s just not lol

I’m down to 36.8 with clear skies.  Who knows but I feel good about going below 32 tonight.  But who knows it still has to develop at some point. I am not sure how good or bad the HRRR is.  

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3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I’m down to 36.8 with clear skies.  Who knows but I feel good about going below 32 tonight.  But who knows it still has to develop at some point. I am not sure how good or bad the HRRR is.  

I’m always in a bad spot for storms like this but HRRR never gets me below 33 and I’m 44 at the end of its run lol

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1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said:

I’m always in a bad spot for storms like this but HRRR never gets me below 33 and I’m 44 at the end of its run lol

What are you at now?  I think you will be ok decent thickness and rates should make it ok.  I’m pulling for you.  This is more fun when we all cash in.  Most of us anyway.  

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19 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Yeah but even tonight’s temps, it hardly gets anybody below 32

the 23z run has the surface low ~150 miles northwest of the rest of guidance riding the Apps at hour 18. That's why it's so warm. As others have said, it's outside of its useful range.

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