StantonParkHoya Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, cbmclean said: How is that physically possible? I am down to 33 in eastern NC. Have the clouds already rolled in for you? Urban. Heat. Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 22 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Down to 33. Efficient rad cooling so far. Gfs looks solid Gfs looks meh. Has rgem bubble forming around dc. Warmer too by a smidge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, cbmclean said: How is that physically possible? I am down to 33 in eastern NC. Have the clouds already rolled in for you? It’s 39 in Baltimore still. I don’t even think I’ll get to freezing tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Temp actually went up 2 degrees at BWI. Was 38 last hour, now 40F. What would be causing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: Gfs looks meh. Has rgem bubble forming around dc. Warmer too by a smidge 0z nam, rgem, gfs, and 21z sref trended farther north and a touch warmer. Worse for DC and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Temp actually went up 2 degrees at BWI. Was 38 last hour, now 40F. What would be causing that? If the wind has freshened up, then that will mix the boundary layer at the surface which has been radiatively cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 8 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Urban. Heat. Island. Yikes that is stiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Dropped from 37 to 34 at jyo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Hrdps qpf . Definitely juicier in many spots Tasty -- and maybe leaving room for some 0.5 or 0.6 lollies before game time. Paused at 30/18 for the moment, wind kicked up to 8-10 mph for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Way more worried about the north/warm trend than current temps. 00Z NAM 3K has BWI at 41 at 11p so it's right where it was expected to be. GFS has me way too close to that gradient now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Ahh the good old temperatures rising instead of dropping the night before an "event." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I've jumped from 29.4 to 32.5 the past hour with a freshening breeze. Still no clouds to speak of though, so hopefully winds die back off later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 11pm ob was 35/19. 2pm 52. 5pm 49 9pm 40 11pm 35 Dewpoint almost steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Not sure what’s wrong with some of your backyards — temps are fine here. Around freezing already. Maybe turn off the propane grill or try not living in the middle of a Sears parking lot? 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 28 degrees here now , Augusta county / Waynesboro border.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 38/18 here in NW DC for the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Temps in WV and central VA are significantly lower than forecast right now.. white line is freezing, blue is 30. Note that it's averaged out over a decent area so there's heat islands somewhat under-represented here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 8 minutes ago, TSG said: Temps in WV and central VA are significantly lower than forecast right now.. white line is freezing, blue is 30. About right, 26.5/13.9 here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: 11pm ob was 35/19. 2pm 52. 5pm 49 9pm 40 11pm 35 Dewpoint almost steady. 1am. 33.5/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I think the euro changes over later, but man that is some nice qpf! https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2020010700&fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=sn10_006h&m=ecmwf_full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Euro looks like a solid thump to me for NOVA and C MD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 12K NAM definitely moved north of DC. Still not a bad showing but north central MD is better. North central VA worse. 3K similar to previous run. Neither are like 18z. I think the Euro looks better for my backyard so I will hug it. This is a nice little diversion until we see what happens later in Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Man I hope you guys get plastered! I looked at the forecast, everything looks on track for a snow event up in the Mid Atlantic! Looks like my old neighborhood in Dale City will get snow as well! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 WB 3k NAM 6 Z. Things did not fall apart overnight. Models stayed the course for the first snowfall of the new decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 WWA's extended south to include DC now. Should be a fun afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 If the 3K Nam is to be believed N DC and portions of Montgomery and Howard county will get the bulk of their snow within an hours time. 1.5-2 inch rates are showing up during the later commute between 5-6 pm. Might be a good day to leave work early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 11 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: If the 3K Nam is to be believed N DC and portions of Montgomery and Howard county will get the bulk of their snow within an hours time. 1.5-2 inch rates are showing up during the later commute between 5-6 pm. Might be a good day to leave work early. Just a guess, but I'd be surprised if school systems in the advisory areas don't announce an early dismissal to reduce late afternoon and evening traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Just a guess, but I'd be surprised if school systems in the advisory areas don't announce an early dismissal to reduce late afternoon and evening traffic. Nothing would surprise me anymore when it comes to the school systems these days. Not like when I was growing up and we would all be gathered at the school windows watching the snow fall heavy with 3-6" already on the ground counting the time until school let out. Normal time no less. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Just a guess, but I'd be surprised if school systems in the advisory areas don't announce an early dismissal to reduce late afternoon and evening traffic. This is what I am expecting. They will decided by 10am, I’ll leave at noon and be on the couch and in pjs before 1pm ready for snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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