CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Still has the parent low issues which is what i sort of fear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Incremental improvement on GFS as redevelopment is further southwest but it is still ka-ka for most of New England. Powderfreak to tamarack score a bit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Holy shit, 8th page in 4hrs! Work all day and I come back to this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Why are folks looking at FV3 for this and secondly thinking it’s got a chance to be right ? Not following Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Why are folks looking at FV3 for this and secondly thinking it’s got a chance to be right ? Not following We just want the model to be a part of the consensus, doesn't mean we are buying what it is selling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: We just want the model to be a part of the consensus, doesn't mean we are buying what it is selling. Some def are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I deserve the criticism, the service of our country doesn't absolve me of that. My enthusiasm needs to be tamed. You've been much better this year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Incremental improvement on GFS as redevelopment is further southwest but it is still ka-ka for most of New England. Powderfreak to tamarack score a bit though. I mean if we can get Logan 11-PF-Tamarack to score, I’ll certainly sit back and smoke a cigarette in satisfaction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Re James' unchecked unabashed ebullient reaction to the NAM... you need to get that trough rotated around at a minimum into a neutral orientation, then we'll talk. This system doesn't have the dynamics to do it positively tilted, so it's going to need to better DPVA to get the lift required... This run is trying desperately but - I wouldn't sweat it personally. I'm putting my chips in a Euro 70/ukmet 30 blend and letting the dice roll ... The entire American cluster owns the burden of proof as it's not really as dependable as the Euro at < D4 leads. Plus, if anything the trend vector has been pointing toward the Euro in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1-2” paste and many will be happy. Forget the KU NAVGEM nonsense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 26 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Holy shit, 8th page in 4hrs! Work all day and I come back to this. 42 members reading the topic currently. 8 pages in just a few hours. We are expecting one the biggest KUs in years if you didn't know already. Check the GFS, you'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You've been much better this year. Thanks Ray, I am trying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Oh, this GFS solution is clearly a trend toward the 12z Euro in the H500 synoptic evolution - coherently so... I'd say it's an incremental improvement if one is of the ...more rather than less snow and storm political orientation... Rare bird in here, I know - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 00Z pops that near ISP ... any takers ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 can't help but feel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why are folks looking at FV3 for this and secondly thinking it’s got a chance to be right ? Not following Same folks split parlays with a hedge to cover anticipated losses. Personally I don’t get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Gefs more favorable for SNE and CNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 I know how much everyone loves Cranky. This looks like a copy of the GFS solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Seeing this less as a redeveloper and more of a continuous SLP that slides east from upstate NY to PSM, deepening gradually along the way...don’t see how this avoids gaining too much latitude for most of SNE. The WAR looks very problematic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I know how much everyone loves Cranky. This looks like a copy of the GFS solution I think Cranky is Pope. They are only ones using FV3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I deserve the criticism, the service of our country doesn't absolve me of that. My enthusiasm needs to be tamed. Thank you James. I have not been on the board long but you have also called some great scores! Enthusiasm is what keeps us young and I enjoy it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think Cranky is Pope. They are only ones using FV3 But Kevin, if we go by the GFS/FV3 solution...it plays right into your call of no snow till after 1/20. You should be rooting for it to keep the crap solution, this way you’ll be that much closer to making the right call. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: But Kevin, if we go by the GFS/FV3 solution...it plays right into your call of no snow till after 1/20. You should be rooting for it to keep the crap solution, this way you’ll be that much closer to making the right call. I’m not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I deserve the criticism, the service of our country doesn't absolve me of that. My enthusiasm needs to be tamed. I can speak for myself here.......what I say in these threads outside of my (helplessly useless level of) met knowledge and observations should be taken with a sense of joviality. Not criticisms. Sit back, enjoy the weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think Cranky is Pope. They are only ones using FV3 So the GFS is crap and no one should use it but Cranky is Pope and he's using the GFS? Not following the logic here, did you mean "poop"? Edit: Ah, you mean the user on here that goes by that moniker. I see. Is he though? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: But Kevin, if we go by the GFS/FV3 solution...it plays right into your call of no snow till after 1/20. You should be rooting for it to keep the crap solution, this way you’ll be that much closer to making the right call. We need another sleet storm so it doesn't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2020 Author Share Posted January 1, 2020 hopefuly the 18z euro does not trend towards GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 14 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: hopefuly the 18z euro does not trend towards GFS.. Its weaker and further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2020 Author Share Posted January 2, 2020 looks further south and weaker at 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Its weaker and further east Trend I have expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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