moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Dog food? Glue factory and jello. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's a big shift in 6 hrs. You know what the models might be sensing is the presence of that upper vortex over the northern Great Lakes stuck in the northern branch flow pattern and just sits and pivots over northwestern Ontario province. That could be leading to a less amplified solution and therefore the flow remains progressive as the upper vortex speeds the flow over the eastern US and western Atlantic until it hits the buckle in the flow as it heads towards Newfoundland. The second trough in the next five to seven days, looks to have legit room to amplify on the Eastern Seaboard, the GFS and CMC might be feeling too amped right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: One bite, everyone gets their ass bitten. dammit! ninja'd me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Huge changes. No closed low at Hr60, more positively tilted. sfc is fugly. Game over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I definitely don’t want to hear it did well with this storm. Somebody put the horse down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Euro and eps are garbage models Wtf happened to them ? 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Well that was fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Looks like SE MA gets decent snows to end. Basically comes down to a non-closed H5 low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Cue @WinterWolf’s euro tantrum. Deservingly so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Euro and eps are garbage models Wtf happened to them ? They got cute trying to add 6z and 18z intervals. Now it bounces around too much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I think it screwed up the southern stream at 06z and 00z. Looks like the northern stream digs more but the southern stream has been left positively tilted and strung out at 500mb on the 12z, like some of the other guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 SE MA might get more snow than anyone this run. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro and eps are garbage models Wtf happened to them ? Get off the board and give someone a traffic ticket. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I’m done !! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I wouldn't get to worked up over the OP run, When i saw it shift H5 yesterday at 12z 300 or so miles south at 18z, Kind of raised an eyebrow to that, Very uncharacteristic of the Euro and then just made another huge shift today from 06z, It looked a lot like today's 12z Ukie, Ride the ensembles for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: I wouldn't get to worked up over the OP run, When i saw it shift H5 yesterday at 12z 300 or so miles south at 18z, Kind of raised an eyebrow to that, Very uncharacteristic of the Euro and then just made another huge shift today from 06z, It looked a lot like today's 12z Ukie, Ride the ensembles for now. Fugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2020 Author Share Posted January 2, 2020 EURO going the wrong direction, maybe I can sneak 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: I’m done !! Wrong forum, and you've said that twice. Euro handled this one well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Just for the general information... this is not entirely true. There are plenty of examples of flat ridge eastern bombs in the KU reference guides and other historical sources for that matter. It certainly helps, and, in the majority of eastern north american, significant cyclogenesis events, you will in fact have some form of a western north american positive geopotential anomaly. However, there is another factor in play (... now, that is preventing the flat wave detonation scenario ), and it has to do with whether the flow is compressed in the east... At times more so than others... and if an ejected wave in question does so into a relaxed H500 mb isohypses layout, those have the best chance at creating their own lead S/W ridge roll-out and inducing the wave break without the large scale wave/positive/constructive interference feed-back. ..complex. There is a broader, longer termed systemic problem related to that... where the expanded Hadley Cell into the lower Ferrel latitudes is increasing the ambient compression, speeding up of the ambient flow; that factor is robbing from S/W mechanics because the speed maxes are not differentiating as proficiently as they did in the middle part of last century. Well, I think it will be true here. We aren't getting a big event imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: SE MA might get more snow than anyone this run. But nobody will care. Nobody lives there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I don't mind the 72 hour EURO low position for the Cape and SE MA to get snow out of this. 989mb low east of the BM. That is a good location for the Cape to see at least 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 How is 12z EURO? Expecting more progressive and modest... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Yikes. might miss here too lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2020 Author Share Posted January 2, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: How is 12z EURO? Expecting more progressive and modest... your not reading the posts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I think you just skipped 2 pages of meltdowns or it was a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: I think you just skipped 2 pages of meltdowns or it was a joke. latter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Fugly Euro crapped its pants 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 That was a scooter shit streak on predicting where the euro will go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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