HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even I...the ultimate snow lover....would have a hard time getting up for a 2-4" snowfall in early January if I lived in Bethel or somewhere else with similar snow climo. Too bad the more dynamic solutions have been lost....even some of the ones that gave SNE nothing at least were giving 8-10" up north in a wide swath. N Greens have best shot at a few inches. If this thing loses any more dynamics and shreds out I could see even Bethel getting only 1-2". Hopefully it surprises and all the mountains get 4 to 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Heh... "still time for this to go to shit" reminds me of that joke ... Some dude dies and goes to hell. He gets confronted by Satan who says, "We're not infinitely uncivilized in our ruination as recompense for deeds of soiled souls .. we at least give you the choice of what where and how you'll spend eternity .. Shall we begin the selection tour?" The dude sees all these people standing around naked .. feet submerged in the shit of their smuggest enemies, to a depth somewhere between knee and ankle high. Huh? What's more, they are all holding saucers with donuts and coffee? Wtf. Mind you, he'd just seen hundred of parallel dimensions and universes, where the reality is unspeakably transcending any putrescence known ... So, although bad, the ignominy of enemy's shit at least gets donuts and coffee - fuggit. Next thing he knows, he too is naked standing in the shit of his smuggest enemies. A saucer with a cup of coffee and donut in hand, a voice booms through the ether ... and it says, "Okay everyone - breaks over. Back to the push-ups!" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 wow....lucky if i see a few flakes.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 7 hours ago, codfishsnowman said: RIP storm\RIP Aunt Marion One funeral b4 another but she'd be glad seeing as she hated snow Sorry man. RIP Auntie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: N Greens have best shot at a few inches. If this thing loses any more dynamics and shreds out I could see even Bethel getting only 1-2". Hopefully it surprises and all the mountains get 4 to 6" I actually think the oppo happens, It couldn't shred any worse then it was, A slight uptick would not surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Ha, The Nam looks to get SE MA with some love on the clown.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 This is basically a NNE topic now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ha, The Nam looks to get SE MA with some love on the clown.......... They get clipped with the late development....same part of the system that was forecasted to bomb out like crazy and give 6-10 by the Euro 36 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They get clipped with the late development....same part of the system that was forecasted to bomb out like crazy and give 6-10 by the Euro 36 hours ago. Yeah, Looked to pop a hair sooner and throw some precip back NW as the low moves east, To bad that can't happen 6-12 hrs sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This is basically a NNE topic now lol We''ll be talking to ourselves with the Obs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Yeah I’ll sell for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 might wake up in the AM with pleasant overnight model run suite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I’ll sell for now. There has been some hint on some models that this could clip se areas up the coast to Boston and north shore. Obviously we aren’t talking big amounts... but would you be shocked if eastern ma scored an inch or two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There has been some hint on some models that this could clip se areas up the coast to Boston and north shore. Obviously we aren’t talking big amounts... but would you be shocked if eastern ma scored an inch or two? No, and I do see why. I’m just not sold at the moment. That’s a nice little mid level magic parting gift on NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: No, and I do see why. I’m just not sold at the moment. That’s a nice little mid level magic parting gift on NAM. Oh I agree... I’m not predicting that at the moment... just a subtle little trend to keep an eye on. Still a solid 36 hours away so wouldn’t take much to trend a little bit better on the tail end. Icon actually threw precip back further this run at the end too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Sorry man. RIP Auntie Thanks Steve, she was a super cool lady. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Expect to cash in on 2-4 inches of snow where I live but with the pattern we are in I would not be surprised if we end up with a mere 1 inch. Brett Anderson of Accuweather predicted this pattern back in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 BOX is wasted . Puff puff pass Mid level trough finally pushes eastward through our area overnight, pushing the surface low offshore. Models have the low intensifying as it tracks towards/into the Canadian Maritimes, keeping this strengthening system farther north and more progressive. Continue to expect light QPF amounts for our area, up to 0.2 inch liquid equivalent. With the colder airmass moving into our area behind the low, we will see precip changing from rain to snow. Model soundings indicate sufficient cold air aloft to support dendrites. At this time, thinking snowfall potential would range from 1 to 3 inches over the interior, with up to an inch in the coastal plain and lower CT River Valley. Overnight lows in the mid 20s to low 30s expected for much of SNE, except some mid 30s possible Boston, the Cape/Islands and portions of S. coastal SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: BOX is wasted . Puff puff pass Mid level trough finally pushes eastward through our area overnight, pushing the surface low offshore. Models have the low intensifying as it tracks towards/into the Canadian Maritimes, keeping this strengthening system farther north and more progressive. Continue to expect light QPF amounts for our area, up to 0.2 inch liquid equivalent. With the colder airmass moving into our area behind the low, we will see precip changing from rain to snow. Model soundings indicate sufficient cold air aloft to support dendrites. At this time, thinking snowfall potential would range from 1 to 3 inches over the interior, with up to an inch in the coastal plain and lower CT River Valley. Overnight lows in the mid 20s to low 30s expected for much of SNE, except some mid 30s possible Boston, the Cape/Islands and portions of S. coastal SNE. Must be looking at soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 Watch your backside... Profiles show a robust low level upward motion through the 0 to -5C dendritic growth zone which may help to enhance snowfall in what would otherwise be marginal conditions. Bottom line, while the overall forecast package has seen just a slight uptick in the Snow totals, feel the higher end bust potential is there however the confidence isn`t high enough to narrow down a region for an advisory or watch. As the low moves out on Saturday night further enhancement to the snowfall through the mountains will occur as NWly flow develops. This may allow the mountains to pick up another few inches overnight, leaving this area the ultimate winner from this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Must be looking at soundings I dunno. I’m gonna hard sell any accumulations I south of pike 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2020 Share Posted January 3, 2020 I don’t know...Box had you with very little ice back on Monday...and you thought you were getting an ice storm lol, when it was Clear that wasn’t gonna happen. Now they have you with 1-3” of snow, and you say they are wasted...?? Hmmm? Might want to start hedging your bets with the pros pal... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 What’s the 0 to -5C dendritic growth zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 3 hours ago, dryslot said: We''ll be talking to ourselves with the Obs. You and @alex 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: You and @alex I'm in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 I'll take 3", that's enough for a pants tent 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 1 hour ago, #NoPoles said: You and @alex I’m sure PF, JSpin and I will cover north central VT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Hazey could still get it decently in Halifax. Still a bit more uncertainty over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Hazey could still get it decently in Halifax. Still a bit more uncertainty over there. Yeah I noticed a bit of a late trend to tuck this in closer to me. Not sure I buy that yet. Need another round of guidance. Complex storm and deep too. Mid 80’s at my latitude. Low 60’s upper 50’s for you. That’s beastly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 5 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This is basically a NNE topic now lol Yea, couldn't care less. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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