Massplow Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Any chance this tics back to something like what the euro had this morning for south of the pike or is it likely just gonna stay with the current idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 9:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Even on the EPS it was low on 3” probs. The clown maps were too generous as well. Throwing snow down with temps above 0C at 925. Meh Expand 3” probs were over 50%. That isn’t an insignificant number. It is what it is, I guess we’ll agree to disagree. It blew chunks all over itself in my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 With that being said.... kind of a precarious setup... I’ll give it until 12z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 9:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Even on the EPS it was low on 3” probs. The clown maps were too generous as well. Throwing snow down with temps above 0C at 925. Meh. You had a garbage airmass to start and we’re relying on dynamics to cool it. You know how that goes. Expand Right, one run of the Euro with a snow map isn't really a forecast to follow. The EPS did have higher probabilities going back a few runs, but taking > 6" probs from 30% to 0 shouldn't be considered that wild a swing. Even a 70% chance of > 3" is a 1/3 chance you get less. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 9:25 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: With that being said.... kind of a precarious setup... I’ll give it until 12z tomorrow Expand Yup and always has been despite selective model hugging by weenies with snow goggles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOL 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Never know what might happen overnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:09 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOL Expand NNE has not really done well. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Some people forget the snowiest winters often do not peak until late Jan early Feb... Sometimes biggest event isn't until Mar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:26 PM, DotRat_Wx said: Some people forget the snowiest winters often do not peak until late Jan early Feb... Sometimes biggest event isn't until Mar Expand Alot of forecasts had a backloaded winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:26 PM, DotRat_Wx said: Some people forget the snowiest winters often do not peak until late Jan early Feb... Sometimes biggest event isn't until Mar Expand I’m almost halfway to season average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Most of the interior has probably already had their biggest snowstorm of the season. 15"+ (20+ in some cases) near and outside the 495 belt for pretty much all of MA and N CT on Dec 1-3. Coastline prob has their biggest still to come. As for this threat, I still say hope for 1-3" and considers that a win given that guidance had powderfreak pond skimming 48-60 hours ago. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:30 PM, Snow88 said: Alot of forecasts had a backloaded winter. Expand I'm seriously getting sick of those. Late Nov till Mid Feb is 100X better than Late Jan to Early Apr. Like 14-15, 15-16 etc. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Frontloaded here. But for now we wait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:30 PM, Snow88 said: Alot of forecasts had a backloaded winter. Expand A lot had early winter meh middle and a good first 2/3 of Feb before early spring. This year winter ends quickly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 At this early junction, NWS has 1.5" of snow here. Looks soggy leading up to the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:34 PM, ORH_wxman said: Most of the interior has probably already had their biggest snowstorm of the season. 15"+ (20+ in some cases) near and outside the 495 belt for pretty much all of MA and N CT on Dec 1-3. Coastline prob has their biggest still to come. As for this threat, I still say hope for 1-3" and considers that a win given that guidance had powderfreak pond skimming 48-60 hours ago. Expand I hope so. 5” on 12/3 is the biggest event so far here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Hurts when Ryan basically punts the next 14 days, in January no less. Ouch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Man it looked like SNE was stealing snow yesterday to now being near the mix line. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 11:05 PM, powderfreak said: Man it looked like SNE was stealing snow yesterday to now being near the mix line. Expand How come you didn’t post the Reggie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Reggie didn’t look to bad, Still out of its range though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 CMC gives me a powder day skiing on Sunday so I'm riding it. Science is useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 11:09 PM, Damage In Tolland said: How come you didn’t post the Reggie? Expand Haven’t seen it past 48 hours out? What’s it show? Don’t have that extended link on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I think i speak for the board when i say I'd rather an early warm spring instead of storms in March that melt in 2 days. Give it to me now or forever hold your snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Looks like the meteo site goes out to hr72 now on there accumulation map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: A lot had early winter meh middle and a good first 2/3 of Feb before early spring. This year winter ends quickly Expand Just to clarify, is that what you're going with as well? A D/F winter, worse than the last 5 years, below avg snowfall etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 it seems like forever when we had a winter where we were comparing pack depth, regionwide, i know some have had a couple of good recent winters with lasting pack, but it seems imby, as soon as the snow melts we get another and it melts and ao on... last winter I remember with a lasting sizable pack was I believe 13-14, the first year we moved to Winsted, and 10-11 was great in Waterbury with that January to remember, who knows, I've seen stranger things happen in meh winters, we could go on a run from mid January to March and be running naked, or we can be tanning napes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 11:50 PM, The 4 Seasons said: Just to clarify, is that what you're going with as well? A D/F winter, worse than the last 5 years, below avg snowfall etc.. Expand Our forecast issued late Oct was for slightly BN temps and AN snow Dec, a A to MAN Jan with MBN snows and a return to more sustained winter late Jan with a good first 3 or so weeks in Feb before it breaks for early spring a warm Morch . I see nothing pointing to a long cold spring This is for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 10:09 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOLHey are we long lost brothers? I could have written this 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 On 1/2/2020 at 11:56 PM, Lava Rock said: On 1/2/2020 at 10:09 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOL Expand Hey are we long lost brothers? I could have written this Expand Lol. Here I am. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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