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Jan 4-5 Mixed Bag Discussion Thread


Bostonseminole
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  On 1/2/2020 at 3:40 PM, OSUmetstud said:

Long range RDPS keeps things weak until east of the coast, making this more of a CNE story. 

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It's definetly in the cards, some models are hinting at this, that would be my concern if I'm west of 495 in MA, i think eastern areas areas will do OK if temps hold.

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The Euro, at least from this season so far has seemed to have a set of runs that would "bullseye" the CT region, while the GFS was raining to Vermont. The final solution always ended up a compromise of both, with a bullseye somewhere near Vermont/Mass region. With the ensemble being north of the OP currently, I totally expect this to come north and snow where it has been snowing so far this season (not central and southern portions of CT)

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Canadian is a little disorganized too, although some snow to end. Basically it digs the ULL very far south and is stretched. As a result you do not get rapid cyclogenesis and the srfc low is stretched. It doesn't allow the comma head to really wrap up like the euro. We'll see what the euro does. Sometimes the GFS and GEM don't do well with these intricate processes, but we've seen the euro back off at times too. 

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  On 1/2/2020 at 4:18 PM, CoastalWx said:

Canadian is a little disorganized too, although some snow to end. Basically it digs the ULL very far south and is stretched. As a result you do not get rapid cyclogenesis and the srfc low is stretched. It doesn't allow the comma head to really wrap up like the euro. We'll see what the euro does. Sometimes the GFS and GEM don't do well with these intricate processes, but we've seen the euro back off at times too. 

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Where do you get the GDPS so early?

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