nw baltimore wx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, Scraff said: I have a feeling some D upgrades might be in order before the trade deadline. Was thinking the same. I’d like to see more of Samsonov too. And that was great pressure for the score! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 21 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Anyone else watching the Caps? Is the sky blue in DC? Can our obs thread be a disaster with complaining? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, Scraff said: I have a feeling some D upgrades might be in order before the trade deadline. Same...our 3rd line needs to wake the F up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 18 minutes ago, Chris78 said: I hope so. Do they have the cap space to add someone? Not sure on that. I would hope they could figure something out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 6 minutes ago, Scraff said: Not sure on that. I would hope they could figure something out. I know its real tight. They had to trade stephenson a coulple months ago because they were in salary cap hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Not a good night for the Caps. Pure crap. They should have declined all penalties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 22 minutes ago, Scraff said: Not a good night for the Caps. Pure crap. They should have declined all penalties. Caps-Flyers always a competitive rivalry throughout the years. Flyers had a horrible road trip. I'm sure being back home tonight helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 48 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Caps-Flyers always a competitive rivalry throughout the years. Flyers had a horrible road trip. I'm sure being back home tonight helped. CAPS very sluggish tonight, legs were toast, not crisp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 hour ago, Scraff said: Not a good night for the Caps. Pure crap. They should have declined all penalties. 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Caps-Flyers always a competitive rivalry throughout the years. Flyers had a horrible road trip. I'm sure being back home tonight helped. 12 minutes ago, Solution Man said: CAPS very sluggish tonight, legs were toast, not crisp. Going to the game Monday night!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, wxdude64 said: Going to the game Monday night!! They will play well Monday, back to backs are tough as witnessed tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, Solution Man said: They will play well Monday, back to backs are tough as witnessed tonight True! Last three games I've gone to they have won, hope the streak continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 10 hours ago, Mersky said: Giving him a hard time? How so??? Unless someone else was posting under your username, yes there are quite a few posts from you at the end of December where you gave psu a hard time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 I'm 100% sure that Saturday's model runs will be hideous in the long range. 1/9/20 6:23am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 32 minutes ago, mappy said: Unless someone else was posting under your username, yes there are quite a few posts from you at the end of December where you gave psu a hard time And that should be ok unless PSU is off limits....is that the case? Maybe his mistake was not doing it in banter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, Mersky said: I was simply questioning him on canceling January on December 28th. Is that not allowed, especially after he received 5” of snow Tuesday. I had a 60F day last saturday, 0.5" snow tuesday, and will be back in the 60s again this weekend. Thats half the month shot so January def hasn't been working out for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, H2O said: I had a 60F day last saturday, 0.5" snow tuesday, and will be back in the 60s again this weekend. Thats half the month shot so January def hasn't been working out for some of us. Hopefully the 6z GFS is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 13 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: And that should be ok unless PSU is off limits....is that the case? Maybe his mistake was not doing it in banter? Oh no, psu isn’t off limits. Merksy posted in the LR thread about a “No doubt" this is going to happen pattern, even tho there are numerous posts of him giving psu a hard time for punting January 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 13 minutes ago, Mersky said: I was simply questioning him on canceling January on December 28th. Is that not allowed? Sure is. But you can’t then go make posts yourself about upcoming long range patterns saying those will happen because they show promise vs a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 32 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm 100% sure that Saturday's model runs will be hideous in the long range. 1/9/20 6:23am Might not make it to Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Ooooohhhh the small hints of doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 All the talk of the winter of 93/94. There was one week in Jan that I will never forget as long as I live. One of the best weeks ever as far as snow, ice, cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 12 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Moving this here before they come with pitchforks for both of us! Your scenario would be accurate except you forgot the 2 years in 10 that DC gets almost no snow. Those years offset the higher ones somewhat. But again you keep calling average normal. But if DC only gets an average winter 20% of the time is that normal? Those 2 big years skew the average higher than what DC gets the majority of the time. Like I said DC gets between about 7-15” half the time. 25% of the time more and 25% less. To me that makes that 7-15 range normal. You can call whatever you want normal but it won’t change the frequency or probabilities. Wrt your climo, the rain snow line often runs SW to NE in our region due to the fall line and coast. Your north is offset by your east. Your closed to the coast. My elevation is a big benefit. Without it I would only avg a little more than you. Your meso climate is also influenced by the Chesapeake bay to your southwest. That really doesn’t help. Again if you tell me what ball park # and under what conditions you need snow in a season to feel ok with it I could use the local coop data to tell you how often that happens. I could also tell you how far NW you would need to go for that to be a more normal occurrence. I don’t know your personal situation but if you moved only 20 miles to your northwest and to a spot with some decent elevation you could go from about 19” a year to 30, maybe even a little more. Your exact location is pretty bad for snow. And it seems very important to you. So why don’t you move 30 mins NW where a lot of these marginal events would break your way? I get what you are saying in regards to the median. I still am not sure its an accurate measure of what the potential is. I want to know why the NWS uses average and not median. The capital weather gang also uses the average. Sure, the lower amounts will skew it down, but its range bound on the downward end but not on the upward end. Again, I don't think 10 inches would represent a good number for DC because in the example I used, if DC got around 10 inches for 10 years, it would be below what is expected. Not what is expected as you have said. Maybe we just have to agree to disagree. I understand the point you are making fully. I am just not sold it is an accurate measure of things. I don't think other pro mets are either. As far as the SW to NE orientation; that's the thing, it doesn't apply here. I am a full 80 miles west and somewhat north of Atlantic City. Did you know, we have similar climo? The west part does me absolutely not good. Far enough west to miss coastal storms. That's about the only thing the west part does for me. Its because, like you said, the Delaware Bay and the C bay are up my ass. Like I said, its a **** area for snow. Honestly, part of the reason I bought here is because I assumed that the SW/NE orientation balanced things out. It doesn't. I'd probably be good with about 35-40 inches per year. Its a good amount but its not so much that it gets annoying (I wouldn't want to do the 150 inches Syracuse does). I've thought about moving out into mapgirl Katie land, but honestly, no offense, its in the middle of nowhere. I like having all my resutrants, malls, hospitals, grocery stores, within about a 10 miles radius. I am not a fan of taking a 30 minute drive to civilization. I have to balance that with my love of snow and I just don't think its enough to make me move. I really would love nothing more for their to be civilization somewhere, anywhere, to the northwest of my location that is still within a doable driving distance from APG. But after extensive research, that place doesn't actually exist. Its a **** area. But I appreciate you replying to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Ooooohhhh the small hints of doubt Degrade- the key word is “degrade”. At some point someone will post about the long range look degrading- that will be the tipping point. Then it will trend back to the dumpster fire. A new trend I’ve been noticing on this forum in recent years is that the new weenie analog is 1994- every long range look now matches 1994. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 I thought the long range looked a lot like 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Here's a question that always comes up when I read the long range cold disco - I am never quite sure what each person is chasing. I mean, we simply need "cold enough" air masses to support big storms, we don't need bay freezing cold at all (in fact, I don't want that as it almost always murders snow chances due to suppression). Hard to tell when reading the discos if people complaining about mixed signals for cold are talking about DEEP cold or just cold enough. Get some cold air nearby and an active southern stream and let's see what happens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Here's a question that always comes up when I read the long range cold disco - I am never quite sure what each person is chasing. I mean, we simply need "cold enough" air masses to support big storms, we don't need bay freezing cold at all (in fact, I don't want that as it almost always murders snow chances due to suppression). Hard to tell when reading the discos if people complaining about mixed signals for cold are talking about DEEP cold or just cold enough. Get some cold air nearby and an active southern stream and let's see what happens... I cant follow the LR stuff. too many ups and downs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 24 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Here's a question that always comes up when I read the long range cold disco - I am never quite sure what each person is chasing. I mean, we simply need "cold enough" air masses to support big storms, we don't need bay freezing cold at all (in fact, I don't want that as it almost always murders snow chances due to suppression). Hard to tell when reading the discos if people complaining about mixed signals for cold are talking about DEEP cold or just cold enough. Get some cold air nearby and an active southern stream and let's see what happens... To Bob's credit he talks about patterns conducive to snow not so much cold. PSU is looking for the white rhino....C.A.P.E I don't know about that guy he seems unstable....stormtracker lives in DC so who cares. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 22 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Here's a question that always comes up when I read the long range cold disco - I am never quite sure what each person is chasing. I mean, we simply need "cold enough" air masses to support big storms, we don't need bay freezing cold at all (in fact, I don't want that as it almost always murders snow chances due to suppression). Hard to tell when reading the discos if people complaining about mixed signals for cold are talking about DEEP cold or just cold enough. Get some cold air nearby and an active southern stream and let's see what happens... Yeah this is an interesting question. I think most people have an idea or perception of what is favorable for winter weather- for most here that means legit snow chances- and ofc what is considered favorable varies based on specific location within our region, as factors like physical topography/proximity to water/UHI lead to disparate local climates over relatively short distances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: To Bob's credit he talks about patterns conducive to snow not so much cold. PSU is looking for the white rhino....C.A.P.E I don't know about that guy he seems unstable....stormtracker lives in DC so who cares. au contraire. I am very stable and level headed. Despite living in a place that blows for snow chances, I track on, contributing for the greater good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: au contraire. I am very stable and level headed. Despite living in a place that blows for snow chances, I track on, contributing for the greater good. But will this be the case at 815PM on Saturday? Asking the important questions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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