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4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

I realized this has now become my daily routine.

1) Check out the latest model runs.

2) Say to myself, "Awful, awful, awful weather pattern."

3)) Grumble about it and then move on with my day.

4) Look at the clock, "Oh, it's time for the latest model runs!"

5) Go back to step 1.

You forgot the part where we see a pattern change or monster nor’Easter at hour 240

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1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

You forgot the part where we see a pattern change or monster nor’Easter at hour 240

It can't be +5-10 above normal for every month for the entirety of winter in a Neutral Enso, can it? Would be the first ever.

EDIT: 1952-53 was a weak Nino with 55" of snow at KBUF. Weak Ninos average the highest snowfall of any ENSO type at Buffalo.

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5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

So hrrr has ksyr getting to 42° at 11am, at the same time the Nam is 33° and rgem 34° :wacko:

I guess we'll see soon enough, temps are slowly dropping not rising, hard for me to believe we jump up 7° in the next couple hours..DPs are still in the mid 20s..

I have a sneaky suspicion the euro is about to school all the models..

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5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

The next system comes down to phasing of northern and southern stream energies, this will take a while to figure out..

We could still see a few inches from the northern stream disturbance, if they stay separate..

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_32 (1).png

It takes almost 24 hours for all this energy and low centers to consolidate into a 974 low just off shore of Boston.

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