Buffalo Bumble Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Roaring outside! You forget how intimidating high wind sounds until you get woken up by a 70mph gust with the windows shaking. Seeing some big flashes now in the distance too. Not sure if lightning or transformers popping. Probs the latter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 We’ve been on backup power since 530, local cell phone tower is having issues as well. Waiting for light to see how much firewood to cut up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 13 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: We’ve been on backup power since 530, local cell phone tower is having issues as well. Waiting for light to see how much firewood to cut up. Luke are you in the Northtowns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Anyone see the 6z suite from the bi-polar GFS??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: Anyone see the 6z suite from the bi-polar GFS??? Check out the gefs A lot of snow for upstate NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 I’ve never heard winds roar so loud in my life. I bet there were some hurricane force gust here in the last couple hours. Constant things slamming the house. It’s honestly scary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 14 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Anyone see the 6z suite from the bi-polar GFS??? In Clarence, near Ransom south of Main. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 23 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: I’ve never heard winds roar so loud in my life. I bet there were some hurricane force gust here in the last couple hours. Constant things slamming the house. It’s honestly scary. I guarantee you somewhere near Batavia had to hit 70mph++ with that squall line, crazy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 So far just a bunch of kindling on the ground. Our property is full of large dead ash, one of these storms I’m going to have my work cut out for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 55 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: In Clarence, near Ransom south of Main. I live in Williamsville off maple just west of transit...i swear every time we have even advisory winds that area you live in loses power. That's crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Winds just gusted here to around 40. That came out of nowhere as skies are partly cloudy. Obviously cold air advection is mixing down strong winds just above the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Anyone see the 6z suite from the bi-polar GFS??? Yea just checked it out lol It collapses the column just in time to save CNY .. Euro was kinda meh and pretty far north.. The only thing that can save us is a quicker transfer.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 11 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I live in Williamsville off maple just west of transit...i swear every time we have even advisory winds that area you live in loses power. That's crazy. Ya the previous owner installed a whole home generator for that reason. I’m sure all of the dead ash out here don’t help. My first house was in Williamsville near Westwood and I don’t remember losing power there in 7 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Yea just checked it out lol It collapses the column just in time to save CNY .. Euro was kinda meh and pretty far north.. The only thing that can save us is a quicker transfer.. Hell I'm talking the entire run...thats the last messy storm for the rest of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Anyone have Euro snow map for next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 This includes 1"-3" on Thursday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Models had 2"-4" of liquid here..I picked up 0.80" over 3 days lol Point is models stink and can't be trusted beyond 12 hrs.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Thursday was a 990s cutter turned into 1010 weak wave to our south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Neutral. I’m telling ya. All that talk about a big flip was premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 This weekend storm might work out and be interesting for many. It’s a different look to be sure: got a decent airmass to work with, certainly appears potent. the Oz. GFS depicts A 992 LP pressing into a stout 1044 HP to the north, from Chicago to the st. Lawrence valley. Verbatim the GFS shows snow to start, a transition to rain, and then backend snows for western NY. The LP transfers to the coast into the gulf of Maine and everyone is back to snow for a spell for the west and central. The dacks look to the jackpot on the gfs, as well as eastern NY with the transfer to coastal The Euro sports a more western track. The low is weaker and takes it into the UP of michigan and the transfers from Ottawa to SNE. Less snow and more rain on this one verbatim, the but position of the LP after transfer suggests the backend would be decent even though the model doesn’t show verbatim. The rainy part for western NY could actually be dry slot...so all is not lost. Dacks also jack. My take is there is an LP transfer is in the cards, details TBD. This set up kind of makes a cut path work out as the SE ridge retreats, better antecedent airmass, and a stout HP to the north. A strengthening coastal hugger can chuck snow westward, and Both models depict snowy outcomes, but a mix will likely have to be tolerated. Not a bad look at this timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Mid 60s at 6 this morning...and now....I am getting a legitimate snow shower! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Boy the gfs is trolling lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 BTW has a few inches of synoptic/lake effect Thursday for Syracuse fwiw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Should we pretend like this never happened? Lol We were do for a run.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Weenie run. Improved so trending with an earlier transfer. At least it didn’t cut left like the 12z euro. Good look as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Models had 2"-4" of liquid here..I picked up 0.80" over 3 days lol Point is models stink and can't be trusted beyond 12 hrs.. Agreed. I had 0.25" rain yesterday and 0.11 the day before. A far cry from the flooding rains NWP showed a few days ago. Even friday I believe various models had our area around an inch or more of rain. Be glad this wasnt progged as a big snowstorm here cuz we would have all been ripsh*t over a big bust. I didnt see any snowfall reports from the entire midwest that supported the thousands of miles of Winter Storm Warnings that were issued. Weird system. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Now that’s what I’m talking about. Not worried about the green over us. Too bad it’s 2 weeks out and not likely to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The green is from lake modified air. Doubt it matters for anyone. Besides that kind of detail doesn’t matter now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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