wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Some D 9 Eye candy.. It's nice to see them to the SE, for now.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 I know what model I'll be rooting for ..lol The rgem seems a little off with this one for whatever reason..I doubt you see that type of widespread snow on the backside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Looks like the gfs trended towards the NAM, keeping the primary stronger for longer, quick surface reflection over NJ before the primary regains control.. Not that it probably matters much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 This one has decent bust potential as alluded to by freak yesterday..Not that it would take much as the forecast is for an inch lol The European has 3/4" here on Sunday which is going to equal an inch because it's 33°..If we get decent rates we will do ok.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Most of this event will be after dark.. The main batch starting Sunday afternoon, lasting through Monday morning.. According to the Nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Slight chance is better than no chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 6:26 AM, wolfie09 said: Euro looked decent East of lake Ontario with some embedded stronger bands on a west-wsw flow.. Timing is pretty good as well, Sunday night into Monday morning.. But you can see how marginal it is is lol I think the heavier precip rates are saving east of Ontario in these frames.. Expand Look at the North Syracuse crew being trolled... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/23/2020 at 1:16 PM, Snow88 said: 0z Expand Another terrible euro forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 1:17 PM, TugHillMatt said: Look at the North Syracuse crew being trolled... Expand Yea I'm guessing that's due to light precip rates..Nam is colder but with a "Westerly" flow most of the day Sunday/Sunday evening, precip may be lacking some, outside of the usual suspects, the tug.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Here's to hoping for not much rain tomorrow, and perhaps we can get the lakes to cooperate for some good lake enhancement during the 2nd half of the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Yes sir.. At the very least it should look wintry on Sunday and Monday with snow flying in the air..The next potential time period is way down the line, so this all we got for 10days lol Might as well make the most of it.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2020 Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 Weird look 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Once again not much of a secondary on the NAM..That surface track looks good to promote at least some"Westerly" flow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 This is the warmest frame on the NAM when Precipitation is just starting... Verbatim about 33°-34° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 I could see when heavier precip comes overhead. Huge white bombs falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 We are right on the border of 32/33 for most of the event..We can work with that much more than 34-35, obviously lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 What do you Syracuse guys think? Do you think our snowpack will absorb most of the rain coming tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 3:44 PM, TugHillMatt said: What do you Syracuse guys think? Do you think our snowpack will absorb most of the rain coming tomorrow? Expand It'll be cut in half at least. Temps near 40 and a half inch of rain or more... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Temp is already up to 40° today, so I'm sure we will melt some before the rain even gets here.. The last 2 days the max temps have only lasted a couple hours, not so much today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 It's not looking like a big time soaker.. About 1/2"-3/4 LE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Don't see this every day.. A nice stronger cutter day 8/9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 4:31 PM, wolfie09 said: Don't see this every day.. A nice stronger cutter day 8/9 Expand theme of winter rings again. models showed this being a powerful coastal just this morning. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 This is what we need to see, at least for East-NE of the lake lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 4:31 PM, wolfie09 said: Don't see this every day.. A nice stronger cutter day 8/9 Expand I expected this to stay coastal on the modeling until Wednesday or so. The cut is modeled early. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 I mean it looks like a big occluded low, and we have seen these modeled a couple of times. Its pretty potent. its also not likely verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Gfs drops down the northern stream and phases, the Ggem says screw that I'm gonna give you rain with just the northern stream.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2020 Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 Last week of GFS look good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 5:08 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Last week of GFS look good. Expand Starts with next weekends storm...is that the storm to finally shake things up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/23/2020 at 7:12 PM, tim123 said: That's just a cutter in disguise. Expand Good eye Tim, sure enough its a nasty cutter just a day later. LOLz, this winter is just brutal. I've got my Whiteface trip next weekend. Only half the mountain is open and things are trending in the wrong direction already. Pure garbage..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2020 Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 On 1/24/2020 at 5:19 PM, DeltaT13 said: Good eye Tim, sure enough its a nasty cutter just a day later. LOLz, this winter is just brutal. I've got my Whiteface trip next weekend. Only half the mountain is open and things are trending in the wrong direction already. Pure garbage..... Expand Mine is Feb 21-23rd. Hoping for some colder weather by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now