wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ukmet has wrap around into Tuesday.. Obviously this is not all snow or rain.. It's funny, for a 9k model, euro sure has trouble showing wrap around/enhancement..But yet 12k-17k models have no issues lol Here is precip up to midnight Sunday when the switch to snow is occurring.. Only 0.4-0.6" liquid..The rest is wrap around over the next 2 days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 U can see where it tracks on the ukmet, just east of here.. This could save us from heavy rain and keep some of my snow pack around lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Beautiful winter morning this morning while driving to work. Sunrise of many colors with the blue-white snowpack. Had to savor it. Have a good day, all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Fwiw Which is not much at this point lol Nam shows very little liquid.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 NAM - while still in its long range - was quite a bit colder with ample wrap around snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Jinx @wolfie09 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Whoa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Just now, 96blizz said: Whoa. Super Bowl Special! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Canadian looks pretty good with the wrap around/enhancement once again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Canadian total Snowfall, 10-1 and kuchera Granted it is over 2 day period lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 We need a rally...It looks like January at BUF will end up with very ugly winter stats. +8.2 degrees for the month to date with 11.2" of snow. Every day from now until the end of the month should be above normal. Maybe not warm enough to push the departure up to double digits, but at least +5 for the month seems like a lock. If we squeeze out a few inches of wet slop this weekend we still won't end up close to the normal 25" of snow for the month. I don't know what happened...I thought we were guaranteed to have a colder than average winter because it snowed in southern Siberia in October... .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Looks quiet once this system departs on Monday. Even though we are entering into when we should be a climatological min for temps, we will be far from it for this week as strongly positive Eastern Pacific Oscillation (EPO) teleconnection pattern favors strong jet pushing into western North America off the eastern Pacific which keeps coldest air bottled up well to the north, across even northern Canada. Weak little shortwave may bring some isold rain and snow showers or sprinkles/flurries Tuesday, but looks dry otherwise in a non eventful zonal flow. Yet another warmer system in the southern stream lifting along the northeast coast late in the week will bring the next chance of precipitation to the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 We'll send some rulers over to BUF from ROC for this weekend's event. That should help. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 10 minutes ago, vortmax said: We'll send some rulers over to BUF from ROC for this weekend's event. That should help. They need a tutorial on slant stick measuring, lol! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 6 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: They need a tutorial on slant stick measuring, lol! Takes much training to perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 27 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: We need a rally...It looks like January at BUF will end up with very ugly winter stats. +8.2 degrees for the month to date with 11.2" of snow. Every day from now until the end of the month should be above normal. Maybe not warm enough to push the departure up to double digits, but at least +5 for the month seems like a lock. If we squeeze out a few inches of wet slop this weekend we still won't end up close to the normal 25" of snow for the month. I don't know what happened...I thought we were guaranteed to have a colder than average winter because it snowed in southern Siberia in October... .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Looks quiet once this system departs on Monday. Even though we are entering into when we should be a climatological min for temps, we will be far from it for this week as strongly positive Eastern Pacific Oscillation (EPO) teleconnection pattern favors strong jet pushing into western North America off the eastern Pacific which keeps coldest air bottled up well to the north, across even northern Canada. Weak little shortwave may bring some isold rain and snow showers or sprinkles/flurries Tuesday, but looks dry otherwise in a non eventful zonal flow. Yet another warmer system in the southern stream lifting along the northeast coast late in the week will bring the next chance of precipitation to the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 The GEFS break down the Alaska vortex around the Feb 4th-5th. Is a one shot and done or a pattern change? Too far out to know. But we will get some cold air around that date. Until then, the pattern favors strong synoptic development and a track near our region, but with no cold air it will all be elevation dependent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Nice improvements on the European.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 2 hours ago, 96blizz said: Whoa. This happens and I’ll be stuck in st Lucia another day... edit. Too much rum. Thought this was for this Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 That's just a cutter in disguise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 This yr is coming real close to 2011-12 which was one of the worst Winters ever, especially for up here so they happen but they are few and far between, thank God!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: That extreme +EPO is just a winter killer. The AO is progged to stay positive and the MJO isn't helping either. Where's our SSW event?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Just hilarious is all I have to say, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Nam says what secondary lol Develops it quite late.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 The low dewpoint, lack of sunshine, and frozen layer on top of the snow is really helping to preserve our snowpack. Hasn't really budged at all today. Might lose some tomorrow and with some rain on Saturday, but hopefully with some backside snows this weekend, and temps mostly maxing in the mid 30s next week, we might actually make it with a couple weeks of consistent snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nam says what secondary lol Develops it quite late.. It's ridiculous how much these models jump all over the place from one run to the next. I feel like they have gotten worse. Or they just weren't engineered to handle all of the chaotic weather changes that seem to almost go against normal science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 As the pattern is boring for the next 10 days. I'll be posting some stuff way out there, and hope its still there as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Get ready, it's coming.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2020 Author Share Posted January 23, 2020 GEFS AND GEPS have it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 It's clear across almost off subs that there isn't much hope in any long-term pattern change. You can sense the overall "meh" many are feeling. Bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Get ready, it's coming.. lol Go Highmarket! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now