Syrmax Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 0Z & 6Z GFS look good for next weekend. I'm sure it'll change but we look to be in a more active period over the next two weeks. I don't know that any of these systems will be "clean" but for those of us that don't rely on lake effect it looks promising. Hopefully the Euro comes around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 I think it will.. Euro is Killing the primary so far south.. We need that primary towards the lakes and redevelopment near NJ.. Even the good ole Navy shows it.. I find that the Navy has improved this year.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 We also run the risk of the primary hanging on to long like the ukmet has..But that's a gamble we may have to take in order to see snow.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 And here is where the European transferred, just meanders of the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 I can’t buy that Euro track. It makes no sense. Is the SE ridge completely gone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Icon(ic) good track bad result.. Surface is 33-34, not sure what other warm layers we have in there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Also have the potential to see some snow with the ULL.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 Can care less about these lame synoptic systems. Where is my lake effect? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 gfs. Yes please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Yeah perfect track for CNY.. Still plenty of time to go lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 Looks like the winners of this event NEW YORK ...Cattaraugus County... Perrysburg 19.4 1000 PM 1/19 Co-Op Observer ...Erie County... 3 WSW Java Village 21.5 600 AM 1/20 48 hour storm total 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 big snow storms on gfs next 10 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Haha look at the green right over my house lol Something to keep in mind is the extremely marginal surface temps, going to need heavy precip to overcome that.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 26 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Haha look at the green right over my house lol Something to keep in mind is the extremely marginal surface temps, going to need heavy precip to overcome that.. Don’t worry, green over my house as well :). Just got back to Plattsburgh this morning . Ready for some snow action again after a nice vacay! Glad to be back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Not much difference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Wouldn't expect anything less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Hour 144 has the low over the lower Hudson Valley with 850 temperatures about -5. Interested in seeing what the precipitation looks like at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 We go over to some light wrap around..The heaviest precipitation is in the form of ice, for Oswego county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Can't forget about wny.. This isn't total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Doesn't matter anyway, euro is playing catch up . Canadian had this scenario Friday am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 EPS is certainly much better than the op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Eps snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Eps snow map? Saw indies on another forum. Many many big hits for our region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 What forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 7 minutes ago, tim123 said: What forum USAwx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Was board, did an average splits for the first 20days.. Which was 35/19, should be more like 28/8.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 19 minutes ago, tim123 said: What forum Just scroll down or up lol https://www.americanwx.com/forum/topic/7094-december-92-redux-of-death-125-to-128-all-areas-thread/page/8/?tab=comments#comment-1093822 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 Above freezing for highs the next 6 days after tomorrow. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Thursday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Friday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.. Saturday Cloudy, with a high near 37. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Monday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2020 Author Share Posted January 20, 2020 Our source region for cold air continues to torch the next 10+ days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 They have actually trended significantly colder here.. Yesterday had sat in the low 40s and upper 30s on Sunday..Not the coldest forecast in the world but it would get the job done lol Saturday Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday Night A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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