wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 All 3 major ensemble packages have a storm off the Delmarva.. Wpc D7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Looks like it’s already starting off as mixed precipitation down in Chautauqua county right from the get go according to C.C. Hopefully it’s wrong but would love to know if anyone has any ground reports from down there what it’s doing considering it’s supposed to be snow until at least early afternoon, and if it’s starting as mixed precipitation from the get go at 7 am that doesn’t bode well for us especially here in BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Looks like it’s already starting off as mixed precipitation down in Chautauqua county right from the get go according to C.C. Hopefully it’s wrong but would love to know if anyone has any ground reports from down there what it’s doing considering it’s supposed to be snow until at least early afternoon, and if it’s starting as mixed precipitation from the get go at 7 am that doesn’t bode well for us especially here in BUF. very doubtful! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 13 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Looks like it’s already starting off as mixed precipitation down in Chautauqua county right from the get go according to C.C. Hopefully it’s wrong but would love to know if anyone has any ground reports from down there what it’s doing considering it’s supposed to be snow until at least early afternoon, and if it’s starting as mixed precipitation from the get go at 7 am that doesn’t bode well for us especially here in BUF. KERI is already reporting ZR. Precipitation started out briefly as snow then a brief period of UP now all ZR. KERI 181151Z 15022G28KT 7SM -FZRA BKN042 OVC048 M02/M06 A3015 RMK AO2 PK WND 15030/1116 UPE08FZRAB08 SLP221 P0001 60002 70002 T10221056 11022 21039 56077 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 P&C forecast has 9"-16" here but it's over 2 days lol It's kind of a dink and dunk forecast with 1"-3"/2"-4" each 12 hour period, with a Max of 3"-5" Sunday night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: 21 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Looks like it’s already starting off as mixed precipitation down in Chautauqua county right from the get go according to C.C. Hopefully it’s wrong but would love to know if anyone has any ground reports from down there what it’s doing considering it’s supposed to be snow until at least early afternoon, and if it’s starting as mixed precipitation from the get go at 7 am that doesn’t bode well for us especially here in BUF. KERI is already reporting ZR. Precipitation started out briefly as snow then a brief period of UP now all ZR. KERI 181151Z 15022G28KT 7SM -FZRA BKN042 OVC048 M02/M06 A3015 RMK AO2 PK WND 15030/1116 UPE08FZRAB08 SLP221 P0001 60002 70002 T10221056 11022 21039 56077 Yup seeing mPing reports of ZR bear the Erie County PA/Chautauqua County NY border. Not a good sign to see mixing already if you want snow. Going for 1-2” max here now with a changeover possible almost right from the start. The winter of 19-20 lives on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Lol... what an awful winter. Enjoy whatever snow you do get because it's back to our weekly thaw by the end of the week with temps in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 One piece of good news is that Cleveland is currently reporting snow. They had a brief period of ZR but went back to snow quickly. Have to watch Erie to see if the same scenario plays out there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: One piece of good news is that Cleveland is currently reporting snow. They had a brief period of ZR but went back to snow quickly. Have to watch Erie to see if the same scenario plays out there too. Today will be a case of the heavier the precip the more snow and tasting the taint will be critical. let’s go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 This weekend's forecast via the NWS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: This weekend's forecast via the NWS I noticed you put yourself in the 24-36 area and me in the T-1. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 It was more for max, Matt and freak, you just got included Just lightening the mood as we wait for our storm lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 39 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: It was more for max, Matt and freak, you just got included Just lightening the mood as we wait for our storm lol Best forecast I've seen yet! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 12z hrrr continues with the tight cutoff..It also has like no precip on Sunday during the lake Enhancement portion.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 12z hrrr continues with the tight cutoff..It also has like no precip on Sunday during the lake Enhancement portion.. Hrrr is actually pretty good considering it has 8"-10" by early tomorrow AM but shows nothing afterwards, NWS has it snowing through Monday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 If this storm busts.....and we really go back into the 40's by late week, then let's just end it. This is a sad, pathetic excuse for a winter. I might as well go spend winter in Tucson. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 16 minutes ago, cny rider said: If this storm busts.....and we really go back into the 40's by late week, then let's just end it. This is a sad, pathetic excuse for a winter. I might as well go spend winter in Tucson. Why are you complaining about this storm busting when it hasn’t even started? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: It was more for max, Matt and freak, you just got included Just lightening the mood as we wait for our storm lol If I am located between two of the vertical lines, does that mean I get closer to an inch? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Was my use of the word "If" not clear? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 We won't know what happens till it happens lol U guys need to ride the gfs hard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: We won't know what happens till it happens lol U guys need to ride the gfs hard... You love that GFS map. We get it... you're in the balls..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, cny rider said: Was my use of the word "If" not clear? No, just wondering why you’re even thinking about busting before the storm even starts. There’s a lot of negativity on this board. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 12z runs are looking better for the weenie zone on wolf's map. I chuckled to see that ROC still beats out SYR on most of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 51 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We won't know what happens till it happens lol U guys need to ride the gfs hard... Thank you Yogi Berra Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 18 with moderate virga. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Interesting...BGM just updated their snowfall map and I am now in the 8 to 12 inch zone. Must be following the 12Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Snowing moderately in Pittsford. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: We live in a crazy part of the world. You could drive from 0 to 100 in a couple hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now