Syrmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Easily the worst Euro run of this "winter". No cold air in the entire lower 48. Thinking this would be a bad time to discuss the Euro's Verification scores vs the rest of the pack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2020 Author Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Thinking this would be a bad time to discuss the Euro's Verification scores vs the rest of the pack? Well its just the OP run and still too far out to take too seriously. But the EPS look a little better. All ENS show it warm next weekend. Hopefully just a temporarily blip. Don't think it locks into place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Well its just the OP run and still too far out to take too seriously. But the EPS look a little better. All ENS show it warm next weekend. Hopefully just a temporarily blip. Don't think it locks into place. The Euro says it's an early spring before the Groundhog could even make a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Shortwave trough moving into the western U.S. tonight will cross into the Central Plains this weekend. Through 48 hours, the spread seen in the deterministic guidance has lessened with overall above average agreement at 500 mb. The NAM is a tad more amplified with its trough axis as the wave takes on a negative tilt. At the surface, there is still some latitudinal spread with the ECMWF and ECENS members showing a northern/northwest favor compared to the CMCE members further south/southeast. The GFS/GEFS members lie in the middle and probably provide a good approach for beyond 48 hours. The 00Z UKMET is also a good proxy. So, with the NAM being a bit amplified and the CMC too far south/southeast, will lean on a non-CMC, non-NAM blend. Day 3... ...Great Lakes/Northeast/Mid Atlantic... Low pressure will slide east across the Upper Great Lakes on Saturday. As the system moves into the St Lawrence Valley, models show a coastal low beginning to develop near Downeast Maine Sunday morning. This has the potential to produce a stripe of significant snows across portions of northern New England. Meanwhile, as the low passes to the north, strong westerly flow will support lake effect snow showers east of Lake Ontario, with heavy accumulations possible across the Tug Hill region. To the south, snow changing to a wintry mix is expected to produce some light snow and ice accumulations from the southern and central Appalachians into the Mid Atlantic on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 So we push off until at least the second week in February. The warmth even finding a way to impact my Jackson Hole trip. Im really becoming depressed with this shit. I’m impressed with those of you finding ways to keep it fun and light. I gotta try and just look at it as funny. At this point winter is straight up trolling us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: That’s just perfect! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Snowing super heavy in Liverpool with a temperature of 30Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Snowing heavily. The temperature has finally fallen to 30 so it’s starting to accumulate nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Bare ground with an original 3-5" WWA. Hmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 25 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: So we push off until at least the second week in February. The warmth even finding a way to impact my Jackson Hole trip. Im really becoming depressed with this shit. I’m impressed with those of you finding ways to keep it fun and light. I gotta try and just look at it as funny. At this point winter is straight up trolling us. Are you going to Jackson hole mtn resort or snow king? while Jackson proper may warm a bit the snow should still be amazing.... Have taken 4 snowmobile trips out there about 45 minutes outside of town and I’ve never been the slightest bit disappointed. Actually was there this past September again, with any luck I’d like to be living in that area in the next 5-7 years... Enjoy, hopefully you have a window seat, the view is nothing short of amazing as you’re coming in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 31 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: So we push off until at least the second week in February. The warmth even finding a way to impact my Jackson Hole trip. Im really becoming depressed with this shit. I’m impressed with those of you finding ways to keep it fun and light. I gotta try and just look at it as funny. At this point winter is straight up trolling us. The way I handle it these days is by enjoying whatever it brings. If it snows, great...I’ll snowboard and skate and do winter stuff. If it’s warm I’ll take advantage of weather and do outdoor projects. I love winter and I love summer. Just do whatever you can to take advantage of each day as it comes. We live in a place where winters can be mild ever so often. Make the best of it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Well NWS punted for the weekend "storm" and they are now predicting 1 to 3 inches on the lake plains...good night... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2020 Author Share Posted January 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: The way I handle it these days is by enjoying whatever it brings. If it snows, great...I’ll snowboard and skate and do winter stuff. If it’s warm I’ll take advantage of weather and do outdoor projects. I love winter and I love summer. Just do whatever you can to take advantage of each day as it comes. We live in a place where winters can be mild ever so often. Make the best of it. That's how I am, but I really haven't had my winter fix yet. I haven't done any winter activities yet besides that walk in the November snowstorm. Really have to take advantage of the good winter days this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 25 minutes ago, Polarbear said: Are you going to Jackson hole mtn resort or snow king? while Jackson proper may warm a bit the snow should still be amazing.... Have taken 4 snowmobile trips out there about 45 minutes outside of town and I’ve never been the slightest bit disappointed. Actually was there this past September again, with any luck I’d like to be living in that area in the next 5-7 years... Enjoy, hopefully you have a window seat, the view is nothing short of amazing as you’re coming in... Jackson Hole. It’s been 25 years since I was there. Thanks for the optimism. The reason I’m going there is because the East has gotten so unreliable. Last year at Killington, I February, we had torrential rains. Luckily, JH has built up a tremendous base so that won’t be an issue. The altitude and dry air can keep a good packed powder upto 40. So I’m still hopeful. Just a bit nervous when I see the EURO advertising the entire 48 above freezing for my dates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2020 Author Share Posted January 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Jackson Hole. It’s been 25 years since I was there. Thanks for the optimism. The reason I’m going there is because the East has gotten so unreliable. Last year at Killington, I February, we had torrential rains. Luckily, JH has built up a tremendous base so that won’t be an issue. The altitude and dry air can keep a good packed powder upto 40. So I’m still hopeful. Just a bit nervous when I see the EURO advertising the entire 48 above freezing for my dates My friends skied mammoth mountain until mid summer last year. They had a crazy season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Ripping out at the moment, temp down to 26.9°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Same here, temp down to 28 with lots of blowing but nothing to drift, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 So sick and tired of getting caught in between two F'in bands sucking exhaust as it happens every time as though theres some kind of repellent over us. It either gets Bville or just to my North in Central Square like it's doing right now, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Kbgm first map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Yeah, these multi-bands are tough to predict, obviously..I'm getting fringed at the moment myself but looks like another band is forming.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Keeps on getting better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 After his home run vs Chapman in game 6 lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Can anyone tell me how a low that NEVER crosses the area, stays south, it's January and rain is predicted??? 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: After his home run vs Chapman in game 6 lol I dont see what the problem is. Buwahaaa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 23 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Can anyone tell me how a low that NEVER crosses the area, stays south, it's January and rain is predicted??? 18z GFS. Big HP just east of NYC pumping in the heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Ripping out, wicked heavy rates, flakes are straight parachutes. Already approaching between 3-4" so if it was cold enough from the get, we'd be near 6-8" no doubt!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I dont see what the problem is. Buwahaaa. Haha What's funny is how this story broke.. Someone on Twitter claiming to be Beltrans niece lol She broke 3 stories alone this week, claiming altuve was wearing a buzzer during the playoffs..They had to "graduate" from garbage cans lol They were buzzed from a "videographer" Altuve claimed his wife didn't want them to rip his shirt off lol Rumor has it that Beltrans "niece" is some sort of Astros player or in the organization lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Haha What's funny is how this story broke.. Someone on Twitter claiming to be Beltrans niece lol She broke 3 stories alone this week, claiming altuve was wearing a buzzer during the playoffs..They had to "graduate" from garbage cans lol They were buzzed from a "videographer" He claimed his wife didn't want them to rip is shirt off lol Rumor has it that Beltrans "niece" is some sort of Astros player or in the organization lol Its unbelievable. What's not unbelievable is that somehow, yet again, my NY Muts have managed to end up circling the bowl in a scandal that they had nothing to do with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 I just came in from taking the dogs out and was surprised how much snow fell since I brought my wife home 2 hours ago. We must have gotten 2 inches in those 2 hours. Radar is showing signs of the snow decreasing in intensity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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