Syrmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Is this graph correct? posted by wgrz, seems extreme to me No idea if it's real. Anytime engineers point out the issues they get dumped on by people that don't even know Algebra, including soft science people. Just press the I believe button. Your life will be easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 NAM 0z came in like hot garbage. Looks like a couple big nothing burgers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 24 minutes ago, Syrmax said: You are right. I was in SECT. The only decent winter was 1995/96. The rest was forgettable shite. 1993 Superstorm....5" then slop and dryslot. My GF's place had 20" in West Hartford. Since I left in 2000, they have a Blizzard every year. I pray it rains there from December to April. So, it sounds like you, I, and our powers combined...have ruined the winter climate of Syracuse, New York! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM 0z came in like hot garbage. Looks like a couple big nothing burgers. All of the 00Z runs are coming in looking like garbage. Tomorrow looking less impressive. NAM and GFS have us lucky to get 2 inches on Saturday. lol This winter it is look at THE worst, and go with the WORST possible solution. Lots more burgers than weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Wow, thats an ugly look. Mid and upper 30's at 2am all the way into Canada. It's now knocking on Mont Tremblants door, but hey its good to be near the taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Wow, thats an ugly look. Mid and upper 30's at 2am all the way into Canada. It's now knocking on Mont Tremblants door, but hey its good to be near the taint. Whoa. Full stop. Is it at all possible that the much maligned ICON (with 100 mb verification scores for one of Jupiter's moons in the lower decile compared to Eurotrash) might just be on to something? Paging Rochester Dave, white courtesy phone.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 33 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM 0z came in like hot garbage. Looks like a couple big nothing burgers. I thought you were an ICON fanboy? Dumping it now for the prettier vietNAM? #sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Precipitation is pretty much over by then, once the warm front moves through precip shuts off..Then the CF swings through.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Is this graph correct? posted by wgrz, seems extreme to me Man they just love pushing the global warming thing at every turn. Not a fan of TV Mets trying to push out their own personal ideas on the subject. My only comment on this would be in questioning the starting time point. Why 1970? The late 70s had the coldest winters on record so of course starting there will skew the results to show a more extreme extent. Airport has temp records back to 1940 why not graph a larger sample of years? Maybe because in the late 40s and 50s we had a spell of milder winters that would give a less shock factor result?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Man they just love pushing the global warming thing at every turn. Not a fan of TV Mets trying to push out their own personal ideas on the subject. My only comment on this would be in questioning the starting time point. Why 1970? The late 70s had the coldest winters on record so of course starting there will skew the results to show a more extreme extent. Airport has temp records back to 1940 why not graph a larger sample of years? Maybe because in the late 40s and 50s we had a spell of milder winters that would give a less shock factor result? . I just find it completely unprofessional for them to use such a small sample size and most people have 0 clue on how much variance is involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2020 Author Share Posted January 16, 2020 Don't look now but GFS has another cutter next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Don't look now but GFS has another cutter next weekend. Yep, saw that...and was definitely NOT going to comment. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Don't look now but GFS has another cutter next weekend. Its time for spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Snowstorms said: Its time for spring. Apparently it's in CT. Posters there talking about/showing pictures of plants/trees budding all over there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2020 Author Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Apparently it's in CT. Posters there talking about/showing pictures of plants/trees budding all over there! My grass has definitely grown a bit the last 2 weeks. May give it a mow next weekend. I know when I want to open my pool in May it's going to be in the 50s. This is why I like seasons in seasons. November ruined this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Apparently it's in CT. Posters there talking about/showing pictures of plants/trees budding all over there! Geez that's crazy, but it wouldn't surprise me. Even up this way we've only had 10 days below freezing since Dec 1 and a 3" rainer a couple days ago lol. Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Snowstorms said: Geez, that's crazy but it wouldn't surprise me. Even up this way we've only had 10 days below freezing since Dec 1 and a 3" rainer a couple days ago lol. Terrible. 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My grass has definitely grown a bit the last 2 weeks. May give it a mow next weekend. I know when I want to open my pool in May it's going to be in the 50s. This is why I like seasons in seasons. November ruined this year. He said his neighbors were mowing their grass this past weekend....in CT...in January! Somehow, there are still some snowpiles that have survived here over the past several weeks... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Canadian looks to be developing a giant cutter through the Midwest next weekend as well. Bahaha. We'll see if it has it sliding east once it hits a certain latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2020 Author Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Canadian looks to be developing a giant cutter through the Midwest next weekend as well. Bahaha. We'll see if it has it sliding east once it hits a certain latitude. Should expect a cutter for what I posted this morning but got yelled at for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 5 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Man they just love pushing the global warming thing at every turn. Not a fan of TV Mets trying to push out their own personal ideas on the subject. My only comment on this would be in questioning the starting time point. Why 1970? The late 70s had the coldest winters on record so of course starting there will skew the results to show a more extreme extent. Airport has temp records back to 1940 why not graph a larger sample of years? Maybe because in the late 40s and 50s we had a spell of milder winters that would give a less shock factor result? . This is exactly what I was going to say. You can’t use the coldest ten years in record keeping as your starting point. My next argument would be to ask how much has urbanization heat sink affected this? Much of the area was still farms in the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Its pouting out,that's all I know and its Jan 16thSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 @33F too and there's nothing more annoying that's all I gotta say this early morning Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Damn it!!! Someone went and broke the 6z. I can't get next week's storm to cut like it's suppose to...maybe IT will fix it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Really neat to watch the radar slowly build this AM. Should be a fun day at times with this wind. Flakes starting to fly in Skaneateles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Today is a good day to pit local TV Mets vs. NWS...local Mets calling for an 1" at best in and around buffalo today, NWS calling for 1 to 4 inches...saturday local Mets calling for good thump of snow with temps not reaching freezing until late in the day over WNY and NWS calling for quick changeover to mix and rain early in the day. Always like to see who is worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Posting from Chaumont (bit NW of Watertown)...moderate snow here this morning, about 3” OTG. Ground was bare when we arrived last night. Back to the non winter news...Chaumont Bay has been totally ice free the last week. Father in law reports never seeing this in mid-Jan in his 70+ years being here (parts of the bay are quite shallow, no business being open this time of year). I guess that’s what +11 departures get you from Christmas to now. I also heard from a couple people back in WNY that their magnolias started budding, others report opening taps on maple trees to start some maple production. Surely all signs of the apocalypse. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 21 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Posting from Chaumont (bit NW of Watertown)...moderate snow here this morning, about 3” OTG. Ground was bare when we arrived last night. Back to the non winter news...Chaumont Bay has been totally ice free the last week. Father in law reports never seeing this in mid-Jan in his 70+ years being here (parts of the bay are quite shallow, no business being open this time of year). I guess that’s what +11 departures get you from Christmas to now. I also heard from a couple people back in WNY that their magnolias started budding, others report opening taps on maple trees to start some maple production. Surely all signs of the apocalypse. I saw daffodils starting to come up here. I believe it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 31.1° with light snow, a good 1/2"-1" on the ground.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Moderate snow here with a slushy coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 What mess lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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