BuffaloWeather Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, WesterlyWx said: Nothing there man. I'm keeping your ladder until we get a good LES event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 OH weather just compared this year to 06-07 btw...Go check it out, it's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 This is the EPS and only 10 days out, right at the tail end of its wheel house. Most other guidance is hopping on board with this look too with MJO cycling into phase 7. If you get the cold, the snow will come. Especially with 40 degree lakes. I expect the pattern to start changing around the 19-21st. A few days later then last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I'm a bit confused by the MJO forecast. Don't many of them show it quickly going back to neutral and then potentially the warm phases again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is the EPS and only 10 days out, right at the tail end of its wheel house. Most other guidance is hopping on board with this look too with MJO cycling into phase 7. If you get the cold, the snow will come. Especially with 40 degree lakes. I expect the pattern to start changing around the 19-21st. A few days later then last year. Want some unicorn eye candy? Check out the last few hours of the 18z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Want some unicorn eye candy? Check out the last few hours of the 18z GFS... Look at first post video on this page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 30 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Look at first post video on this page. Yep...thats the eye candy I speak of!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Good ole flood watch.. .FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * A portion of central New York...including the following counties...Jefferson...Lewis and Oswego. * From Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening. * Periods of rain will develop across the region, becoming widespread and heavy Saturday afternoon through Saturday night. Total rainfall amounts may reach 1.5 to 2.5 inches. Snowpack across the higher terrain will also melt, resulting in further runoff. * Heavy rain falling on nearly saturated ground will result in excessive runoff. This may result in flooding of low lying areas and urban areas. Flooding is also possible on some larger rivers as well, including the Black River Current snowpack.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Could be a little slick in the AM if the Nam is to be believed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Considerable amount in and around the tug.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 3 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Rent out a bus, Delta...because we're all going with you. This actually isnt the worst idea. Upstate NY Weather forum ski trip?? Although, we failed to even get our Upstate NY dinner and meet greet off the ground last year (or was that the year before) so perhaps this asking a bit too much. Would be fun, especially if we had a storm to geek out about. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 22 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: This actually isnt the worst idea. Upstate NY Weather forum ski trip?? Although, we failed to even get our Upstate NY dinner and meet greet off the ground last year (or was that the year before) so perhaps this asking a bit too much. Would be fun, especially if we had a storm to geek out about. I wouldn't be the only fool standing outside examining snowflakes and taking a gazillion measurements of snow on the ground and acting like I've never seen snow before! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 59 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: This actually isnt the worst idea. Upstate NY Weather forum ski trip?? Although, we failed to even get our Upstate NY dinner and meet greet off the ground last year (or was that the year before) so perhaps this asking a bit too much. Would be fun, especially if we had a storm to geek out about. I don't remember anyone getting one together. Me and Westerly have met up for chases several times and have become good friends, even borrowed his ladder to paint my stairway. Chases are fun, but chases with fellow weather weenies are the best. I remember us pulling over in the middle of no where jumping into a 4 foot pile of snow. Normal people don't get the same way with snow. Would be cool to get a dinner during a lake effect event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I don't remember anyone getting one together. Me and Westerly have met up for chases several times and have become good friends, even borrowed his ladder to paint my stairway. Chases are fun, but chases with fellow weather weenies are the best. I remember us pulling over in the middle of no where jumping into a 4 foot pile of snow. Normal people don't get the same way with snow. Would be cool to get a dinner during a lake effect event. We definitely didnt get one together but we briefly talked about it. I think we struggled to find a centralized location. It was a couple pages of chatter a few years back but would still be an interesting idea. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 7 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: We definitely didnt get one together but we briefly talked about it. I think we struggled to find a centralized location. It was a couple pages of chatter a few years back but would still be an interesting idea. I would be in for something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 14 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: We got about 2.5 inches in the Bville area. Is it normal for the village to get more than farther north in Lysander? It seems like there has been more there than here often this year. It seems like the NW winds focus it more on Southwestern Onondaga county. It's the "new normal" the past couple/few years. I'm sure there's a global warming, errrr climate change, errrr extreme weather explanation if we tighten down the tin foil hats enough... certainly couldn't be random variability or some sort of gaussian distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 31.1° and light freezing drizzle... Unfortunately have to drive in this crap as my pup had a seizure late last night, I freaked the fook out, lol The unfortunate part of living in the country is not having any emergency vets or hospitals near by . Ice accumulating on the colder surfaces.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I hope your dog is alright. We’re dealing with one with cancer right now. We’ve been taking her to the oncologist at the Veternary Medical Center of CNY on Bridge Street so I’ve become familiar with that area. We know what you’re going through with a sick pup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Sorry to hear that CNY, I'll be praying for your pup.. I bring my dog to the Liverpool animal health center...They have been so good to me that I didn't change vets when I moved..They will litterly always squeeze u in during an emergency.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 On the weather front.. Nevertheless, there is quite a large spread in the model guidance to the exact synoptic details with this upper level system. However, in general the low pressure system corresponding to this upper level feature, acts to push the high pressure out of the area Wednesday night and provide the weather occurring Thursday into Friday. The low passing through could be an intense system, as prior to its arrival a strong wind event may occur and as the system passes rain changing over to snow is possible. Behind this system, lake effect snow may develop east of the lakes by the end of late next week. Will have to keep an eye on this late week system as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Pops 70% a week out, quite confident lol Thursday Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Gfs was quite active with 4-5 storms over the next 10 days, several bouts of lake effect.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I wouldn't be the only fool standing outside examining snowflakes and taking a gazillion measurements of snow on the ground and acting like I've never seen snow before!Um, yeah you would be!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 31.1° and light freezing drizzle... Unfortunately have to drive in this crap as my pup had a seizure late last night, I freaked the fook out, lol The unfortunate part of living in the country is not having any emergency vets or hospitals near by . Ice accumulating on the colder surfaces..I hope he/she is OK because I know what my pup means to me so I hope all is well!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: 31.1° and light freezing drizzle... Unfortunately have to drive in this crap as my pup had a seizure late last night, I freaked the fook out, lol The unfortunate part of living in the country is not having any emergency vets or hospitals near by . Ice accumulating on the colder surfaces.. We have two big boys of our own and while we have 3 kids as well they are every bit a part of the family. We have a great vet in Hamburg Dr. Adorno. He loves large breed dogs which is great for us. Hope your pup will be ok Wolfie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Thanks guys, appreciate it.. I'm 37 with no kids , not sure if I'll ever have any tbh, life is hard enough.. I do have 5 pets though, which are basically like my children, it may sound messed up but I show more love and compassion to animals then I do to the human race.. Animals are as loyal as it gets.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z Euro still has the next 3 systems cutting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: We have two big boys of our own and while we have 3 kids as well they are every bit a part of the family. We have a great vet in Hamburg Dr. Adorno. He loves large breed dogs which is great for us. Hope your pup will be ok Wolfie. I go to Adorno too, best vet in WNY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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