Itstrainingtime Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, TugHillMatt said: So...many....cutters. I am going to go stand with the Mid-Atlantic crew on the edge of their cliff... Many in that sub forum are getting snowfall right now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: So...many....cutters. I am going to go stand with the Mid-Atlantic crew on the edge of their cliff... Changes are coming...even the last run of the 12z shows it...patience...last year to this point wasn't remarkably better at the same timeframe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Euro is in Illinois sat night haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Similar track to what the icon has been showing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I'm not buying this run...it has the low north of lake Ontario and a 997 low shoves out a 1035 MB high...no... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 This is the thing, it's a transient high..It's not staying in one place holding it's ground..But the Bermuda high is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Fore! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Break out the shorts.. We Torch. And then Re-Torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Ugly. Awful. Disgusting! The positive: We melted our best snowpack back in November...so we don't have to watch it melt again. lol Bermuda High 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 This is the 3rd or 4th straight year of below normal winters in the Montana region. Rebuilding that glacier back? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is the 3rd or 4th straight year of below normal winters in the Montana region. Rebuilding that glacier back? Just give it a couple thousand more years! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Right over my house! I'm going to be up for this. Could be the highest snowfall rates of the winter, that's not saying too much. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 WPC Ext Disc... Given the evolution of the large-scale/hemispheric pattern, with a building anomalous upper ridge between Alaska and Hawaii, this favors a persistent mean trough along the U.S. West Coast and a stronger subtropical ridge in the Southeast. Sounds like the Bermuda high is the winner. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 28 minutes ago, vortmax said: WPC Ext Disc... Given the evolution of the large-scale/hemispheric pattern, with a building anomalous upper ridge between Alaska and Hawaii, this favors a persistent mean trough along the U.S. West Coast and a stronger subtropical ridge in the Southeast. Sounds like the Bermuda high is the winner. Yeah, this isn't last year. The long range looks terrible compared to last year at this time where nearly all signs pointed to a big change. I don't see it yet. There will be a relax in the current regime, but no arctic cold anywhere to be found in the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah, this isn't last year. The long range looks terrible compared to last year at this time where nearly all signs pointed to a big change. I don't see it yet. There will be a relax in the current regime, but no arctic cold anywhere to be found in the GL. Yeah, looking at the GEFS maps you posted above, it looks like a SLIGHT relaxation, and then the warmth starts working its way up through the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Even if we get wintry precip. this weekend, it would all melt when temps warm right back up Monday and Tuesday next week. The weather the past several years has been a combination of Seattle and Denver winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I guess ya gotta expect a dud every now and again I suppose, oh well on to 2020/21 then. I just wish we didn't have to wait for spring and summer, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yeah, looking at the GEFS maps you posted above, it looks like a SLIGHT relaxation, and then the warmth starts working its way up through the Ohio Valley. There is still potential in the D10+ range. But that is so far out. EPS suggest some help from the Pacific in D10-15 with +PNA, but the Atlantic is still garbage. Would put us in a more favorable gradient pattern then where we are currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 The pattern will change in Apr...just when we're all sick of the cold rainy weather. lol - extending the cold, rainy weather until mid-May. Ok, that's depressing. I'd be happy to get a couple of big storms in there, even if they melted away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Omg people winter just started. You all act like its march. Middle of month through march may be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 This storm was always a long shot. At least we got a couple clown maps out of it. Our disappointing winter persists. I still think February and March will be better. Can’t be worse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 8 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This storm was always a long shot. At least we got a couple clown maps out of it. Our disappointing winter persists. I still think February and March will be better. Can’t be worse? March 2012 says hi, even though I thoroughly enjoyed it. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/201203 Whenever Alaska is cold, we are warm and vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 21 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: March 2012 says hi, even though I thoroughly enjoyed it. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/201203 Whenever Alaska is cold, we are warm and vice versa. 2020 would fit into this graph like a glove. Sadly..... It looks like an ugly 4 year return interval on very mild winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just to Add to the Gloom "We looked back over the National Weather Service’s official hourly readings at Hancock International Airport since the new year rang in. Of the 131 readings so far, 128 of them, or 98%, showed the sky was covered with clouds or that it was raining, misting, snowing or just plain foggy. Observers at the airport jotted down just three “fair” readings, which indicate mostly clear skies. One of those readings came at 11 p.m. on New Year’s Day, leaving just two daylight hours with any real sun. Those came just after lunch time last Thursday." "In Syracuse, the cloudiest Upstate city, we see sunshine just 44% of the time the sun is over the horizon, according to the National Centers for Environmental Information. That’s just slightly cloudier than Seattle, which gets 45% of available sunshine. Buffalo and Binghamton get 47% of available sunshine, and Rochester gets 48%. The sunniest – and we use the term loosely – major Upstate city is Albany, with 50%." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 18z icon just takes that LP and shunts it right to the UP of Michigan. Several hundred mile difference from GFS in 24 hours. All courtesy of our lovely Bermuda hp. Puke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 23 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: 18z icon just takes that LP and shunts it right to the UP of Michigan. Several hundred mile difference from GFS in 24 hours. All courtesy of our lovely Bermuda hp. Puke Sounds good to me...keep moving west...so far west that we miss out on any precip...and it moves up into Canada and hopefully mixes up this whole pattern. I can dream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 8 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Sounds good to me...keep moving west...so far west that we miss out on any precip...and it moves up into Canada and hopefully mixes up this whole pattern. I can dream. This pattern has got to give Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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