wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 If that CF speeds up we won't be seeing much of anything as everything will shift east...HP is nosing down from Canada and SE ridge is retreating..It actually takes a decent track for WNY, right through Central PA, but we obviously have a marginal airmass.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Normally that's exactly where we want to see LP lol It goes NE from there.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 I would rather we see nothing. So sick of rain! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 It's gone back over to rain, lol, what a f'in jokeSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Canadian goes from ice to near 60 in like 6 hours lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 I will no longer be tracking storms this year because this is going to be the yr where we don't get a Winter, lol! I'm sure if something substantial comes down the pike, I'll be all over it But until then, I'm no longer wasting my time!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 We can't even get an event that's supposed to drop an inch or 2 to verifySent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Look on the bright side, with no snowcover to speak of, if we do get some cold shots, it's more effective at killing off insects like mosquitoes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Next week looks like it's going to be cutter after cutter after cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 28 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I will no longer be tracking storms this year because this is going to be the yr where we don't get a Winter, lol! I'm sure if something substantial comes down the pike, I'll be all over it But until then, I'm no longer wasting my time! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I look forward to your post in 1 minute...oh wait, you already posted again! 21 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Look on the bright side, with no snowcover to speak of, if we do get some cold shots, it's more effective at killing off insects like mosquitoes. Not true. I still have some snow piles in my neighborhood. I think I saw BuffaloSummerWeather sledding down one of them in his shorts yelling, "I....NEED....MY....WINTER...FIX!" 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 And once we do start to get any cold air we will be dealing with suppression..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 4, 2020 Author Share Posted January 4, 2020 I'll gladly trade a snowless 2 weeks for a Bills victory today. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Euro!!! Shows absolutely nothing Unless u live on the tug, pretty much 1"-3" for most throughout the week... Another win for the gfs even though verbatim the gfs is better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 These 2 features will have a lot of say for the follow up event.. U can't cut with a 1036 mb HP over head lol And it can't head off the coast with the Bermuda high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: These 2 features will have a lot of say for the follow up event.. U can't cut with a 1036 mb HP over head lol And it can't head off the coast with the Bermuda high... The old squeeze play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Yup and just like I figured, it waited for the HP to move out of the way lol That HP actually supplies us with some low level cold but with warm mid lvl we see a decent amount of ice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 46 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The old squeeze play. I think that storm on the GFS in a week offers our best hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 The system moving through the area at the moment will continue to slide east as a mid-level trough quickly ushers it into New England this evening. Modest cold advection in its wake will feature northwesterly flow and fairly modest inversion heights. However, the top of the unstable layer does look to bisect the dendritic growth layer, and weak shear within the layer should promote some banding of snowfall off of the Great Lakes. There continues to be some semblance of concurrence amongst hi-res models with the development of a Georgian Bay band with a connection over western Lake Ontario that may emerge into the Buffalo Northtowns. Light snow accumulations were carried for this. As the night unfolds, bands should start to settle a bit south of there and in more typical lake effect areas with bands also finally forming off of Lake Ontario. Flow will really favor western Oswego County and northern Cayuga County, however unimpressive dendritic growth and crystal fracturing will probably hold back amounts there, but 2-3 inches seem possible. Elsewhere, accumulations will be spotty and light. The next system to affect the area will start to show its hand late Sunday afternoon and evening over western New York. A colder pre-arrival profile will be featured across the area. Potent upper level divergence is evident in the left exit region of an incoming jet streak, as well. Warm advection off the deck looks to be centered mostly below the dendritic layer over the Southern Tier and closer to it across the Thruway corridor. This will mean a bit better ratios across the northern two-thirds of the CWA than the southern third. Further, the best lift will generally translate down the Thruway and points to the north. Thus, system snowfall will generally be favored in the 2-4" range north and 1-3" range south. As the system advances eastward on Sunday night, westerly to west-southwest flow and a sharp, yet brief-lived, shot of cold advection off the deck follows. This should develop a nice band of WSW flow lake effect off of Lake Erie that will at least get into the Buffalo Southtowns, if not a bit farther north than that, along with the Chautauqua Ridge. A quick few inches with this band seem likely, however given the trend on new guidance as to this development, confidence on amounts and locations is fairly low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Wow, if you really want to get down in the dumps, read BGM's latest discussion. Pretty much no snow on the ground if you're not on a mountain. Dismissing any real opportunity of lake effect snow tonight, no talk of tomorrow evening, and chatting about rain/snow mix for Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Which is funny because we see almost no precip on Tuesday.. It comes in overnight with temps in the mid 20s.. Precipitation amounts are a bigger concern.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Actually they are calling for all snow Tuesday night and Wednesday for ksyr, I guess they figure a little precip is possible during the day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'll gladly trade a snowless 2 weeks for a Bills victory today. Sabres got us started, time for the Bills to do this!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 It's not a warm system especially since it's all northern stream.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 4 to 5 inches today above 1k feet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Went on a ski trip in N. Vermont. There and the ADKs is about the only place feeling wintery at times. These were taken south of Plattsuburg off the northway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 4 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: I look forward to your post in 1 minute...oh wait, you already posted again! Never said I wouldn't post, I said I wouldn't track anymore as I'll leave that to Wolfie, lol, so read the posts before you respond! Im trying to figure out what your expecting, exactly, when it comes to our weather? You lived in the Tug for one season and still you were never satisfied, lol, so what exactly will make you smile? People must have a huge misconception about the Great Lake regions and especially the snow belts because it doesn't always end up that way and I'm sure we all know this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 I guess it's been that kind of winter.. Track is nice..See what it looks like in a week lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: It's not a warm system especially since it's all northern stream.. yeah definitely no lack of cold air with the next event, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: I guess it's been that kind of winter.. Track is nice..See what it looks like in a week lol Its just getting better and better, lol, as we head further into the season! Clocks are already headed the other way so...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2020 Share Posted January 4, 2020 Wonder how many folks in the NE thread are ready to jump off bridges, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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