wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Icon is different than the gfs, has a big synoptic snowstorm day 6-7.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2020 Author Share Posted January 2, 2020 Don't worry about supression the GEFS are all even further NE then OP. Most of them at least. Sat-Weds look fantastic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Seems like the majority of the models are holding their ground. Some waaay far south, and others pretty far north. A good compromise would be in between the 0Z NAM and the 12Z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Don't worry about supression the GEFS are all even further NE then OP. Most of them at least. Sat-Weds look fantastic. Further NE? Wouldn't that imply more of a nasty, rainy Saturday? Or are you referring to backside snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Don't worry about supression the GEFS are all even further NE then OP. Most of them at least. Sat-Weds look fantastic. Never mind...just checked them out. They look great for Saturday night into Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 CMC is looking pretty sweet Monday as well.. Misses us with the first event, I would take the NAM if I could lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I really want to say I am not going to return to check out weather models at all before this possibility this weekend, but who am I kidding? That would be akin to Freak saying he is NOT coming back for 2 months, but then coming back 2 seconds later...…………………… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Joe Bastardee is tweeting this. I love a good clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 4 hours ago, Syrmax said: Joe Bastardee is tweeting this. I love a good clown map. Yeah bastardi is to weather as PT Barnum was to the circus. The NWS AFD is discussing moderate (think 3 to 6?) Accums for Saturday from buffalo to roch and North...with their most likely outcome 1 to 3 but state that if the cooler ensembles verify could be more due to enough QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Euro for the first event.. U can see how cold it is giving snow to coastal locations.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 European also still has that day 6 snowstorm.. You don't see a track like that deliver snow often lol Good amount of wrap around/enhancement once it's gets to our north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 GEFS pops the secondary right over NJ.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: European also still has that day 6 snowstorm.. You don't see a track like that deliver snow often lol Good amount of wrap around/enhancement once it's gets to our north.. Can anyone tell me when a primary 997 LP passed to our west and stayed all snow in WNY w/no secondary coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Icon kinda does it too.. Before redevelopment into a snow bomb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I'm not going to argue it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: GEFS pops the secondary right over NJ.. Just about all of those members are good hits for western and central NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Maybe it's that northern piece dropping in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 This next system will be a late phaser as alluded to by the weather prediction center, so this won't be a big one but 3"-5" seems doable.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 8 minutes ago, vortmax said: Can anyone tell me when a primary 997 LP passed to our west and stayed all snow in WNY w/no secondary coastal? Actually it's diving out of Canada and stays north...either way with marginally cold air around that would be a mix or rain changing to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 This northern stream drops down and phases injecting some Arctic air. That's all I got lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 22 minutes ago, vortmax said: Can anyone tell me when a primary 997 LP passed to our west and stayed all snow in WNY w/no secondary coastal? Easy explanation that we used in the Nuclear Navy. PFM Pure F**ckin Magic Class Over. Edit: A corollary to this when you are "overthinking" something is: Just Push the 'I Believe' button. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Last nights euro was pretty interesting for the finger lakes especially. I’d include the BUF and ROC suburbs in that interest. We’re talking a 3-6” thing, so don’t get too excited. But I can see that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Last nights euro was pretty interesting for the finger lakes especially. I’d include the BUF and ROC suburbs in that interest. We’re talking a 3-6” thing, so don’t get too excited. But I can see that happening. Hey 3 to 6 and then a couple more shortwaves and colder temps until late next week will at least make it resemble winter out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 I actually like this system for the Rochester area. I can see a way where, with enhancement from the lake, that roch ends up in th 5 to 8 or 6 to 10 range. The system is trending colder and that's a good scenario for you with NE then northerly winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Nam/gfs have this as a 1"-3" Snowfall with a loli of 4" or so.. Euro also has 4"-6" in and around NYC/LI , no other model has near that lol I guess we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nam/gfs have this as a 1"-3" Snowfall with a loli of 4" or so.. Euro also has 4"-6" in and around NYC/LI , no other model has near that lol I guess we'll see.. I'm not buying into accums yet...the 12z has the entire low staying in central pa never getting into NY and it still shows 1 to 3...not buying that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 Ukmet with a nice Track before it zips away.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2020 Share Posted January 2, 2020 12z Canadian is a 2"-5" Snowfall region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now