Rjay Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 10 minutes ago, psv88 said: 67 here, which is our high for the day and weekend I only made it to 59 yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: I only made it to 59 yesterday I made 60 yesterday. Islip is 1 degree away from it’s all time January high temp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Boston is 73 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Anyway this warm weather is nice but Saturday looks like a snowstorm to us. Maybe ending as some rain regardless looks like the biggest snowfall of the year let’s gooooo Too early to say it looks like an all out snowstorm. GFS is a nice snowstorm, but other models aren't as impressive and show just a light snow accumulation getting washed away by rain. 12z EURO is just a 1 to 2 inch snowfall for NYC and nearby areas, and then rain. You have to go well to the NW to get a 3 to 5 inch snowfall according to today's EURO. But we have a long way to go, so hopefully it'll improve. It's very likely going to change to rain, but strength and position of the high to the north will determine whether it's a light accumulation washed away by plenty of rain or a more significant accumulation that won't be totally washed away by some rain towards the end. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Another warm day out there, current temp 67 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Too early to say it looks like an all out snowstorm. GFS is a nice snowstorm, but other models aren't as impressive and show just a light snow accumulation getting washed away by rain. 12z EURO is just a 1 to 2 inch snowfall for NYC and nearby areas, and then rain. You have to go well to the NW to get a 3 to 5 inch snowfall according to today's EURO. But we have a long way to go, so hopefully it'll improve. It's very likely going to change to rain, but strength and position of the high to the north will determine whether it's a light accumulation washed away by plenty of rain or a more significant accumulation that won't be totally washed away by some rain towards the end. Saturday never was/is a snowstorm setup south of New England. When the GFS is the only model showing a snowstorm, something is wrong..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 At the high for the day now at my station on a gusty nw wind...68 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 21 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Saturday never was/is a snowstorm setup south of New England. When the GFS is the only model showing a snowstorm, something is wrong..... A few inches isnt out of the question. Gfs isnt the only one showing that . Euro got colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 44 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Another warm day out there, current temp 67 Is that your high? Same area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Boston is 73 Yep, that's two days in a row in January that Boston hit or went above 70. I would think that has to be a first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Too early to say it looks like an all out snowstorm. GFS is a nice snowstorm, but other models aren't as impressive and show just a light snow accumulation getting washed away by rain. 12z EURO is just a 1 to 2 inch snowfall for NYC and nearby areas, and then rain. You have to go well to the NW to get a 3 to 5 inch snowfall according to today's EURO. But we have a long way to go, so hopefully it'll improve. It's very likely going to change to rain, but strength and position of the high to the north will determine whether it's a light accumulation washed away by plenty of rain or a more significant accumulation that won't be totally washed away by some rain towards the end. Still the biggest snowfall of the season snowstorm followed by heavy rain is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Eps is insane in the mid to long range Negative epo with a big ridge in the west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 68 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The 68 so far at ISP is only one off the January all-time high of 69 degrees. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jan Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 2002 69 0 2 2007 68 0 3 1995 67 0 4 1974 66 0 - 1967 66 0 5 2008 64 0 - 1998 64 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Eps is insane in the mid to long range Negative epo with a big ridge in the west Also keeps the 850's for this weekends storm cold enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Also keeps the 850's for this weekends storm cold enough Could end up snow to freezing rain or sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 21 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 68 so far at ISP is only one off the January all-time high of 69 degrees. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jan Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 2002 69 0 2 2007 68 0 3 1995 67 0 4 1974 66 0 - 1967 66 0 5 2008 64 0 - 1998 64 0 2002 eh? Yikes...lets hope that one stands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Topped out at 68, down to 64 right now. If the skies earlier were as clear as they are now we likely would’ve hit at least 70. I’m officially in spring-mode. I bought and used an entire bag of potting soil yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Upton is not buying snow for Saturday, no CAD evident, new disco: Temperatures will be remaining above normal through Thursday, then return to more normal levels Thursday night into Sunday as Arctic high pressure builds toward the region. Any precipitation with the waves will be mainly in the form of rain. For the system next weekend there is some uncertainty as to how long a period of light snow will occur before a transition to all rain Saturday afternoon. This will be dependent on how quickly the cold air is scoured out as high pressure moves east. At this time there is no cold air damming evident and the flow does remain progressive. Also there is uncertainty with temperature profiles with the ECMWF warmer than the GFS. With these uncertainties will keep the probabilities at chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Eps is insane in the mid to long range Negative epo with a big ridge in the west Eps, GEFS, GEPS all have that ridge out west and a trough in the northeast. Amazing times coming this should produce haven’t seen the models this good all year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Eps, GEFS, GEPS all have that ridge out west and a trough in the northeast. Amazing times coming this should produce haven’t seen the models this good all year! Relax. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 New all-time January record highs in Boston and Providence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Gfs has several inches for this weekend. A tick warmer but a nice thump before rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The sun is down at it is still close to 60° in Westchester Amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Tied daily record high here at 66°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The New York City area experienced a second day of record warmth. During the afternoon, the temperature rose to 68 in New York City. Some photos from the New York Botanical Garden this afternoon: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The New York City area experienced a second day of record warmth. During the afternoon, the temperature rose to 68 in New York City. Some photos from the New York Botanical Garden this afternoon: Excellent photos Don. Did you use a phone for these? It's amazing how clear photos are today. Back in the day I had to wrestle with 35mm and take rolls of film to get maybe one good shot of a guy holding a fish....did a few covers for The Fisherman. Never was much of a photographer. Or anything else, really.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: Excellent photos Don. Did you use a phone for these? It's amazing how clear photos are today. Back in the day I had to wrestle with 35mm and take rolls of film to get maybe one good shot of a guy holding a fish....did a few covers for The Fisherman. Never was much of a photographer. Or anything else, really.... No. I used a camera. Phones have improved greatly, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Upton is not buying snow for Saturday, no CAD evident, new disco: Temperatures will be remaining above normal through Thursday, then return to more normal levels Thursday night into Sunday as Arctic high pressure builds toward the region. Any precipitation with the waves will be mainly in the form of rain. For the system next weekend there is some uncertainty as to how long a period of light snow will occur before a transition to all rain Saturday afternoon. This will be dependent on how quickly the cold air is scoured out as high pressure moves east. At this time there is no cold air damming evident and the flow does remain progressive. Also there is uncertainty with temperature profiles with the ECMWF warmer than the GFS. With these uncertainties will keep the probabilities at chance. Not everybody on this board lives in NYC and Long Island. NWS Albany discussion below: By Saturday morning, the high sets up in a prime position across Quebec. An upper-level trough and surface low forms across the Plains and heads eastward. The current track of the surface low is across the Upper Great Lakes on Saturday before the energy transfers to a coastal low late Saturday into Sunday. Cold and very dry air ahead of this system raises confidence that wet-bulb effects would lead to a nearly all snow event. It is possible that warm air aloft brings a brief transition to sleet/freezing rain and/or rain from near the Capital Region south; however, confidence on this is low. While this is several days out, good ensemble agreement led to raising the PoPs to likely. A plowable snow is possible. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Gfs has another snowstorm around the 24th. Pattern is changing folks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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