Allsnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Nice call @Isotherm! Looks like the Pv will start taking shots at the end of the month 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 I put up the Christmas lights at the end of November in a T-shirt. Taking them down today in a tank top Our new normal for better or worse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 As of 10 am, daily record high temperatures include: Dayton, OH: 63° (old record: 59°, 2013, 2017, and 2018) Lexington, KY: 70° (old record: 66°, 2018) Louisville: 70° (old record: 69°, 1890) White Plains: 58° (old record: 57°, 1975) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Impressive temperature jump in NW NJ from 45 to 61 in an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: I put up the Christmas lights at the end of November in a T-shirt. Taking them down today in a tank top Our new normal for better or worse Certainly not for better, sickening is fitting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Today may hit 70F, it's already 63F before 1030 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Today may hit 70F, it's already 63F before 1030 Easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 50 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Hard not to excited about this look on the GEFS and eps for after the 20th. +pna/-nao/ and trough axis over Chicago. Enjoy the warmth! Things are about to change Funny how similar that general forecast 500 mb pattern is to January 20-31 last year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 54 and overcast here. Long Island’s Long Islanding again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Funny how similar that forecast 500 mb pattern is to January 20-31 last year. Do you think this change is all from the mjo? My guess is yes, I don’t see why else would be changing the pac like this. Up to 62 here now! Models did a great job with the warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 60 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Do you think this change is all from the mjo? My guess is yes, I don’t see why else would be changing the pac like this. Up to 62 here now! Models did a great job with the warmth. I am guessing that it is related to the MJO. We lingered in 6-7 later last January before the push into 8 during February. But we are much more amplified this year than last year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 KNYC up to 65 at 11. Already 2F over the previous record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Partly sunny 65, dew 55. wind is picking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 65 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 minute ago, bluewave said: am guessing that it is related to the MJO. We lingered in 6-7 later last January before the push into 8 during February. But we are much more amplified this year than last year. And, as as Don stated yesterday, that higher amplified state in 7 increases the odds of snowfall in the East towards the end of Jan. bluewave, any thoughts on the developing NAO domain block we are seeing in the GFS and the Euro ? Do you believe it will indeed be transient in nature and then giving way to the more pronounced - EPO ? I know Isotherm thought if we were going to get any significant pv disruptions and a -NAO it would be later in the winter. Wondering the implications for Feb and even March and what happens too with the NAM state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Gfs is still very nice for the front end for next weekends storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 34 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: KNYC up to 65 at 11. Already 2F over the previous record. I didn’t think we would be this clear a few days ago. It’s really off to the races at this point. Out and about around town It feels like a April day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 It is hot out there today. Broke a sweat walking to the gym. Granted its half a mile uphill but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 64 here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 28 minutes ago, frd said: And, as as Don stated yesterday, that higher amplified state in 7 increases the odds of snowfall in the East towards the end of Jan. bluewave, any thoughts on the developing NAO domain block we are seeing in the GFS and the Euro ? Do you believe it will indeed be transient in nature and then giving way to the more pronounced - EPO ? I know Isotherm thought if we were going to get any significant pv disruptions and a -NAO it would be later in the winter. Wondering the implications for Feb and even March and what happens too with the NAM state. My thoughts are it will be transient in nature but that’s all we really need to capitalize on something. The Scandinavian ridge is really a nice precursor to a -nao. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: I didn’t think we would be this clear a few days ago. It’s really off to the races at this point. Out and about around town It feels like a April day. Same. Low-level flow ended up more southwesterly vs southerly, and our cold high that moved offshore had plenty of dry air feeding out of it. Lack of precip, farther W/NW low/front and sun = deeper mixing. EWR has gusts to 40MPH now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 This is another case of the SE ridge surpassing expectations in situations that allow for it. While not as extreme as what happened in February 2018, this is close to the record 500 mb height for January at OKX. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: My thoughts are it will be transient in nature but that’s all we really need to capitalize on something. The Scandinavian ridge is really a nice precursor to a -nao. Transient? That would stink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Quote RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1136 AM EST SAT JAN 11 2020 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 66 DEGREES WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 66 LAST SET IN 1975. A FOLLOW UP RECORD EVENT REPORT WILL BE ISSUED IF THE TEMPERATURE CLIMBS HIGHER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Transient? That would stink. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 22 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is still very nice for the front end for next weekends storm These systems rarely deliver much snow to us, a few inches that gets washed away in a hurry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: These systems rarely deliver much snow to us, a few inches that gets washed away in a hurry. It's a week away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Transient? That would stink. GFS now has a big warmup in late January (around the 23rd) after a transient cold shot. But who knows, very long range is so tough to predict. It wasn't long ago that we thought there would be a very long period of warm weather in mid to late January, but now it's turning out to be only a 6 day warm period as the cold comes back late next week. So who knows about very long range. At least we know we have a decent window for wintry weather towards next weekend into early the following week. But beyond that, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Clouds rolling back in, currently 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now