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New Year Storm Thread 12/29-01/01


dryslot
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9 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

. It will need to be adjusted 

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Winter Storm Watch


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
341 AM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-281700-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0007.191230T0000Z-191231T1800Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon,
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre,
Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton,
Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
341 AM EST Sat Dec 28 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
  accumulations of a coating to two inches and ice accumulations
  of around one half of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut and central and
  western Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the
  ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

Not sure I'll need to adjust much...

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For Kevin and CT, the airmass is coming in from the NE. It’s not entrenched. So, it’s possible this isn’t a big deal for a large part of the state. I don’t have enough knowledge to say if Kevin is 31 or 33, but there’s a real possibility only a very small portion of the state sees something siggy for ZR. I do think he’ll be below freezing though for a good chunk. 

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

For Kevin and CT, the airmass is coming in from the NE. It’s not entrenched. So, it’s possible this isn’t a big deal for a large part of the state. I don’t have enough knowledge to say if Kevin is 31 or 33, but there’s a real possibility only a very small portion of the state sees something siggy for ZR. I do think he’ll be below freezing though for a good chunk. 

Thank you . 

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Being a fan of frozen precip , I’m glad the below freezing layer is thick enough for sleet in the Merrimack valley bc I don’t see mesos keeping anyone south east of MHT below freezing Monday at surface 

this drain of cold temps would be on models by now for Monday day .....

30F isotherm confined to N ORH county elevations and N of MHT into SW Maine 

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25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For those posters in the hills of CT where it matters, listen to Ginx at your own risk . Me personally, I listen to the Mets . He’s very knowledgeable so to each their own 

Ginxy has the hot hand and has been dialed in this year, I'll lean towards Ginxy's opinion on this one.

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9 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Ginxy has the hot hand and has been dialed in this year, I'll lean towards Ginxy's opinion on this one.

I don't know about that but thanks. I posted what I would thought would happen and then what the Euro showed.  There is a big difference.  Having the Euro so warm has me rethinking a little but there is still time to adjust as always. We are still 36 hours away,  everyone needs to calm down. Despite Pickles assertion above, evolutions do change,  cold dewpoint drain can be thicker and deeper.  CAD in place is not easy for modeling and harder when developing. HREF RGEM and 3 K NAM will be the models I watch inside 36. Easily could go from a freezing rain or rain situation to a sleet bomb or vice versa depending on your location.  No wishcasting here.

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