blizzard24 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 to many of you change every model run . 3 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Really not impresssed with FRZR potential or Snow in eastern Areas of New England. Maybe a sliver of extreme NE mass and SE NH can cash in more snow but it looks like a sleet fest with primary FRZR threat in Western SNE N of CT Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Really not impresssed with FRZR potential or Snow in eastern Areas of New England. Maybe a sliver of extreme NE mass and SE NH can cash in more snow but it looks like a sleet fest with primary FRZR threat in Western SNE N of CT Glad you don’t forecast . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 I'd pay to see this fall on BOS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 38 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No doubt big ice is disruptive to life. I just don’t fear it like I used to. Mainly because I’m well prepared for it nowadays. As a weenie, ice storms are fascinating, especially monster ones like 1998. As a forester, there's no wx phenomenon more to be feared, unless Maine were to be hit by a cat 2 or stronger 'cane that maintains at least cat 1 until well inland. Those clown maps posted above show nothing reaching my area by 00z Tuesday - what's 2/3 of zero? (GFS has been showing a good hit, fwiw.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 WU spitting out 6-10” now. Maybe we can sleet several inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Anyone else annoyed by this event? I actually kind of hate it right now. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Anyone else annoyed by this event? I actually kind of hate it right now. Oh hush. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Perfect winter event on the table. lots of rain for the coast, hopefully zr and long duration power outijs for interior SNE. Cherry on top is hearing rain to Maine , just makes it that much more satisfying. The only hiccup is the sleet, which sucks. Hopefully the ml warming takes care of that 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: Perfect winter event on the table. lots of rain for the coast, hopefully zr and long duration power outijs for interior SNE. Cherry on top is hearing rain to Maine , just makes it that much more satisfying. The only hiccup is the sleet, which sucks. Hopefully the ml warming takes care of that What's the deal with the cutter? Are you CG or is that a reference to your storm hopes? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Perfect winter event on the table. lots of rain for the coast, hopefully zr and long duration power outijs for interior SNE. Cherry on top is hearing rain to Maine , just makes it that much more satisfying. 3 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Anyone else annoyed by this event? I actually kind of hate it right now. Lmao...it’s probably gonna be a flop(Rain) for most in SNE. You and a few others In NE/NW SNE actually have probably one of the best chances currently of scoring a lot of frozen. The vast majority of us will probably just rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: It's just that Jayhawk fellow that needs the rain, I hope you sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: It's just that Jayhawk fellow that needs the rain, I hope you sleet That's my brother..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: That's my brother..... sympathies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 nam ticks colder.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: nam ticks colder.. And it was already cold at 18z right..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: And it was already cold at 18z right..? def colder than GFS and maybe Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 no bueno for western mass if NAM is right.. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2019122800&fh=63&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=zr_acc&m=nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Looking more and more like a 33 Rainer in Tolland man can’t catch a break this year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Not much precip at all for NNE on that 00z NAM. Don't want it if it isn't going to be snow. Might make sense with that high building in and the low levels have some dry air advecting in from here to Dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 wow that’s headed for quite the protracted event in that NAM solution. 84 hrs the ice/sleet converts to a coastal just getting going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Wouldnt it be interesting if the models just started converting this more and more to a coastal as we get into near terms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Wouldnt it be interesting if the models just started converting this more and more to a coastal as we get into near terms I’d take that in a hot second Tippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 48 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: no bueno for western mass if NAM is right.. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2019122800&fh=63&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=zr_acc&m=nam if the 72-84hr NAM is right...:D.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 24 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: wow that’s headed for quite the protracted event in that NAM solution. 84 hrs the ice/sleet converts to a coastal just getting going Models have slowed the development of the secondary the last several runs which allows the block and high to retreat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Models have slowed the development of the secondary the last several runs which allows the block and high to retreat. That’s not what’s happening in that solution tho. No high retreat - in fact its stall is partial in why that secondary is getting pinned s of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: no bueno for western mass if NAM is right.. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2019122800&fh=63&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=zr_acc&m=nam That's brutal. Ski resorts there would probably prefer plain rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That’s not what’s happening in that solution tho. No high retreat - in fact it’s stall is partial in why that secondary is getting pinned s of LI Hmm, Maybe on that Nam solution, But we have warmed here the last 4 cycles on the Euro with the slp tracks right along the coast and surface going above freezing as well as mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hmm, Maybe on the Nam, But we have warmed here the last 4 cycles on the Euro with the slp tracking right along the coast when it was further east and surface going above freezing as well as mid levels. Well yeah. Lol. Not withstanding the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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