dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I qpf is the prior 6 hours however. I was basing that off the surface map and where the SLP was located at that hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Thoughts for here Scott? We don’t see to be in a great position for the cold drain, as it’s more west of here I feel like you’ll get sleet too. You’ll probably get some 34F sleet for awhile Monday. lots of convection modeled too with this down south. I don’t expect the repeat we had two weeks ago, but we’ll need to watch how it unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Not expecting snow here but I will take an inch of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 Convection can be a friend or foe like what was witnessed last time with the radar being showery in nature 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Canadian is a sleet bomb for Boston. Wow. Might even be close to isothermal snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 52 minutes ago, dendrite said: Most of the meaningful precip is snow here with a brief period of IP at the end of part 1 and beginning of part 2 as the midlevels try to cool back down. 1.25-1.50" QPF will result in quite a mess. One little bump NE with warmer H8 air and we're talking half sleet and half snow. I think that's the route I'm leaning with a period of snow, solid pelting for awhile, and then we'll end as snow as the secondary begins to pick up. Thanks Brian. Always curious as to your thoughts of sensible weather up here. Perhaps new GFS is slightly colder? Maybe I can be far enough north not to ping? Still near 36 hours away and more fine tuning needed. One way or another should be a plowable snow even with some pinging at times. Time to start catching up to the SNE snowfall totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 SNH and SME have had a real good dec so far............. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 52 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You may even get sleet. Wondering if ice impact is SW of you He is so wish casting this morning all over social media. Looks like he will be dumbfounded once again 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: He is so wish casting this morning all over social media. Looks like he will be dumbfounded once again I’m making a forecast on what I think will happen. I do not see sleet being an issue SW of ORH. There could be some , but for CT this is big zr to me. Even for you . Your angry responses on twitter are funny 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: SNH and SME have had a real good dec so far............. Agreed. I think it was wxfella and others said recently, gradient like last winter just further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 On 12/27/2019 at 6:31 AM, Ginx snewx said: Euro based guess at this point. Brian 4 to 8 Gene to Jeffafafa 8 to 12 then Hunchie Ray 3 to 6 Hippy to ORH 2 to 4 with sleet ice snow. Jerry Boston South of Pike to 84 1 to 3, a period of snow sleet ice south of that maybe an inch with NCT Mass border 2 with maybe .2 ice? Still early. Lots of qpf so if that 7h collapses like the Euro has the potential from the SVT CVT area over to Brian, Gene to Jeffafafa is for high end foot plus amounts. No change, more sleet than snow in the Hippy Hunchie Ray Pickles area but same outcome, cept Hippy area gets the Freezing rain jackpot up to .5 accretion. More sleet than ice NCT but still thinking .2 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, rimetree said: Agreed. I think it was wxfella and others said recently, gradient like last winter just further south. And i have been the shit sandwich between both 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m making a forecast on what I think will happen. I do not see sleet being an issue SW of ORH. There could be some , but for CT this is big zr to me. Even for you . Your angry responses on twitter are funny You need to stop with your angry stuff. You are embarrassing yourself in a public arena. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 It looks like elevation will be key for areas that get ice. Pretty steep low level lapse rates on the model soundings. Near freezing temps. in low elevation areas will probably limit accretion. But up 1000ft+ with surface temps. in the upper 20s will start to become a problem. Actually for big problems you'd probably want to be up above 1500 or 2000ft at least in SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 lots of sleet for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You need to stop with your angry stuff. You are embarrassing yourself in a public arena. You’ve been doing it ever since you joined the social media community. We’ll see what afternoon runs do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 What is the typical ratio for sleet? 3:1, 4:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 23 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pipes are the big issue but that can be avoided. If someone has $7000 of food in a freezer please invite me over We had a 27kw gen in our large home in VA to power the Airco. We put it in after the 2012 Derecho from Hell left us without power for 5 days in 100+ temperatures and ruined 3 refrigerators full of food. It was a miserable experience, but at least we could go to work and have light and most important - Airco. Up here on the island we just installed a 14K Kohler for a much smaller place. The unit was $4k, the installation was about $5K, which included delivery on a front end loader from the dock, gravel bed and tying the genny into the propane tank. work was just finished last Saturday. I am part of the island's wellness/aging in place team and see the value as a cranky retired sort of being able to shelter in place. Losing some food was small, but very irritating issue. The bigger issue for us, especially in the last power outage during the October Noreaster ,was we only have about 9 hours a day of usable sunlight a day during that time of year. Sitting in 15 hours of darkness drove us crazy, hence the generator. Understand the nice hotel gig, but I think it probably works better on the mainland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: SNH and SME have had a real good dec so far............. In terms of snowfall, yes. No pack to speak of though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: In terms of snowfall, yes. No pack to speak of though I've had neither.....lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 10 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: What is the typical ratio for sleet? 3:1, 4:1? More like 2-3:1 i think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’ve been doing it ever since you joined the social media community. We’ll see what afternoon runs do Unhinged, paranoid and delusional. AA bro soon 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian is a sleet bomb for Boston. Wow. Might even be close to isothermal snow. Too bad it tracks the low over Bob's head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: What is the typical ratio for sleet? 3:1, 4:1? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: I've had neither.....lol And we haven't had enuf, nor did it last as long as it should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Too bad it tracks the low over Bob's head. Imagine you saying this after all the years of wishing it so at the original Pit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: More like 2-3:1 i think. Yeah I think closer to 3:1 usually? But, if it’s the sleet combines with those crap crystals that occur when the airmass aloft is cold, it’s sometimes closer to 5:1 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, SnowBrosForever said: We had a 27kw gen in our large home in VA to power the Airco. We put it in after the 2012 Derecho from Hell left us without power for 5 days in 100+ temperatures and ruined 3 refrigerators full of food. It was a miserable experience, but at least we could go to work and have light and most important - Airco. Up here on the island we just installed a 14K Kohler for a much smaller place. The unit was $4k, the installation was about $5K, which included delivery on a front end loader from the dock, gravel bed and tying the genny into the propane tank. work was just finished last Saturday. I am part of the island's wellness/aging in place team and see the value as a cranky retired sort of being able to shelter in place. Losing some food was small, but very irritating issue. The bigger issue for us, especially in the last power outage during the October Noreaster ,was we only have about 9 hours a day of usable sunlight a day during that time of year. Sitting in 15 hours of darkness drove us crazy, hence the generator. Understand the nice hotel gig, but I think it probably works better on the mainland. Cost wise its probably not the most efficient way to do it but its worth the convenience to me. I'm ready to roll if my power gets knocked out this next storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah I think closer to 3:1 usually? But, if it’s the sleet combines with those crap crystals that occur when the airmass aloft is cold, it’s sometimes closer to 5:1 I think. VDay it was 5 to 1 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 2 hours ago, jbenedet said: You might be right, but I’ll say since living in coastal NH, the surface CAD is really robust, but at the same time 850 -900 warmth commonly makes its way up to where warm fronts go to die —“Lake Winne Region”. I think this is one of those setups where the surface front ends up over SE MA—*much* further southeast— than at 850. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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