griteater Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 57 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: I got you. I remember 8 inches of sleet in Wake County 84 maybe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 GFS drops a lobe of the TPVortex into the Great Lakes this run. Has temperatures below zero in the mountains Christmas morning, and 4PM temperature of 21 in Greensboro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, griteater said: GFS drops a lobe of the TPVortex into the Great Lakes this run. Has temperatures below zero in the mountains Christmas morning, and 4PM temperature of 21 in Greensboro Well hello little fellow.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, griteater said: GFS drops a lobe of the TPVortex into the Great Lakes this run. Has temperatures below zero in the mountains Christmas morning, and 4PM temperature of 21 in Greensboro Still learning but that low that forms at the base of the trough then seems to cut. Does that make sense with that huge front pushing down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 If we could get any kind of mood flakes Christmas Eve or Day - that's a win in my book. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Grayman said: Still learning but that low that forms at the base of the trough then seems to cut. Does that make sense with that huge front pushing down? Yes. It's really just a cold front passage, but it's very amplified and there's a piece of upper level energy there at the base of the trough where a low rides north up the front. But for us east of the mountains, we would need a piece of energy to drop in after the cold air has moved in. The mountains would do well with upslope post frontal snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 If we could get any kind of mood flakes Christmas Eve or Day - that's a win in my book.This right hereAccumulation be damned, last time my area had a White Christmas was the 1989 snowstorm (5 years before this young whipper snapper was born)Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Man , maybe this thing has some legs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Regardless of the outcomes, it looks pretty certain we are going to have a major storm system to track for Christmas. It's been a long time... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Good lord, this is wild 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 4 hours ago, snowbird1230 said: Am I so old that I'm the only one on here remembers Christmas 1983? -25 degrees throughout WNC I’m so old that I walked across the Ohio river when it froze back in 77-78 12 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: This right here Accumulation be damned, last time my area had a White Christmas was the 1989 snowstorm (5 years before this young whipper snapper was born) Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk We did have the day after Christmas snow 10 years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 We did have the day after Christmas snow 10 years ago Yeah, but it isn't a white Christmas Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Good lord, this is wild Nice Severe in the midlands and snow for the upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Yeah, but it isn't a white Christmas Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk It’s close enough for me besides..... I didn’t sleep the week leading up to it so all my days ran together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Christmas Day 1-2pm... ouch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE, definitely getting better (now for once the Euro needs to cave to the GFS)Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 22 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE, definitely getting better (now for once the Euro needs to cave to the GFS) Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Which equals out to this image. The OP might be drastically overdone with the anafrontal snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Which equals out to this image. The OP might be drastically overdone with the anafrontal snow. Weird, cause the Ensemble mean looks different than that...Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 51 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Good lord, this is wild That is one heck of a cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Anyone remember the Christmas of 1989? I lived in Va Beach and it got down to 11 Christmas morning. Where I live now got hammered by a foot of snow and temps down below zero. Coldest morning ever here. https://www.weather.gov/ilm/ChristmasSnow1989 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 If these sharp cutoffs verify, heads will explode. One guy will be grilling outside while another guy half an hour away will be shoveling his driveway. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 This will be such an interesting and frustrating set-up! The chase can often times lead to disappointment and incredibly tight gradients, but it is something interesting to watch nonetheless. However, I am really interested in the post-Christmas through first week of January period! Our outlook has completely changed over the course of the last few months for the better in terms of winter weather. The La Nina has likely peaked and is going to be declining in strength as we enter Jan/Feb. The teleconnections look very good going into Christmas, and this month may be our first with a -AO signal for almost 30 full days in probably a decade at the least. Long range models hinting at an awesome stretch of high-latitude blocking and even a potential sudden stratospheric warming event going into January (ECMWF specifically). SSWs can disrupt the polar vortex and allow arctic air masses to dislodge and move further south, bringing in our supply of colder air to work with. I'm still skeptical of the SSW , because it literally is the buzzword that comes up every winter as our potential savior, but I'm excited about the chance still. Also, these types of events can be tough for models to account for, so if it does occur, be weary of modeling until they can account it. Does not guarantee anything, but I'll take anything after the past few miserable winters on my end. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 That front is a close to a blue norther that we’d ever see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 What a difference 24 hours makes (this is for the 22nd)Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 The Euro looks much different I'm afraid. Not nearly as sharp with the front and not as much moisture behind it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Flooding rain instead of snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 The cold air does catch up around GSO eventually but it’s nowhere near the GFS. The Canadian looked similar last night but backed off at 12z. There’s basically nothing from the Lee side all the way to about Greensboro though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomesauce81 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 hour ago, yotaman said: Anyone remember the Christmas of 1989? I lived in Va Beach and it got down to 11 Christmas morning. Where I live now got hammered by a foot of snow and temps down below zero. Coldest morning ever here. https://www.weather.gov/ilm/ChristmasSnow1989 Yep. Here in Savannah that was the best Christmas of my life 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Flooding rain instead of snow? Swimming in the streetsMan this outlook's bleakIt's always rain or sleetA White Christmas we do seek!But we live in a fire hoseThanks to the ol' warm noseAnd we have nothing to showBecause it can't freaking snow!OH!Winter time, winter timeHow we love you soSo can you spare us a dimeWith a coastal lo-ow?!Winter time, winter timeYou just can't be beatWe are sick of cold rain slimeSo how about a 73 repeat?!We all watch and wait As our hopes start to soarModels running lateMake this quite the chore!But there is a single factAs the north starts to feastCold air can't come attackBecause we live in the Southeast!OH!Winter time, winter timeHow we love you soSo can you spare us a dimeWith a coastal lo-ow?!Winter time, winter timeYou just can't be beatWe are sick of cold rain slimeSo how about a 73 repeat?!(I will move this to Banter if told to, I am on my last point and don't want my account banned)Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Remember it will take time for that dense cold air to bleed past the mountains... That's one reason why the cold chasing moisture scenario hardly ever pans out for central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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