Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,605
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020


jburns
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

Don’t sleep on the 7th! GFS is still interesting on 12z! Cold looks about as good as we can get, moisture is around...

What am I missing?  Moisture looks anemic.  Thats the coldest 2mm temps I could find and those only last for 3 hours.

What.JPG

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wish the GFS and Euro weren't so far apart though. For here in North GA that looks good if it can just get any moisture far enough north. Would be happy with just a tenth of an inch or two liquid from a small finger of precip sliding west to east. But Euro is just a standard frontal passage with a warmup ahead of it. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, PackGrad05 said:

Interesting map, but I wish it was more specific.  Shows portions of Wake County at 5 feet, and I really don't think that's true...  Most of Wake would be 1-3 feet over that time frame I would think.  

That's only a 6 inch per year average. It's probably pretty close and shows the gradient there well.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, FallsLake said:

I would put my location (right on the Granville/Wake line) at or greater than 5 feet from 2010 until now. I've been lucky and received big storms whereas folks in south Wake have missed out.  

That's true.  I am looking at it through south wake lens.  The gradient is ridiculous.  Noway we have been anywhere close to 5 feet.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, magpiemaniac said:

I wonder what the next decade will look like.

57BC116D-605B-4572-95FD-9CED37530DB1.jpeg

I've had over 9' of snow in the last two seasons, and according to long time residents they've both been below normal years for my neighborhood.  Cool to look at but I seriously question the accuracy. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

I've had over 9' of snow in the last two seasons, and according to ling time residents they've both been below normal years for my neighborhood.  Cool to look at but I seriously question the accuracy. 

I’d like to see a closer look at the mountains, hard to map out ridge tops and higher elevations that far zoomed out and smoothed out.  Puts me at around 2’ a year which seems to be correct lately from what I’ve gathered but also less than there used to be from what I’ve heard from residents too.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Cold Rain said:

Looking forward to getting past the half-way point in Jan.  Should see some signs of life showing up pretty soon.  Somewhere near the beginning of H2 January, we'll be tracking our first legitimate threat.

12z GFS is showing a quicker return of cold in the LR. The below image is for the 15th. It shows the cold (2m temps) pouring in; but what I like is it also shows the effects of the mountains (always slows our low level cold).

 

jjjj.jpg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

46 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

This weather pattern is toxic

Only if you sit around all day analyzing it.  If you just enjoy what you have it ain't too shabby!  I cant tell you how much work I got done over the holiday period that I didn't get done during our extended October summer.  If Mother Nature is giving me my fall in January I would be perfectly fine getting my winter in March.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Only if you sit around all day analyzing it.  If you just enjoy what you have it ain't too shabby!  I cant tell you how much work I got done over the holiday period that I didn't get done during our extended October summer.  If Mother Nature is giving me my fall in January I would be perfectly fine getting my winter in March.

Amen to this!  Bitching and moaning about it wont change it.  Heck, I've really enjoyed the 60 degree weather, and look forward to it changing later in January!..

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z GFS is showing a quicker return of cold in the LR. The below image is for the 15th. It shows the cold (2m temps) pouring in; but what I like is it also shows the effects of the mountains (always slows our low level cold).
 
jjjj.thumb.jpg.2b44b776284b04deea46c828fe1af102.jpg

Thanks for getting us back on topic, Falls.


. Pro
  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...