mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 17 hours ago, Extreme NEGA said: If we can get that HP to hold in the Northeast........Wait this is hour 300 again It’ll be going through Chicago by 12z tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 That Tuesday/Wednesday disturbance dropping through the plains , has become more robust on the 12z today! And I think it gets together with something to form the coastal, which has also inches closer to the coast. Grasping , I know, but what else do we have to track besides the next warm up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 19 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: That Tuesday/Wednesday disturbance dropping through the plains , has become more robust on the 12z today! And I think it gets together with something to form the coastal, which has also inches closer to the coast. Grasping , I know, but what else do we have to track besides the next warm up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 @mackerel_sky ensemble 17... Nough saidhttps://weather.cod.edu/forecast/Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Hope? https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 3 hours ago, Grayman said: Hope? https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ Hard to get excited when Dr. No isn’t really onboard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 58 minutes ago, SteveRDU said: Hard to get excited when Dr. No isn’t really onboard... ??? The weeklies looked good for Feb! Of course they're terrible...so time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 ??? The weeklies looked good for Feb! Of course they're terrible...so time will tellIt’s just hard to get excited about anything right now. However, we will continue to watch and wait... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 28 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: It’s just hard to get excited about anything right now. However, we will continue to watch and wait... . The upcoming week and the week after are a total bust by the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 42 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: The upcoming week and the week after are a total bust by the eps. The OP Euro caught on first to the crap pattern though still.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 The 30th storm is our only hope! A lot better than the last few runs, and still a lot of work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 3 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: The 30th storm is our only hope! A lot better than the last few runs, and still a lot of work! D10+ is a perpetual mirage and yet we never learn. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 2 hours ago, SteveRDU said: D10+ is a perpetual mirage and yet we never learn. Wishing our lives away, 10 Days at a time... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 7 minutes ago, IWC said: Wishing our lives away, 10 Days at a time... Spring is basically here so this madness should come to a halt anytime now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Euro looked great for the Northern NC Mtns next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Moderated but delayed winter coming, bank on it. Meaning we'll have 40's and 50's out to the end of April. The only unknown is whether or not we can still squeak out a Fab Feb special in the second half of the month. It only takes one storm to make a winter. But that D10+ pattern shift is elusive for sure. Until that is HERE, and not 72, 240 or 300 hours out, we dont stand a chance at winter weather. Enjoy your sun today! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 Story of the winter so far is the +AO. You can just look at a Northern Hemispheric 500mb map and it's obvious looking. The polar vortex is very strong/singular and it's very cold over the northern latitudes this winter. Until that changes, it will be hard to get any appreciable cold air into the south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 16 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Story of the winter so far is the +AO. You can just look at a Northern Hemispheric 500mb map and it's obvious looking. The polar vortex is very strong/singular and it's very cold over the northern latitudes this winter. Until that changes, it will be hard to get any appreciable cold air into the south. Which is depressing as I've always wanted to find a correlation b/n the lower Sunspot activity/Solar Min and -AO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 several other tweets on his profile show that JMA has been really really accurate out to 2 weeks for the past month or so. A sign of hope perhaps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 3 minutes ago, Tar Heel Snow said: several other tweets on his profile show that JMA has been really really accurate out to 2 weeks for the past month or so. A sign of hope perhaps. Well the op euro shows a strong low pressure for the mid atlantic and heavy snow in western VA, WVA, and portions of NW NC next weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 ICON has snow showers for Brunswick, New Hanover, Horry and Georgetown counties on Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 No shortage of big rain storms on the GFS! Rain every 3-6 days, the only cool periods are between rains! I’m hoping for a 2009 redux! Not one flake or pellet down here until March 1st! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 hours ago, Queencitywx said: ICON has snow showers for Brunswick, New Hanover, Horry and Georgetown counties on Tuesday. We shall see, as I live in the area.. Checked the Models, certainly possible but highly unlikely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 looks like a chance we could get some ice Friday morning. dew points are fairly low as precip breaks out. Warm nose is only 2/3C and caps out around 850mb. Something to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Something to keep an eye on is maybe some light snow over north ga tonight..hrrr is showing some. (In fact up to an inch or more in the mountains over toward rome). Nav also has been consistent with a little. Despite the dry profiles and runs of everything else, still wouldn't surprise me to see some meso effects create a small area of flurries/showers into tomorrow morning. Not a huge chance but better than zero which is a lot considering how horrible this winter has been. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 hours ago, burrel2 said: looks like a chance we could get some ice Friday morning. dew points are fairly low as precip breaks out. Warm nose is only 2/3C and caps out around 850mb. Something to watch. No we will not have ice Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 36 minutes ago, weatherlover said: No we will not have ice Friday morning Do you have any evidence to counteract what he presented? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 15 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Do you have any evidence to counteract what he presented? 12z Euro showed a smidge if onset frozen up around Buncombe, Haywood, Yancey, McDowell counties..other than that, not much. Subject to change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 The pattern will flip in the spring when it is too late. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Every year about this time I’m torn between wanting big snowstorm and warm enough to golf. The struggle is real. At least some mood flakes would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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