mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: 60's on the 25th isn't exactly what I call ideal LOL. 28th storm is gone! Winters over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 28th storm is gone! Winters overSuppression citySent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Honestly our best reasonable hope would be the vort max late on the 20th but it looks to pass through dry for the most part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 31 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: 28th storm is gone! Winters over It will return. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 27 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Suppression city Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk the NW trend will commence in about a week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Haven't thrown in the towel yet but darn close to. Chasing storms 10+ days out only to have them turn to rain storms (and not even borderline ones) has taken the wind out of my sails with this "Pattern Change." I will, however, enjoy some winter-like days next week before we warm up and rain again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Shoutout to@eyewall for starting *NEXT* winter's long term threadSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Shoutout to@eyewall for starting *NEXT* winter's long term thread Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Will probably be more active than this winter's thread the next couple months... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I'm not giving up just yet. The cold is coming and at some point hopefully it links up with moisture... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 On the plus side its going to be in the 50s and 60s again next weekend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 58 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I'm not giving up just yet. The cold is coming and at some point hopefully it links up with moisture... 39 minutes ago, wncsnow said: On the plus side its going to be in the 50s and 60s again next weekend These 2 posts back to back just cracked me up... Ahh, life in the Southeast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: These 2 posts back to back just cracked me up... Ahh, life in the Southeast The only thing saving us from 60s to near 70 this weekend will be cloud cover. The EPS looks pretty bad after 10 days too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 30 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The only thing saving us from 60s to near 70 this weekend will be cloud cover. The EPS looks pretty bad after 10 days too. I don't think it looks terrible. I mean at this point we pretty much know a brief warmup is coming after the cold shot, just gotta deal with it and move on. It does cool down again behind it though. And frankly, I'd like to just see an extended period of normal to slightly below. Here in the southern Apps, and even more so where you are than me, that plus good track and HP can deliver big time. Screw arctic cold, all that ever seems to do is dry us out. I'm tired of wildly swinging between death ridge and anomalous cold. Give me normal to slightly below with an active STJ, and I'll take my chances on climo working out in my favor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: I don't think it looks terrible. I mean at this point we pretty much know a brief warmup is coming after the cold shot, just gotta deal with it and move on. It does cool down again behind it though. And frankly, I'd like to just see an extended period of normal to slightly below. Here in the southern Apps, and even more so where you are than me, that plus good track and HP can deliver big time. Screw arctic cold, all that ever seems to do is dry us out. I'm tired of wildly swinging between death ridge and anomalous cold. Give me normal to slightly below with an active STJ, and I'll take my chances on climo working out in my favor. I would just be happy with a few weeks of dry but that isn't going to happen with this pattern. At least the rain amounts look light for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I would just be happy with a few weeks of dry but that isn't going to happen with this pattern. At least the rain amounts look light for now. Can't disagree with you there, if you're looking for dry it doesn't appear to be coming anytime soon. At least if we'd get some snow it'd be a slow melt and soak instead of all this runoff and mudslides we've been having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Can't disagree with you there, if you're looking for dry it doesn't appear to be coming anytime soon. At least if we'd get some snow it'd be a slow melt and soak instead of all this runoff and mudslides we've been having. If your looking for cold, there doesn’t appear to be any, outside of the next 4-5 days, then back to normal or above! It sucks because normal temps even in January, won’t get us snow! I knew JB jinxed it yesterday when he said cold was coming the last 2 weeks of January and atleast 1st half of February, non stop for the East ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: If your looking for cold, there doesn’t appear to be any, outside of the next 4-5 days, then back to normal or above! It sucks because normal temps even in January, won’t get us snow! I knew JB jinxed it yesterday when he said cold was coming the last 2 weeks of January and atleast 1st half of February, non stop for the East ! The EPS and the GEFS after the brief warmup. The warmup is happening but it doesn't seem long lasting for now. Let's try not to freak out over it until there's actually reason to, and the reload stops showing up. How strong or how long the reload is remains to be seen and is just a waiting game I suppose. This could all still go down the crapper and turn warm on us long term, but until it actually shows that I gleefully kiss this month long death ridge goodbye and welcome the new pattern. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 4 hours ago, wncsnow said: On the plus side its going to be in the 50s and 60s again next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Feb 1st on the GFS, rain into Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 25 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Feb 1st on the GFS, rain into Chicago Step down process 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 Feb isn’t a bad climo month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 36 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: Feb isn’t a bad climo month. For many in the central and western part of the state, it’s the best month on average. Biggest snow of my life was a Valentines storm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 1 hour ago, LithiaWx said: Feb isn’t a bad climo month. Those days are over! Last 4 have been basically spring months. And this one will make 5. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 29 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: Those days are over! Last 4 have been basically spring months. And this one will make 5. 1973 says hello! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 I’m going to say down to about a 30% chance of measurable snow in Atlanta for 2019-2020 winter. Just a guess but that’s my thinking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 1973 says hello!Don't you dare throw that analog at me... that was 47 years ago Mack, only way I will see 28" is if I move to Maine! Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 26 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Don't you dare throw that analog at me... that was 47 years ago Mack, only way I will see 28" is if I move to Maine! Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Orangeburg didn't receive 28" either (more like 18"). No area received 28" of snow. The most was reported out of Clarendon County in Rimini (with 24 inches). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 1 hour ago, LithiaWx said: I’m going to say down to about a 30% chance of measurable snow in Atlanta for 2019-2020 winter. Just a guess but that’s my thinking. Honestly feels fairly optimistic. I'm getting somewhat worried up here in the Mtns. Haven't had more than a skiff on the porch since December 2018, and that's at an elevation that averages 10-12 inches a year. The upcoming pattern is certainly better than where we've been as far as temps go, but it seems fairly hostile for snow because of the fast flow. Just gonna keep hoping climo eventually throws me a bone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 17, 2020 Share Posted January 17, 2020 8 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: 1973 says hello! I remember that storm well. We lived in a large subdivision in NRal. Neighbors blocked a long street off with a huge hill. Bonfire at the top. We sledded for 3 days. Sigh, been a long time.... 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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