SnowDawg Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Hopefully we can make a trend out of that! Lots of positive changes. Vort dug harder out west then - NAO developed along with a 50/50 low to help fight the rising heights ahead of the trough. Strengthen those features, plus a better track and just maybe we could avoid the mid level warming and see at least some snow before a transition. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 11 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It’s working on 18z! Mega ice storm for CAD regions on the 25th!! More south than the last run! NC /SC crush job! Y’all post them pretty maps! I'll completely pass on an ice storm. If its sleet that's fine and I'll take that but no zr. Zr is pretty for a but you can have zero fun with it. Jus the leaves a mess with no redeeming quality. Snow, sleet, or nothing please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Happy hour GFS is officially a weenie run lol. Beautiful bowling ball big dog in the long range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Happy hour GFS is officially a weenie run lol. Beautiful bowling ball big dog in the long range. Holy moly! That’s a beaut ,Clark ! Brings a tear to my eye! Somebody post maps of that big dog!!! Mid Atlantic, gotta be full weenie mode after that!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: Miller B transfer, but looks good for 7-8 days away! Could easily trend colder Wouldn't consider a Miller B. H5 doesn't really support the idea. No northern stream interaction. More like a occluded front setup. Secondary wave and waa push from the GOM. Parent HP far north. Parent LP over MO occluded front stretches to Al/FL.. Secondary warm front south GA along SC,NC,VA coast. Just precip in remaining cold air before being scoured out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, FLweather said: Wouldn't consider a Miller B. H5 doesn't really support the idea. No northern stream interaction. More like a occluded front setup. Secondary wave and waa push from the GOM. Parent HP far north. Parent LP over MO occluded front stretches to Al/FL.. Secondary warm front south GA along SC,NC,VA coast. Just precip in remaining cold air before being scoured out. 18z had significant changes at H5 though and had stronger CAD because of better HP placement. Doesn't mean anything though, at this range it's just throwing darts. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Holy moly the bowling ball at the end of e15...https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020011518/SE/GEFSSE_prec_snens_384.pngSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 19 minutes ago, FLweather said: Wouldn't consider a Miller B. H5 doesn't really support the idea. No northern stream interaction. More like a occluded front setup. Secondary wave and waa push from the GOM. Parent HP far north. Parent LP over MO occluded front stretches to Al/FL.. Secondary warm front south GA along SC,NC,VA coast. Just precip in remaining cold air before being scoured out. 18z looked like a miller B, with a low into KY, then transfer off NC coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 My apologies for that blunder. Having issues on uploading data today. This afternoon my service has been glitchy. On my netbook. Now. Wow at the later timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 53 minutes ago, FLweather said: Wouldn't consider a Miller B. H5 doesn't really support the idea. No northern stream interaction. More like a occluded front setup. Secondary wave and waa push from the GOM. Parent HP far north. Parent LP over MO occluded front stretches to Al/FL.. Secondary warm front south GA along SC,NC,VA coast. Just precip in remaining cold air before being scoured out. That Low is in a PERFECT spot for many. Too bad that High isn't placed better. Love to see highs over NE and NY with that low placement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: That Low is in a PERFECT spot for many. Too bad that High isn't placed better. Love to see highs over NE and NY with that low placement! Y’all quit looking at and posting the 12z!! Post the 18z maps!! High is good, much more severe ice event for both Carolinas , yeah I know, it’s the 18 z, but let us enjoy for 6 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 That's better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: That's better You got a map of the end of the run storm from 18z?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I feel like a weenie even posting such a thing but this is definitely a gorgeous storm. Signs of the potential going forward if nothing else. 1 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I feel like a weenie even posting such a thing but this is definitely a gorgeous storm. Signs of the potential going forward if nothing else. Slide the low 75 miles to the south and everybody gets a piece Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: I feel like a weenie even posting such a thing but this is definitely a gorgeous storm. Signs of the potential going forward if nothing else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: I feel like a weenie even posting such a thing but this is definitely a gorgeous storm. Signs of the potential going forward if nothing else. Yeah right....I stand a better chance of seeing us beat the Tarheels in Chapel Hill than ever seeing a storm like that again. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Yeah right....I stand a better chance of seeing us beat the Tarheels in Chapel Hill than ever seeing a storm like that again. Uhh... Ya'll beat the Tarheels in Chapel Hill this year though...Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: Yeah right....I stand a better chance of seeing us beat the Tarheels in Chapel Hill than ever seeing a storm like that again. Lol.. they beat unc in chapel hill last week and beat duke last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 She’s a beaut Clark. southern slider / miller a awesomeness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, LithiaWx said: She’s a beaut Clark. southern slider / miller a awesomeness That is a thing of beauty, no doubt. It really is too bad such setups and storms are so rare around here. I think we all know there's almost no chance a storm, even remotely, like this will happen, but it does show potnetial for the upcoming time period for something. Let's hope most of us will see snow sometime over the next few weeks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Iceagewhereartthou said: That is a thing of beauty, no doubt. It really is too bad such setups and storms are so rare around here. I think we all know there's almost no chance a storm, even remotely, like this will happen, but it does show potnetial for the upcoming time period for something. Let's hope most of us will see snow sometime over the next few weeks. Probably, but.... shots fired across the bow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 hours ago, Extreme NEGA said: That's better So a double low and that high is TOTALLY different. Make that 1032 and we've got something. It's fantasy land anyway but fun to look at and analyze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCGamecock Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 So a double low and that high is TOTALLY different. Make that 1032 and we've got something. It's fantasy land anyway but fun to look at and analyze. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 minute ago, UpstateSCGamecock said: . Sold!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Mid Atlantic is going ape shit. Plasters DC with about 24” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, UpstateSCGamecock said: . The top image reminds me a lot of the Feb 14 map the Euro spit out the day before for me and Mack. That was supposed to be a generational storm (actually had amounts about 50% higher); had the mets going big dog, and the stinking WAA went off the charts and sleeted us to death. That was a crusher. Again, great to see potential, but hour 360? Might as well be hour 23,304. Going to be fun to have some things to watch going forward for sure though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Iceagewhereartthou said: The top image reminds me a lot of the Feb 14 map the Euro spit out the day before for me and Mack. That was supposed to be a generational storm (actually had amounts about 50% higher); had the mets going big dog, and the stinking WAA went off the charts and sleeted us to death. That was a crusher. Again, great to see potential, but hour 360? Might as well be hour 23,304. Going to be fun to have some things to watch going forward for sure though! I’m still looking for a few sleet pellets Saturday, and call it a winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCGamecock Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 The top image reminds me a lot of the Feb 14 map the Euro spit out the day before for me and Mack. That was supposed to be a generational storm (actually had amounts about 50% higher); had the mets going big dog, and the stinking WAA went off the charts and sleeted us to death. That was a crusher. Again, great to see potential, but hour 360? Might as well be hour 23,304. Going to be fun to have some things to watch going forward for sure though! Agree. I just wanted to point out how both the GFS and Euro ENS match closely for 28th/29th storm threat. Yes, over 300 hours so it’s just eye candy. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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