ams30721us Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Nothing to bang the drums about, but as a few others have mentioned, watching a few opportunities for some wintry mischief next week. The first period to keep an eye on is a quick moving disturbance Tuesday, that could at the very least spark off a few snow showers. The vort is really not that far off from something a bit bigger, but would need to drift a little more west as it digs Monday night. The second, more fun disturbance to watch could be the one towards the end of the week into the weekend. Again, nothing to shout from the rooftops yet, but hey it's a few things we have to watch in the coming days imo! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: Boy ,,,,Quite,,,, Somethings not quiet right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Out to hr60, the initial low over the plains is a little further west than at the same stamp (hr66 on the 6z run) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Out to hr60, the initial low over the plains is a little further west than at the same stamp (hr66 on the 6z run) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk It’s got rain up to about DCA , for Saturday. Remember that one time it had snow and sleet down to RAH and CLT!?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Back to bleak mood on here... Cold air coming and storm systems riding the southern stream. I'd be concerned if models WERE showing snow, the kiss of death in these parts. We have the #1 ingredient coming: cold air, at least seasonable or below. I'll take our chances with a storm in the next 10 days. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Back to bleak mood on here... Cold air coming and storm systems riding the southern stream. I'd be concerned if models WERE showing snow, the kiss of death in these parts. We have the #1 ingredient coming: cold air, at least seasonable or below. I'll take our chances with a storm in the next 10 days. Really true! I guess most, me included, just want to see a fantasy blizzard on the models! But, cold is absolutely the most important ingredient for us to get wintry weather, that ‘appears’ to be coming and as active as the southern stream has been... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Really true! I guess most, me included, just want to see a fantasy blizzard on the models! But, cold is absolutely the most important ingredient for us to get wintry weather, that ‘appears’ to be coming and as active as the southern stream has been... We rain on the 24th on GFS, maybe the ground will still be frozen!? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Personally, I'm just glad we at least get our "normal" temps back, flakes are just a bonusSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 The rain on Saturday looks to have pushed back to Saturday night. Also went from over and inch on the GFS a couple days ago to nothing today. NWS sounded somewhat bullish on a large area of rain in this morning AFD. Will be interesting to see if they change course at this afternoon's update. Might actually get a dry weekend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 MA forum says no snow for us until February 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12z nam shows a limited short duration zr Saturday mainly along/north I85/I77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, FLweather said: 12z nam shows a limited short duration zr Saturday mainly along/north I85/I77. yay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: MA forum says no snow for us until February Some solid posts over there from Phoffman and co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Yea this is turning into a fail quickly. Better hope the cold reloads after day 12 because its gone after day 7 on the Euro and EPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yea this is turning into a fail quickly. Better hope the cold reloads after day 12 because its gone after day 7 on the Euro and EPS. Is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 minute ago, LurkerBoy said: Is it? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yea this is turning into a fail quickly. Better hope the cold reloads after day 12 because its gone after day 7 on the Euro and EPS. You are breaking my brain today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, Queencitywx said: You are breaking my brain today. You can have your GFS, I will take my EPS and Op Euro thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: You can have your GFS, I will take my EPS and Op Euro thanks. and you can sit here and make shit up but it's clear that the euro modifies before a secondary cold shot comes in later in the run. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Yeah I don’t know what he’s looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, Queencitywx said: and you can sit here and make shit up but it's clear that the euro modifies before a secondary cold shot comes in later in the run. I'm not making anything up, I reinforced my point with maps like you did with a graph. The key is if modifies in time to rain and the western ridge is continually getting beat down. The pattern we are entering does not look like a good one for snow but we can always hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Of course the pattern has to reload! How else are we going to get more rain? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, wncsnow said: You can have your GFS, I will take my EPS and Op Euro thanks. Even taking the 0z EPS at face value, that is nothing that resembles ‘warm.’ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, msuwx said: Even taking the 0z EPS at face value, that is nothing that resembles ‘warm.’ It also has nothing that resembles "snowy pattern" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 41 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I'm not making anything up, I reinforced my point with maps like you did with a graph. The key is if modifies in time to rain and the western ridge is continually getting beat down. The pattern we are entering does not look like a good one for snow but we can always hope The truth hurts, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Sure would be nice to have some COLD air around.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Day 10 of the Euro certainly doesn't look like the cold is rebuilding quickly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Day 10 of the Euro certainly doesn't look like the cold is rebuilding quickly.. Last frame of the 0z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 1 minute ago, msuwx said: Last frame of the 0z EPS Yea, the cold comes back maybe by hour 360. What could go wrong? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Just now, wncsnow said: Yea, the cold comes back maybe by hour 360. What could go wrong? That’s 4.5 days after the map you posted. So yes, that’s pretty quick rebuilding of the cold. But we will see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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