BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Why on earth do we care about these snowfall totals at nearly 300 hours out? The EPS is still plenty cold. 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Why on earth do we care about these snowfall totals at nearly 300 hours out? The EPS is still plenty cold. Probably because of being tired to death of this freaking heat lock... I want my frosty mornings back Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Probably because of being tired to death of this freaking heat lock... I want my frosty mornings back Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Yeah, low 70s in mid January, is joyous! My Japanese maple is leading out!:( 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gearhead302 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 44 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Yeah... That's way down from 0z Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk And it's the begining of a trend I'm sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 42 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, low 70s in mid January, is joyous! My Japanese maple is leading out!:( How about 73º today. IN BOSTON!! Broke the previous record for today by 12º. Boston has had a total of four 70º days in January since 1872. Two of them this weekend. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Hour 132 on 18z GFS and the cold push looks weaker. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 19 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: Hour 132 on 18z GFS and the cold push looks weaker. Looked that way initially, but a western Canada ridge spike drove more cold in as the better subtropical wave moved in. Good looking setup regardless of final outcome here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Looked that way initially, but a western Canada ridge spike drove more cold in as the better subtropical wave moved in. Good looking setup regardless of final outcome here Agreed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Looks like a big dog incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 This could be good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Storm around day 10 looks good to me. Weak enough to avoid overwhelming SW flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Ensembles have been hinting at this timeframe. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 ZR/Sleet/Kuchera Snow Give me this and I don't care what happens the rest of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: I'll take the under for $500 please. 70° patterns in January dont give up that easily. I'll ride the mild air until I see the Pac ridge lock in for more than a day or two. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The GEFS should be good I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 2 hours ago, Queencitywx said: Why on earth do we care about these snowfall totals at nearly 300 hours out? The EPS is still plenty cold. Thank you! I understand this a board to discuss weather, even in the long range. But this board is getting muddled up with all these screen shots/clown maps at hour 300. I wish we could have a separate topic for the clown maps, 300 hour GFS maps, ect. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The GEFS should be good I hope:wub:You call this good? (hr258) I think not Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 348 on that second system gave a doozySent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 GEFS improved and continues to advertise pattern flip without moving the date back. Take the win. You'll give yourself whiplash trying to keep up with the back and forth at this range, especially with split flow potentially developing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 GEFS improved and continues to advertise pattern flip without moving the date back. Take the win. You'll give yourself whiplash trying to keep up with the back and forth at this range, especially with split flow potentially developing. As I've been saying for the last week... Take the flip, we will deal with precip laterSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 I agree. Give me the cold first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 I only get 6-8”, we toss! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 24 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: GEFS improved and continues to advertise pattern flip without moving the date back. Take the win. You'll give yourself whiplash trying to keep up with the back and forth at this range, especially with split flow potentially developing. Yep, close to a lock that we get a period of deep cold sometime after next weekend. 18z gefs has a really nice look d10-13 for a SE storm. A lot has to happen first so focusing on anything specific is like a dog chasing its tail. All systems go beyond d15. The end of the EPS and GEFS both look the same and it looks pretty damn good. One thing that wasn't around much in 2014 and 15 was the southern stream. Ensembles imply active southern stream down the line. Hurry up and wait but at least we seem to be waiting for a longer duration favorable period. Could continue well into Feb. All weekly/monthly/seasonal guidance looks almost identical for Feb. Not perfect but magnitudes better than anything we've seen this year. Won't truly believe it until I'm shoveling though... 5 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 30 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I only get 6-8”, we toss! I thought you only averaged a half inch of slop a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 37 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Yep, close to a lock that we get a period of deep cold sometime after next weekend. 18z gefs has a really nice look d10-13 for a SE storm. A lot has to happen first so focusing on anything specific is like a dog chasing its tail. All systems go beyond d15. The end of the EPS and GEFS both look the same and it looks pretty damn good. One thing that wasn't around much in 2014 and 15 was the southern stream. Ensembles imply active southern stream down the line. Hurry up and wait but at least we seem to be waiting for a longer duration favorable period. Could continue well into Feb. All weekly/monthly/seasonal guidance looks almost identical for Feb. Not perfect but magnitudes better than anything we've seen this year. Won't truly believe it until I'm shoveling though... And that 18z run might be the coldest yet. Almost 9 days of temps not getting out of the 30s. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 54 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: And that 18z run might be the coldest yet. Almost 9 days of temps not getting out of the 30s. That’s what it’s going to take to get the job done. I’d like to see a colder look on the EPS with the 500mb pattern. GEFS can have more of a cold bias at range 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 6 minutes ago, griteater said: That’s what it’s going to take to get the job done. I’d like to see a colder look on the EPS with the 500mb pattern. GEFS can have more of a cold bias at range Agreed. The lack of a -EPO on the EPS concerns me. That's where the key lies IMO for a true pattern change and sustained cold in the east. Rooting for the GEFS but very wary of it overmodeling pacific ridging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 I actually like the look on the 28th. Looks like a lot better set up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now