Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 GFS can’t predict a 5 day away cold shot, but this day twelve dumper fire heat wave it showed at 18 z, at 12 days plus! Get the preemergent readySent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 High temperature today in Charleston, WV was 80. Record high was previously 71. Normal high for the day is 42. Here's the temperature anomaly map for January to date + the GFS 7 day forecast Pattern thus far since Dec 1 has been about as bad as it can be for wintry prospects. The blues (negative anomalies) are in all the wrong places. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 GEFS caving to the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Some of you need to find a new hobby because you clearly have no interest in being good at this one. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Some of you judge a model run based on storms that are ten plus days out. It’s absolutely inane. You would’ve been laughed at and then summarily banned from places like WWBB and probably Eastern. If you give a crap about a snowfall mean 12 days out, you are almost beyond worth salvaging as a contributor here. meanwhile, 18z GEFS says it’s going to get cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 15 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: GEFS caving to the GFS. What are you even talking about? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 What are you even talking about?He is probably mad his 18z GEFS mean dropped from 12z and lost the big dogs that were shownSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Straight zonal flowSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, franklin NCwx said: What are you even talking about? I'm just hoping the OP comes around at some point. I feel like we are losing the cold in the long run. Maybe the 00Z bouces our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, Extreme NEGA said: I'm just hoping the OP comes around at some point. I feel like we are losing the cold in the long run. Maybe the 00Z bouces our way. The 18z gefs 500mb pattern looks really close to the past several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 I'm just hoping the OP comes around at some point. I feel like we are losing the cold in the long run. Maybe the 00Z bouces our way.We are not losing the cold, just the fantasy storms that never were gonna happen. I said this the other day: we need the pattern shift FIRST, THEN we need everything elseSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, Orangeburgwx said: We are not losing the cold, just the fantasy storms that never were gonna happen. I said this the other day: we need the pattern shift FIRST, THEN we need everything else Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk I Agree. Maybe then we can chase storms inside 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 That can't be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: That can't be good That's for the 17th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: That's for the 17th? Yea it gets better around the 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Yea it gets better around the 20thWhich has been shown for the last weekSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Wait whats this 18z is colder and snow breaking over west TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 This is gonna be interesting...Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Extreme NEGA said: Yea it gets better around the 20th Just now, Orangeburgwx said: This is gonna be interesting... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk I'd bet it gets squashed but that's just the way I like them at this range lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Please be a low along the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 hour ago, griteater said: High temperature today in Charleston, WV was 80. Record high was previously 71. Normal high for the day is 42. Wow, a +38 °F anomaly. That is something special right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Extreme NEGA said: Please be a low along the gulf. We're begging for a sfc low on the GFS Op at day 10...ha, good stuff 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 hr246Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, Orangeburgwx said: hr246 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk There it is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Can't get a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Gulf Low goes due north from hr264 to hr270... Gotta love the convective feedback issues Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 276 still trucking due north towards the great lakesSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Another severe outbreak lookSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Man, you know the pattern is bad when you have to worry about insolation overhead at night. Fromthe RAH AFD (Long Range). Above normal temperatures will continue through much of the period, especially during the overnight hours thanks to plentiful insolation remaining overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Man, you know the pattern is bad when you have to worry about insolation overhead at night. Fromthe RAH AFD (Long Range). Above normal temperatures will continue through much of the period,especially during the overnight hours thanks to plentiful insolationremaining overhead.AFD ends before the pattern shift happensSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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